Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Headquartered in Singapore, SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia) is an investment bank focusing on emerging growth companies across Asia, providing a full suite of investment banking services, including corporate finance, mergers and acquisitions advisory, equity capital markets, institutional equities sales and trading and equities research.

SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3>SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)</h3><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/238/456/original/image_76502934321635528996334.png?1635528999" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="238456"></figure><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/starhill-global-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10791" rel="noopener">Starhill Global REIT (SGREIT SP)</a> 1Q22 Business Updates; Little help from VTL leading up to festive season</h3><ul><li>1Q22 revenue and NPI rose by +4.0% and +15.1% YoY, respectively, to S$44.8m (22.8% of BB est.) and S$34.3m (25.3% of BB est.), respectively, mainly due to lower rental assistance and lower operating expenses, which was partially offset by lower contributions from Wisma Atria (Revenue: -8.9%, NPI: -8% YoY). No DI nor DPU was disclosed</li></ul><div style="display: none;"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/238/455/original/blobid0.png?1635528963" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="238455"></figure></div>

SingaporeSREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)Starhill Global REIT (SGREIT SP) 1Q22 Business Updates; Little help from VTL leading up to festive season1Q22 revenue and NPI rose by +4.0% and +15.1% YoY, respectively, to S$44.8m (22.8% of BB est.) and S$34.3m (25.3% of BB est.), respectively, mainly due to lower rental assistance and lower operating expenses, which was partially offset by lower contributions from Wisma Atria (Revenue: -8.9%, NPI: -8% YoY). No DI nor DPU was disclosed

<h2>Singapore</h2>
<h3>SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)</h3>
<table class="table table-striped">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
 
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
SGREIT
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
CDREIT
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
FEHT
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
OUECT
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
FIRT
</td>
<td style="width: 98.15pt;">
FHT
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
Period
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
2H21
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
1H21
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
1H21
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
1H21
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
1H21
</td>
<td style="width: 98.15pt;">
9M21
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
Gross Revenue (S$ m)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
92.9 (10.5% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
66.2 (27.2% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
41.6 (-6.1% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
133.5 (-6% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
38.9 (+0.9% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.15pt;">
NA
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
NPI (S$ m)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
69.8 (20.2% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
37.0 (24.4% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
36.2 (-6.2% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
109 (-3.1% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
37.6 (+0.2% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.15pt;">
NA
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
DPU (S$ c)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
2.07 (195.7% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
1.22 (-19.2% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
1.1 (+6.8% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
1.23 (+23% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
1.3 (-43.5% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.15pt;">
NA
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
NAV per Unit (S$)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
0.81
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
1.29
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
0.7912
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
0.58
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
0.3512
</td>
<td style="width: 98.15pt;">
1H21: 0.66
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
P/B (x)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
0.75
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
0.95
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
0.73
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
1.34
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
0.75
</td>
<td style="width: 98.15pt;">
0.79
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
Occupancy (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
96.7
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
5 SG Hotels excl. W Hotel and NCQ: 73.5
6 SG Hotels excl. W Hotel: 70.2
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
Hotels : 77.6
Service Residence : 76.2
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
91.7 (Commercial)
92.3 (SG Office)
89.6 (Mandarin  Gallery)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
Not Disclosed
</td>
<td style="width: 98.15pt;">
SG: 59.8
AUS: 44.3
UK: 18.8
JP: 31.3
MY: 7.7
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
Reversion (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
Not disclosed
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
RevPAR (% YoY):
SG: -19.5 (or -9.5 incl. W Hotel)
Maldives: +139.2
NZ: -31.8
Germany: +61.2
Italy: -84.4
JP: -27.9
UK: -21.8
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
RevPAR (% YoY):
Hotels: -35.4
Service Residence: -16.9 YoY
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
2Q21 Office reversions: -5.7 to +2.2
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
Not Disclosed
</td>
<td style="width: 98.15pt;">
RevPAR (% YoY):
SG: -31.4
AUS: -52.3
UK: -68.9
JP: -40.8
MY: -87.7
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
Gearing (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
36.1
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
39.1
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
41.3
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
38
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
34.7
</td>
<td style="width: 98.15pt;">
42.1
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
Cost of Debt (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
3.28
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
1.9
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
2.1
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
3.2
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
Not Disclosed
</td>
<td style="width: 98.15pt;">
2.0
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
1 Yr Fwd Yield (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
6.9
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
4.4
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
4.7
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
7.4
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
9.8 (annualized 1H21)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.15pt;">
3.1
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
Debt Hedged (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
91
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
63.3
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
68.2
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
82.2
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
Not Disclosed
</td>
<td style="width: 98.15pt;">
77
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
Target Price
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
Under Review
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 98.15pt;">
N/A
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
Rating
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
Under Review
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 98.15pt;">
N/A
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

