Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are people who'll take profit in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I (3382 JP)</a> because of path dependency til year-end. It will drag out a while: buy the dips, trim on pops.</li>
<li>Just like in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lufax-holding-ltd-b751749a-8feb-4b4d-85a7-d99ac0308fe7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40067:1" rel="noopener">Lufax Holding (6623 HK)</a>'s special dividend, expect Ping An to boost its holding in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-healthcare-and-technology-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27008:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Healthcare and Technology (1833 HK)</a> via the stealthy scrip dividend option. </li>
<li>The landscape for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-networks-system-integr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16396:1" rel="noopener">Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP)</a> has FULLY changed. The details now matter quite a bit. NEC has two basic choices. Neither are that palatable.  </li>
</ul>


There are people who'll take profit in Seven &amp; I (3382 JP) because of path dependency til year-end. It will drag out a while: buy the dips, trim on pops.
Just like in Lufax Holding (6623 HK)'s special dividend, expect Ping An to boost its holding in Ping An Healthcare and Technology (1833 HK) via the stealthy scrip dividend option. 
The landscape for Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP) has FULLY changed. The details now matter quite a bit. NEC has two basic choices. Neither are that palatable.  


Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I, PA Gooddoctor, Nec Networks, Genscript/Legend, ASM PT, Hanwha

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Although Hong Kong markets have slumped after Trump's election, mainland China's markets have gained.  Southbound net buying of HK stocks hit a 2024 high on the day Trump won.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sands-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:182:1" rel="noopener">Sands China (1928 HK)</a> had a breakout from a double top as Macau recorded good Golden Week arrivals.  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/blue-moon-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29179:1" rel="noopener">Blue Moon Group Holdings (6993 HK)</a> had a breakout after 3 years.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cansino-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27739:1" rel="noopener">CanSino Biologics (6185 HK)</a> formed a breakout after a new vaccine was approved and it reported better results.  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haidilao-international-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27044:1" rel="noopener">Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK)</a> share price advanced as it expands stores.
</li>
</ul>


Although Hong Kong markets have slumped after Trump's election, mainland China's markets have gained.  Southbound net buying of HK stocks hit a 2024 high on the day Trump won.

Sands China (1928 HK) had a breakout from a double top as Macau recorded good Golden Week arrivals.  Blue Moon Group Holdings (6993 HK) had a breakout after 3 years.


CanSino Biologics (6185 HK) formed a breakout after a new vaccine was approved and it reported better results.  Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK) share price advanced as it expands stores.



Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (NOVEMBER 13)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanwha-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10619:1" rel="noopener">Hanwha Corporation (000880 KS)</a> is "expensive" on my monitor. But that doesn't paint the whole picture. And what's up with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genscript-biotech-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21041:1" rel="noopener">Genscript Biotech (1548 HK)</a>'s deconsolidation of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/legend-biotech-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28963:1" rel="noopener">Legend Biotech (LEGN US)</a>?</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Hanwha and Genscript Biotech/Legend Biotech are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



Hanwha Corporation (000880 KS) is "expensive" on my monitor. But that doesn't paint the whole picture. And what's up with Genscript Biotech (1548 HK)'s deconsolidation of Legend Biotech (LEGN US)?
Preceding my comments on Hanwha and Genscript Biotech/Legend Biotech are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Hanwha Corp; Genscript Biotech/Legend Biotech

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

<ul>
<li>Genscript announced the deconsolidation of Legend Bio. Although it may not necessarily be directly related to a potential merger, this move is beneficial for both parties from a strategic perspective.</li>
<li>Genscript is still the largest shareholder of Legend Bio, but the negative vote against Wang Ye in October indicates that there are clear divisions among major shareholders. </li>
<li>If AquaPoint votes against Wang Ye at shareholders’ meeting, it indicates that there are also divisions among co-founders. In this case, the probability of Legend Bio being sold greatly increases.</li>
</ul>


Genscript announced the deconsolidation of Legend Bio. Although it may not necessarily be directly related to a potential merger, this move is beneficial for both parties from a strategic perspective.
Genscript is still the largest shareholder of Legend Bio, but the negative vote against Wang Ye in October indicates that there are clear divisions among major shareholders. 
If AquaPoint votes against Wang Ye at shareholders’ meeting, it indicates that there are also divisions among co-founders. In this case, the probability of Legend Bio being sold greatly increases.


Legend Biotech (LEGN.US) Offer Update - Will Deconsolidation Increase the Chances of a Merger ?

<ul>
<li>We do not want to make a premature conclusion about this acquisition too early. For both Legend Bio and Genscript, this acquisition is worth considering, given the geopolitical risks.</li>
<li>There could be difference in expectations between buyers and sellers regarding the acquisition price. For fear of losing their jobs, Legend Bio's management may not be happy about being acquired.</li>
<li>Considering the high uncertainty, our suggestion is that investors spend more time on the fundamentals of Legend Bio, rather than just betting on the success of the acquisition.</li>
</ul>


We do not want to make a premature conclusion about this acquisition too early. For both Legend Bio and Genscript, this acquisition is worth considering, given the geopolitical risks.
There could be difference in expectations between buyers and sellers regarding the acquisition price. For fear of losing their jobs, Legend Bio's management may not be happy about being acquired.
Considering the high uncertainty, our suggestion is that investors spend more time on the fundamentals of Legend Bio, rather than just betting on the success of the acquisition.


Legend Biotech (LEGN.US) Offer Update - Is the Deal Really Dead?

China

GenScript Biotech is a global biotechnology company providing life science research services and products, including gene synthesis, peptide synthesis, protein production, and antibody development. It also offers biologics contract development and manufacturing (CDMO) services and industrial synthetic biology products. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Nanjing, China.

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GenScript Biotech (1548 HK)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I, PA Gooddoctor, Nec Networks, Genscript/Legend, ASM PT, Hanwha

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (NOVEMBER 13)

Mainland China's A-share market advanced after Trump's election as South Connect buying hit a 3 year high. Sands China had a breakout as Macau...

David Mudd

StubWorld: Hanwha Corp; Genscript Biotech/Legend Biotech

Hanwha Corp appears attractive here. The pushback is that HC is thinly traded. And Genscript’s deconsolidation has minimal impact on financials...

David Blennerhassett

Legend Biotech (LEGN.US) Offer Update - Will Deconsolidation Increase the Chances of a Merger ?

The deconsolidation of Legend Bio may not necessarily be directly related to a potential merger, but divisions among major shareholders/co-founders...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Legend Biotech (LEGN.US) Offer Update - Is the Deal Really Dead?

Given the geopolitical risks, this acquisition is worth considering for both Legend Bio and Genscript. However, the main obstacles are disagreement...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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