Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong market has seen a rebound in July, while North Asian markets declined sharply as the global AI/semiconductor sectors de-rated.</li>
<li>The financials sector has outperformed over the last 8 weeks, while the tech sector has shown increased strength and momentum.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mgm-china-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:472:1" rel="noopener">MGM China (2282 HK)</a> share price rebounded over the last week before its August Q226 earnings announcement.  The company has increased its share of the mass-market gaming in Macau.
</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong market has seen a rebound in July, while North Asian markets declined sharply as the global AI/semiconductor sectors de-rated.
The financials sector has outperformed over the last 8 weeks, while the tech sector has shown increased strength and momentum.

MGM China (2282 HK) share price rebounded over the last week before its August Q226 earnings announcement.  The company has increased its share of the mass-market gaming in Macau.



The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (July 2026)

Equity Long-Short

Mo Aziz

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>FY2025 GGR reached a record MOP247.4bn (+9.1% YoY), yet Macau casinos trade at just ~6.8x FY2027E EV/EBITDA, well below pre-COVID levels. The recovery is real; the re-rating has not happened.</li>
<li>The cheapest share price is not the cheapest company. SJM is the sector's most expensive stock at 9.1x FY2027E EV/EBITDA, while MGM is among the cheapest at 4.6x.</li>
<li>Bullish on MGM China (top pick), Melco, Sands China and Galaxy. Neutral on Wynn Macau and SJM, where balance-sheet constraints limit upside potential.</li>
</ul>


FY2025 GGR reached a record MOP247.4bn (+9.1% YoY), yet Macau casinos trade at just ~6.8x FY2027E EV/EBITDA, well below pre-COVID levels. The recovery is real; the re-rating has not happened.
The cheapest share price is not the cheapest company. SJM is the sector's most expensive stock at 9.1x FY2027E EV/EBITDA, while MGM is among the cheapest at 4.6x.
Bullish on MGM China (top pick), Melco, Sands China and Galaxy. Neutral on Wynn Macau and SJM, where balance-sheet constraints limit upside potential.


Macau Gaming Handbook 2026: One Market, Six Concessionaires, One Yardstick

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Giant Network Group Co Ltd / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 6028-6059 and $119-$121.</li>
<li>We remain overweight/continue to have a major focus on China (Shanghai Composite). It continues to offer the most attractive opportunities, with a significant number of today's recommendations coming from China.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 6028-6059 and $119-$121.
We remain overweight/continue to have a major focus on China (Shanghai Composite). It continues to offer the most attractive opportunities, with a significant number of today's recommendations coming from China.


Sticking With China; Bullish Outlook Intact. Buys in Consumer Discretionary, Materials, and Tech

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

<ul><li>TOP STORIES Tariff / In Depth: Chinese exporters pivot to domestic consumers in trade war hedge</li><li>The recent 90-day truce in the U.S.-China tariff war has prompted a flurry of activity among Chinese exporters, with traders rushing to ship goods overseas before tensions escalate again.</li><li>But at the same time a major shift is underway among exporters — many are now trying to sell those same goods at home, as they scramble to hedge their bets against future global instability.</li></ul>

TOP STORIES Tariff / In Depth: Chinese exporters pivot to domestic consumers in trade war hedgeThe recent 90-day truce in the U.S.-China tariff war has prompted a flurry of activity among Chinese exporters, with traders rushing to ship goods overseas before tensions escalate again.But at the same time a major shift is underway among exporters — many are now trying to sell those same goods at home, as they scramble to hedge their bets against future global instability.

CX Daily: Chinese Exporters Pivot to Domestic Consumers in Trade War Hedge 

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 4th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Tencent, Cathay Pacific Airways, Kingdee, Meituan, Ntes, Knowledge Atlas, ABC, Shandong Gold Mining Co Lt, Sinotruk.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 4th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Tencent, Cathay Pacific Airways, Kingdee, Meituan, Ntes, Knowledge Atlas, ABC, Shandong Gold Mining Co Lt, Sinotruk.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, Cathay Pacific Airways, Kingdee, Meituan, Ntes, Knowledge Atlas

Hong Kong

Galaxy Entertainment Group is a leading hospitality and gaming company that develops and operates integrated resorts, hotels, and casinos in Macau. Its key properties include Galaxy Macau, Broadway Macau, and StarWorld Macau, offering casino games, entertainment, and related hospitality services. The company is headquartered in Hong Kong and was established in 2002.

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Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK)

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (July 2026)

The Hong Kong market has seen a rebound in July, while North Asian markets declined sharply as the global AI/semiconductor sectors de-rated.

David Mudd

Macau Gaming Handbook 2026: One Market, Six Concessionaires, One Yardstick

The complete guide to Macau gaming — industry, regulation, Beijing risk and all six concessionaires ranked and valued on one yardstick. Read this...

Mo Aziz

Sticking With China; Bullish Outlook Intact. Buys in Consumer Discretionary, Materials, and Tech

Still Bullish. China (Shanghai Composite) has been a major focus ever since our July 3 Int'l Compass titled "China and Japan Breaking Out." It...

Vermilion Research

CX Daily: Chinese Exporters Pivot to Domestic Consumers in Trade War Hedge

TOP STORIES Tariff / In Depth: Chinese exporters pivot to domestic consumers in trade war hedge The recent 90-day truce in the U. S. -China...

Caixin Global

HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, Cathay Pacific Airways, Kingdee, Meituan, Ntes, Knowledge Atlas

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 4th and highlight short interest changes in Tencent (700 HK), Cathay...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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