Singapore
SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)




 


SGREIT


CDREIT


FEHT


OUECT


FIRT


FHT




Period


2H21


1H21


1H21


1H21


1H21


9M21




Gross Revenue (S$ m)


92.9 (10.5% YoY)


66.2 (27.2% YoY)


41.6 (-6.1% YoY)


133.5 (-6% YoY)


38.9 (+0.9% YoY)


NA




NPI (S$ m)


69.8 (20.2% YoY)


37.0 (24.4% YoY)


36.2 (-6.2% YoY)


109 (-3.1% YoY)


37.6 (+0.2% YoY)


NA




DPU (S$ c)


2.07 (195.7% YoY)


1.22 (-19.2% YoY)


1.1 (+6.8% YoY)


1.23 (+23% YoY)


1.3 (-43.5% YoY)


NA




NAV per Unit (S$)


0.81


1.29


0.7912


0.58


0.3512


1H21: 0.66




P/B (x)


0.75


0.95


0.73


1.34


0.75


0.79




Occupancy (%)


96.7


5 SG Hotels excl. W Hotel and NCQ: 73.5
6 SG Hotels excl. W Hotel: 70.2


Hotels : 77.6
Service Residence : 76.2


91.7 (Commercial)
92.3 (SG Office)
89.6 (Mandarin  Gallery)


Not Disclosed


SG: 59.8
AUS: 44.3
UK: 18.8
JP: 31.3
MY: 7.7




Reversion (%)


Not disclosed


RevPAR (% YoY):
SG: -19.5 (or -9.5 incl. W Hotel)
Maldives: +139.2
NZ: -31.8
Germany: +61.2
Italy: -84.4
JP: -27.9
UK: -21.8


RevPAR (% YoY):
Hotels: -35.4
Service Residence: -16.9 YoY


2Q21 Office reversions: -5.7 to +2.2


Not Disclosed


RevPAR (% YoY):
SG: -31.4
AUS: -52.3
UK: -68.9
JP: -40.8
MY: -87.7




Gearing (%)


36.1


39.1


41.3


38


34.7


42.1




Cost of Debt (%)


3.28


1.9


2.1


3.2


Not Disclosed


2.0




1 Yr Fwd Yield (%)


6.9


4.4


4.7


7.4


9.8 (annualized 1H21)


3.1




Debt Hedged (%)


