Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/freee-kk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28424:1" rel="noopener">Freee KK (4478 JP)</a> reported 4QFY06/2024 and full-year results today. Earnings were in line with guidance, but operating losses have declined significantly beating consensus by a huge margin.</li>
<li>The company has issued guidance which calls for a break-even or an adj. OPM of 3% for FY06/2025E suggesting freee’s investments in marketing and client acquisition have finally paid off.</li>
<li>Freee’s share price has moved up slightly during the last few weeks, but still trading at a discount to its own multiples and at a steep discount to Money Forward.</li>
</ul>



Freee KK (4478 JP) reported 4QFY06/2024 and full-year results today. Earnings were in line with guidance, but operating losses have declined significantly beating consensus by a huge margin.
The company has issued guidance which calls for a break-even or an adj. OPM of 3% for FY06/2025E suggesting freee’s investments in marketing and client acquisition have finally paid off.
Freee’s share price has moved up slightly during the last few weeks, but still trading at a discount to its own multiples and at a steep discount to Money Forward.


Freee 4Q: Significant Decline in Losses; Soon to Turn Profitable

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/freee-kk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28424:1" rel="noopener">Freee KK (4478 JP)</a> reported 2QFY06/2024 results today. 2Q revenue increased 35.1% YoY, however, both revenue and operating losses fell below consensus estimates.</li>
<li>As expected, upfront investment in selling and marketing and personnel expenses prior to the new invoicing system led to an increase in operating losses.</li>
<li>However, these investments have helped the company acquire a large no. of corporate paying users and we expect losses to decline going forward.</li>
</ul>



Freee KK (4478 JP) reported 2QFY06/2024 results today. 2Q revenue increased 35.1% YoY, however, both revenue and operating losses fell below consensus estimates.
As expected, upfront investment in selling and marketing and personnel expenses prior to the new invoicing system led to an increase in operating losses.
However, these investments have helped the company acquire a large no. of corporate paying users and we expect losses to decline going forward.


Freee: New Invoicing System Helps Onboard Corporate Clients Though Losses Widen

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/freee-kk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28424:1" rel="noopener">Freee KK (4478 JP)</a> ’s 1QFY06/2024 results beat consensus estimates. Introduction of qualified invoicing system in October has resulted in strong corporate user growth for the company.</li>
<li>Upfront investment in selling and marketing has helped freee onboard a large no. of corporate clients prior to the introduction of the new invoice system.</li>
<li>Freee expects selling and advertising spending to decline going forward which should help the company reach break-even in FY06/2025E.</li>
</ul>



Freee KK (4478 JP) ’s 1QFY06/2024 results beat consensus estimates. Introduction of qualified invoicing system in October has resulted in strong corporate user growth for the company.
Upfront investment in selling and marketing has helped freee onboard a large no. of corporate clients prior to the introduction of the new invoice system.
Freee expects selling and advertising spending to decline going forward which should help the company reach break-even in FY06/2025E.


Freee 1Q: Earnings Beat; Qualified Invoice System to Further Drive Earnings

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Three shareholders of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/socionext-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36351:1" rel="noopener">Socionext (6526 JP)</a> aim to raise around US$1.8bn via selling all of their shares in Socionext.</li>
<li>Socionext was listed on 12th Oct 2022, when it raised US$457m in its upsized Japan IPO. Its six-month lockup expired in Apr 2023. Its shares are up 6x since listing.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


Three shareholders of Socionext (6526 JP) aim to raise around US$1.8bn via selling all of their shares in Socionext.
Socionext was listed on 12th Oct 2022, when it raised US$457m in its upsized Japan IPO. Its six-month lockup expired in Apr 2023. Its shares are up 6x since listing.
In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Socionext Placement - A US$1.8bn Cleanup, Will Have to Give up Some of Its 6x Listing Gains

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/socionext-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36351:1" rel="noopener">Socionext (6526 JP)</a> was listed on 12th Oct 2022, when it raised US$457m in its upsized Japan IPO. Its six-month lockup will expire on 9th Apr 2023.</li>
<li>Socionext is a fabless semiconductor provider which commenced operations after integrating the system on a chip (SoC) businesses of Fujitsu Semiconductor Limited and Panasonic Holding Corporation in 2015.</li>
<li>Coming up for six-month lockup expiry are the Development Bank of Japan, Fujitsu and Panasonic, the trio had each trimmed their respective stakes in the IPO.</li>
</ul>



Socionext (6526 JP) was listed on 12th Oct 2022, when it raised US$457m in its upsized Japan IPO. Its six-month lockup will expire on 9th Apr 2023.
Socionext is a fabless semiconductor provider which commenced operations after integrating the system on a chip (SoC) businesses of Fujitsu Semiconductor Limited and Panasonic Holding Corporation in 2015.
Coming up for six-month lockup expiry are the Development Bank of Japan, Fujitsu and Panasonic, the trio had each trimmed their respective stakes in the IPO.


Socionext Lock-Up - Up 2.67x Since IPO. US$930m Worth of Shares to Be Unlocked

Japan

freee K.K. develops software products. The Company produces cloud based accounting softwares, automatic online accounting systems, and other products. freee provides its services throughout Japan.

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Freee KK (4478 JP)

Freee 4Q: Significant Decline in Losses; Soon to Turn Profitable

Freee's 4Q losses declined significantly, which beat consensus by a wide margin. Guidance for FY06/2025E calls for operating profits as...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Freee: New Invoicing System Helps Onboard Corporate Clients Though Losses Widen

As we expected, freee's operating losses further expanded in 2Q due to upfront investment related to the new invoicing system. However, it has...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Freee 1Q: Earnings Beat; Qualified Invoice System to Further Drive Earnings

Freee's upfront investment in S&M has enabled to onboard a large no. of corporate clients prior to the introduction of the new invoice system....

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Socionext Placement - A US$1.8bn Cleanup, Will Have to Give up Some of Its 6x Listing Gains

Three shareholders of Socionext (6526 JP) aim to raise around US$1.8bn via selling shares in Socionext. In this note we talk about the deal...

Sumeet Singh

Socionext Lock-Up - Up 2.67x Since IPO. US$930m Worth of Shares to Be Unlocked

Socionext just launched a US$2bn secondary extended offering, with the Development Bank of Japan, Fujitsu, and Panasonic looking to selldown their...

Clarence Chu

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Freee 4Q: Significant Decline in Losses; Soon to Turn Profitable

​Freee's 4Q losses declined significantly, which beat consensus by a wide margin. Guidance for FY06/2025E calls for operating profits as...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Freee: New Invoicing System Helps Onboard Corporate Clients Though Losses Widen

As we expected, freee's operating losses further expanded in 2Q due to upfront investment related to the new invoicing system. However, it has...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Freee 1Q: Earnings Beat; Qualified Invoice System to Further Drive Earnings

Freee's upfront investment in S&M has enabled to onboard a large no. of corporate clients prior to the introduction of the new invoice system....

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Socionext Placement - A US$1.8bn Cleanup, Will Have to Give up Some of Its 6x Listing Gains

Three shareholders of Socionext (6526 JP) aim to raise around US$1.8bn via selling shares in Socionext. In this note we talk about the deal...

Sumeet Singh

Socionext Lock-Up - Up 2.67x Since IPO. US$930m Worth of Shares to Be Unlocked

Socionext just launched a US$2bn secondary extended offering, with the Development Bank of Japan, Fujitsu, and Panasonic looking to selldown their...

Clarence Chu

Freee's 4Q losses declined significantly, which beat consensus by a wide margin. Guidance for FY06/2025E calls for operating profits as...