IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

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Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Pertamina Geothermal Energy / Equity Capital Markets

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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pertamina-geothermal-energy-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36725:1" rel="noopener">Pertamina Geothermal Energy (PGEO IJ)</a> priced its IPO at IDR875 per share to raise gross proceeds of IDR9.1 trillion (US$600 million). The shares will start trading tomorrow.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <strong><em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/pertamina-geothermal-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:95013" rel="noopener">Pertamina Geothermal IPO: The Investment Case</a></em></strong> and <em><strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/pertamina-geothermal-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:95096" rel="noopener">Pertamina Geothermal IPO: Valuation Insights</a></strong></em>. </li>
<li>Peers have modestly re-rated and the IPO price continues to imply a discount to the median peer CY2023 EV/EBITDA multiple. Therefore, the IPO price remains attractive.</li>
</ul>



Pertamina Geothermal Energy (PGEO IJ) priced its IPO at IDR875 per share to raise gross proceeds of IDR9.1 trillion (US$600 million). The shares will start trading tomorrow.
We previously discussed the IPO in Pertamina Geothermal IPO: The Investment Case and Pertamina Geothermal IPO: Valuation Insights. 
Peers have modestly re-rated and the IPO price continues to imply a discount to the median peer CY2023 EV/EBITDA multiple. Therefore, the IPO price remains attractive.


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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pertamina-geothermal-energy-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36725:1" rel="noopener">Pertamina Geothermal (0125738D IJ)</a>/PGE, a subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-pertamina-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35862:1" rel="noopener">PT Pertamina (Persero) (PERT IJ)</a>, is seeking to raise up to US$600 million at a narrowed price range of IDR875-880 per share.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <strong><em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/pertamina-geothermal-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:95013" rel="noopener">Pertamina Geothermal IPO: The Investment Case</a></em></strong>. </li>
<li>PGE is attractively valued at the IPO price range. We would participate. Books will be closed on 10 February and the shares will start trading on 24 February.</li>
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Pertamina Geothermal (0125738D IJ)/PGE, a subsidiary of PT Pertamina (Persero) (PERT IJ), is seeking to raise up to US$600 million at a narrowed price range of IDR875-880 per share.
We previously discussed the IPO in Pertamina Geothermal IPO: The Investment Case. 
PGE is attractively valued at the IPO price range. We would participate. Books will be closed on 10 February and the shares will start trading on 24 February.


Pertamina Geothermal IPO: Valuation Insights

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Kenanga Investment Bank Bhd

Kenanga Investment Bank Bhd

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Equity Bottom-Up

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<li>We raised our DCF-driven target price to RM3.40 from RM3.10 on the back of 15%-23% upgrade in FY22-FY23 net profit forecasts on higher total margin spread assumption of RM2.60/mmbtu from RM2.50/mmbtu-RM2.40/mmbtu.</li>
<li>We believe our previous assumptions were conservative as the strong 1QFY22 margin is to set a new base for the next three years. OUTPERFORM maintained</li>
<li>Gas Malaysia Distribution Sdn Bhd (GMD) continued to register volume growth as all shippers have to pay for the usage of GMD’s distribution pipeline</li>
</ul>
<p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>


We raised our DCF-driven target price to RM3.40 from RM3.10 on the back of 15%-23% upgrade in FY22-FY23 net profit forecasts on higher total margin spread assumption of RM2.60/mmbtu from RM2.50/mmbtu-RM2.40/mmbtu.
We believe our previous assumptions were conservative as the strong 1QFY22 margin is to set a new base for the next three years. OUTPERFORM maintained
Gas Malaysia Distribution Sdn Bhd (GMD) continued to register volume growth as all shippers have to pay for the usage of GMD’s distribution pipeline

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Gas Malaysia Bhd - Margin To Stay Elevated