91


63.3


68.2


82.2


Not Disclosed


77




Target Price


Under Review


N/A


N/A


N/A


N/A


N/A




Rating


Under Review


N/A


N/A


N/A


N/A


N/A





ASEAN Builder's Scoop (30Jul21) - SGREIT Solid Set of Results

Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Singapore's election was a net plus for democracy, with the PAP retaining power comfortably, but receiving a significant jolt from the Workers Party--which won 50.5% of the vote in the 21 seats it contested against PAP, won two GRCs and 10 seats in all, thus gaining the right to have its leader (Pritam Singh) officially designated as Leader of the Opposition. The WP's well-formulated policy ideas will oblige the government to boost consumption and social investment, which will be a significant net positive for Singapore in the medium term. Becoming more overtly democratic will also help Singapore compete more effectively with Tokyo, Taipei, Mumbai and Seoul for the mantle of Asia's leading financial centre that Hong Kong is set to vacate. Positive for Singapore. There was a real contest in Singapore's 13th general election, despite the absence of physical campaigning (a big handicap for the Opposition), and a crisis atmosphere (which was expected to cause a "flight to safety" among voters, boosting the PAP). The ruling PAP won 83 of the 93 seats, but the Workers Party (WP) emerged as a credible opposition--winning the other 10 seats (the largest number won by the Opposition in any election since Independence), consolidating its stronghold in the east of Singapore. The PAP won 61.24% of the vote, down sharply from 69.9% in the previous election (2015), but slightly above its 60.1% vote share in 2011 (although there was one uncontested GRC in 2011, so no votes needed to be cast there; this implies that the 2011 and 2020 vote-share percentages are not truly comparable). WP leader Pritam Singh will be officially designated the Leader of the Opposition (with a staff team funded by government), the first time Singapore will have one since independence in 1965.   Given its enhanced presence in parliament, the WP's policy ideas are likely to influence the next government far more than in the past, leading to more robust debate. One key aspect of the WP's agenda is to link CPF interest rates to the 10-year returns (investment income) being generated by GIC (a modest version of the ideas in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/singapore-s-twin-surpluses-how-much-is-too-much" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:41001" rel="noopener">Singapore's Twin Surpluses: How Much Is Too Much?</a> ); opening up discussion about GIC and CPF will itself be a novelty, and the resulting outcome will be to reduce Singapore's extravagantly-high national savings rate -- boosting consumption instead. So will any movement towards accepting the WP's proposal for a minimum wage of S$1300/month for Singapore citizens; when combined with the growing obligations for employers to reduce dependence on foreign workers, the minimum wage will cut into SME profitability. But the WP proposal for an SME bank to finance SMEs' overseas forays will be a partial compensation. Finally, the WP idea of government-paid parental leave of 24 weeks (to be shared between mother and father, but with the father obligated to take at least 4 of those weeks' leave) should bolster fertility rates in the medium-term, improve the life-chances of women in the workforce, and provide an additional boost to private consumption (and lowering the saving rate). Although these are issues that are likely to generate substantial debate, that debate itself will enhance Singapore's democratic image, improving its chances of attracting financial-sector refugees from Hong Kong; overall, more democracy is a significant net-positive for Singapore.

Singapore's election was a net plus for democracy, with the PAP retaining power comfortably, but receiving a significant jolt from the Workers Party--which won 50.5% of the vote in the 21 seats it contested against PAP, won two GRCs and 10 seats in all, thus gaining the right to have its leader (Pritam Singh) officially designated as Leader of the Opposition. The WP's well-formulated policy ideas will oblige the government to boost consumption and social investment, which will be a significant net positive for Singapore in the medium term. Becoming more overtly democratic will also help Singapore compete more effectively with Tokyo, Taipei, Mumbai and Seoul for the mantle of Asia's leading financial centre that Hong Kong is set to vacate. Positive for Singapore. There was a real contest in Singapore's 13th general election, despite the absence of physical campaigning (a big handicap for the Opposition), and a crisis atmosphere (which was expected to cause a "flight to safety" among voters, boosting the PAP). The ruling PAP won 83 of the 93 seats, but the Workers Party (WP) emerged as a credible opposition--winning the other 10 seats (the largest number won by the Opposition in any election since Independence), consolidating its stronghold in the east of Singapore. The PAP won 61.24% of the vote, down sharply from 69.9% in the previous election (2015), but slightly above its 60.1% vote share in 2011 (although there was one uncontested GRC in 2011, so no votes needed to be cast there; this implies that the 2011 and 2020 vote-share percentages are not truly comparable). WP leader Pritam Singh will be officially designated the Leader of the Opposition (with a staff team funded by government), the first time Singapore will have one since independence in 1965.   Given its enhanced presence in parliament, the WP's policy ideas are likely to influence the next government far more than in the past, leading to more robust debate. One key aspect of the WP's agenda is to link CPF interest rates to the 10-year returns (investment income) being generated by GIC (a modest version of the ideas in Singapore's Twin Surpluses: How Much Is Too Much? ); opening up discussion about GIC and CPF will itself be a novelty, and the resulting outcome will be to reduce Singapore's extravagantly-high national savings rate -- boosting consumption instead. So will any movement towards accepting the WP's proposal for a minimum wage of S$1300/month for Singapore citizens; when combined with the growing obligations for employers to reduce dependence on foreign workers, the minimum wage will cut into SME profitability. But the WP proposal for an SME bank to finance SMEs' overseas forays will be a partial compensation. Finally, the WP idea of government-paid parental leave of 24 weeks (to be shared between mother and father, but with the father obligated to take at least 4 of those weeks' leave) should bolster fertility rates in the medium-term, improve the life-chances of women in the workforce, and provide an additional boost to private consumption (and lowering the saving rate). Although these are issues that are likely to generate substantial debate, that debate itself will enhance Singapore's democratic image, improving its chances of attracting financial-sector refugees from Hong Kong; overall, more democracy is a significant net-positive for Singapore. 

PAP Retains Power, but Faces the Largest Opposition Contingent Since Independence

Singapore Property Analyst

Anni Kum

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/22748" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22748:1">Frasers Logistics &amp; Industrial (FLT SP)</a> ("FLT") launched a massive equity financing in May 2018 for the acquisition of 21 logistics facilities in Germany and Netherlands. In the same month,  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/1077" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1077">Capitaland Commercial Trust (CCT SP)</a> ("CCT") launched a private placement in relation to the acquisition of a Grade A commercial asset in Frankfurt. CCT’s latest equity financing followed hot on the heels of its S$700 million rights issue in October 2017 for the acquisition of Asia Square 2. As the launch of…

Frasers Logistics &amp; Industrial (FLT SP) ("FLT") launched a massive equity financing in May 2018 for the acquisition of 21 logistics facilities in Germany and Netherlands. In the same month,  Capitaland Commercial Trust (CCT SP) ("CCT") launched a private placement in relation to the acquisition of a Grade A commercial asset in Frankfurt. CCT’s latest equity financing followed hot on the heels of its S$700 million rights issue in October 2017 for the acquisition of Asia Square 2. As the launch of…

Is the S-REIT Sector's Valuation at Its Peak?

Real Estate, General Equities

Will Tan

This is a weekly summary covering the week of 23 Oct 2017 on news flow reported in the media and updates on the Singapore REIT (S-REIT) sector, along with a recap on notable research by the Smartkarma community.S-REITs quarterly results season is underway, so this update mainly covers snippets from selected results release by various S-REITs during the week. Notably, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/40" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40:1">Mapletree Industrial Trust (MINT SP)</a> makes its first inroad to US Data Centres with a portfolio purchase after recently expanding its investment mandate.

This is a weekly summary covering the week of 23 Oct 2017 on news flow reported in the media and updates on the Singapore REIT (S-REIT) sector, along with a recap on notable research by the Smartkarma community.S-REITs quarterly results season is underway, so this update mainly covers snippets from selected results release by various S-REITs during the week. Notably, Mapletree Industrial Trust (MINT SP) makes its first inroad to US Data Centres with a portfolio purchase after recently expanding its investment mandate. 

S-REIT Weekly: What Transpired in the S-REIT Scene - MIT Ventures into US Data Centres

Singapore

Frasers Hospitality Trust is a global hotel and serviced residence trust that invests in income-producing real estate assets primarily used for hospitality purposes. Its portfolio includes hotels and serviced residences located in prime cities across Asia, Australia, and Europe. The trust was established in Singapore in 2014.

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Frasers Hospitality (FHT SP)

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (29Oct21)

SGREIT little help from VTL; CDREIT QoQ improvements across the board; FEHT stabilizing QoQ hotel metrics; FHT signals worst is over; MAGIC weak...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (30Jul21) - SGREIT Solid Set of Results

SGREIT solid set of results; CDREIT not out of woods yet; FEHT weak operations continued; OUECT slowing reversions offset by hotel rebound; FIRT...

SCCM Asia Research

PAP Retains Power, but Faces the Largest Opposition Contingent Since Independence

Singapore's election was a net plus for democracy, with the PAP retaining power comfortably, but receiving a significant jolt from the Workers...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Is the S-REIT Sector's Valuation at Its Peak?

Frasers Logistics & Industrial (FLT SP) ("FLT") launched a massive equity financing in May 2018 for the acquisition of 21 logistics facilities...

Anni Kum

S-REIT Weekly: What Transpired in the S-REIT Scene - MIT Ventures into US Data Centres

This is a weekly summary covering the week of 23 Oct 2017 on news flow reported in the media and updates on the Singapore REIT (S-REIT) sector,...

Will Tan

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