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

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<p>Back on the 3 June, Seaport Terminal (Johore) Sdn Bhd, a wholly-owned entity of Tan Sri Syed Mokhtar Albukhary, <a href="https://www.bursamalaysia.com/market_information/announcements/company_announcement/announcement_details?ann_id=3163886" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> an Offer for port operator and utility play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mmc-corp-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9776:1" rel="noopener">MMC Corp Bhd (MMC MK)</a>  at RM2.00/share, a 70.94% premium to last close. Seaport Terminal owns 51.76% of MMC.  The Offer is being done via a selective capital reduction and repayment (SCR) exercise. </p>
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<p>The deal looked - and looks - clean. It was just a question of timing, and SCRs often average around six months to complete.</p>
<p>Apart from an announcement on the <a href="https://www.bursamalaysia.com/market_information/announcements/company_announcement/announcement_details?ann_id=3175290" target="_blank" rel="noopener">14 July</a> extending the date in which the board intends to respond to Seaport proposal, there was no further development.</p>
<p>Late yesterday, RHB <a href="https://www.bursamalaysia.com/market_information/announcements/company_announcement/announcement_details?ann_id=3181001" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a>, on behalf MMC's board, the SCR will be tabled to shareholders at a forthcoming EGM.</p>
<p>This gets the ball rolling, with an indicative completion date in the 4Q21.</p>
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<p>More below the fold.</p>
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Back on the 3 June, Seaport Terminal (Johore) Sdn Bhd, a wholly-owned entity of Tan Sri Syed Mokhtar Albukhary, announced an Offer for port operator and utility play MMC Corp Bhd (MMC MK)  at RM2.00/share, a 70.94% premium to last close. Seaport Terminal owns 51.76% of MMC.  The Offer is being done via a selective capital reduction and repayment (SCR) exercise. 


The deal looked - and looks - clean. It was just a question of timing, and SCRs often average around six months to complete.
Apart from an announcement on the 14 July extending the date in which the board intends to respond to Seaport proposal, there was no further development.
Late yesterday, RHB announced, on behalf MMC's board, the SCR will be tabled to shareholders at a forthcoming EGM.
This gets the ball rolling, with an indicative completion date in the 4Q21.


More below the fold.


MMC Corp (MMC MK): Board Support, At Last

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mmc-corp-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9776:1" rel="noopener">MMC Corp Bhd (MMC MK)</a> has <a href="https://www.bursamalaysia.com/market_information/announcements/company_announcement/announcement_details?ann_id=3163886" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> Seaport Terminal (Johore) Sdn Bhd, a wholly-owned entity of  Tan Sri Syed Mokhtar Albukhary, has made an Offer for all shares not owned at RM2.00/share, a premium to last close of 70.94%. </p>
<p>The Offer is being done via a selective capital reduction and repayment (SCR) exercise.</p>
<p>Seaport Terminal owns 51.76% of MMC.  </p>
<p>MMC primarily operates a number of ports in Malaysia, plus holds equity stakes in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/malakoff-corp-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:404:1" rel="noopener">Malakoff Corp (MLK MK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gas-malaysia-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14078:1" rel="noopener">Gas Malaysia (GMB MK)</a>.</p>
<p>The offer is valid until the 15 July, should MMC wish to proceed.</p>
<p>More below the fold.<iframe width="1" height="1" frameborder="0" scrolling="no"></iframe></p>
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MMC Corp Bhd (MMC MK) has announced Seaport Terminal (Johore) Sdn Bhd, a wholly-owned entity of  Tan Sri Syed Mokhtar Albukhary, has made an Offer for all shares not owned at RM2.00/share, a premium to last close of 70.94%. 
The Offer is being done via a selective capital reduction and repayment (SCR) exercise.
Seaport Terminal owns 51.76% of MMC.  
MMC primarily operates a number of ports in Malaysia, plus holds equity stakes in Malakoff Corp (MLK MK) and Gas Malaysia (GMB MK).
The offer is valid until the 15 July, should MMC wish to proceed.
More below the fold.












MMC Corp (MMC MK): Privatisation Offer From Syed Mokhtar

Malaysia

Gas Malaysia Bhd. provides exploration of oil and gas services. The Company offers natural gas and liquefied petroleum gas.

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Gas Malaysia (GMB MK)

Pertamina Geothermal IPO: Trading Debut

Peers have modestly re-rated and the IPO price continues to imply a discount to the median peer CY2023 EV/EBITDA multiple. Therefore, the IPO price...

Arun George

Pertamina Geothermal IPO: Valuation Insights

The price range has been narrowed from IDR820-945 to IDR875-880 per share. PGE is attractively valued at the IPO price range. We would participate.

Arun George

Gas Malaysia Bhd - Margin To Stay Elevated

1QFY22 margin spread is to stay for at least three years which is the shortest contract tenure while the rest are 5-year and 8- year contracts.

Kenanga Investment Bank Bhd

MMC Corp (MMC MK): Board Support, At Last

Trading at a gross/annualised spread of 10.5%/31.2%. I would expect the circular to be dispatched within a month. I'd get involved here

David Blennerhassett

MMC Corp (MMC MK): Privatisation Offer From Syed Mokhtar

I think this is a done deal and would expect shares to trade tight to terms. Assuming a mid-October completion, this may well trade up to ~RM1.94...

David Blennerhassett

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