Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Moore Threads Technology / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the review period nearly complete, we forecast 4 constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> and 10 constituent changes for the STAR100 Index in March.</li>
<li>We estimate turnover of 9.1% for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> and 9.6% for the STAR100 Index. The estimated round-trip net trade is CNY 28.55bn (US$4.1bn).</li>
<li>There has been big unwinding of ETF holdings (likely the National Team at work) recently and that reduces the flow and impact for the index changes.</li>
</ul>


With the review period nearly complete, we forecast 4 constituent changes for the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) and 10 constituent changes for the STAR100 Index in March.
We estimate turnover of 9.1% for the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) and 9.6% for the STAR100 Index. The estimated round-trip net trade is CNY 28.55bn (US$4.1bn).
There has been big unwinding of ETF holdings (likely the National Team at work) recently and that reduces the flow and impact for the index changes.


STAR50/STAR100 Index Rebalance Preview: Huge Outperformance as National Team Redeems ETF Holdings

Cambricon Technologies  Lt / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There is 1 constituent change for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50 INDEX</a> and 5 changes for the STAR100 Index at the next rebalance that will be implemented at the close on 12 September.</li>
<li>We estimate one-way turnover of 6.1% for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> resulting in a round-trip trade of CNY 23.8bn (US$3.3bn).</li>
<li>There will be huge capping outflows for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cambricon-technologies-corp-lt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31068:1" rel="noopener">Cambricon Technologies Lt (688256 CH)</a> following the massive rally in the stock over the last couple of months.</li>
</ul>


There is 1 constituent change for the STAR50 INDEX and 5 changes for the STAR100 Index at the next rebalance that will be implemented at the close on 12 September.
We estimate one-way turnover of 6.1% for the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) resulting in a round-trip trade of CNY 23.8bn (US$3.3bn).
There will be huge capping outflows for Cambricon Technologies Lt (688256 CH) following the massive rally in the stock over the last couple of months.


STAR50/STAR100 Index Rebalance: Changes & Capping Lead to US$3.3bn Trade

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Qi An Xin Technology Group  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>STAR 50 Index is a tech-focused, blue-chip index in Mainland China which tracks the top 50 largest and most liquid names in the STAR market of the Shanghai Stock Exchange.</li>
<li>STAR 100 index tracks the next 100 names (51st-150th ranks) and it represents the mid-cap segment of the STAR market.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for the STAR 50 and STAR 100 indices for the September 2025 index rebal event.</li>
</ul>


STAR 50 Index is a tech-focused, blue-chip index in Mainland China which tracks the top 50 largest and most liquid names in the STAR market of the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
STAR 100 index tracks the next 100 names (51st-150th ranks) and it represents the mid-cap segment of the STAR market.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for the STAR 50 and STAR 100 indices for the September 2025 index rebal event.


Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50/100 Sep25: Reference Period Almost Complete; New Pair Trade Ideas

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 500 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Henan Shenhuo Coal &amp; Power, Guangxi Liugong Machinery, Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy, Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing, Shenergy, Maanshan Iron &amp; Steel, Yonghui Superstores.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 500 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Henan Shenhuo Coal &amp; Power, Guangxi Liugong Machinery, Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy, Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing, Shenergy, Maanshan Iron &amp; Steel, Yonghui Superstores.


CSI 500 Index Earning Revision (Jun): Henan Shenhuo Coal & Power, Guangxi Liugong Machinery

Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50/100 Sep25: Some High-Impact Names; New Sector-Neutral Pair Trade Ideas

China

Geovis Technology Co.,Ltd develops and sells big data system. The Company develops and sells digital earth base platform products, digital earth application platform, and other products. Geovis Technology markets its products throughout China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Geovis Technology (688568 CH)

STAR50/STAR100 Index Rebalance Preview: Huge Outperformance as National Team Redeems ETF Holdings

4 changes forecast for the STAR50 and 10 for the STAR100 resulting in a net round-trip trade of US$4.1bn. The National Team has been redeeming...

Brian Freitas

STAR50/STAR100 Index Rebalance: Changes & Capping Lead to US$3.3bn Trade

The STAR50 and STAR100 indices rebalance at the close today. The add is up, the delete is down, and the big capping name sold off hard before...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50/100 Sep25: Reference Period Almost Complete; New Pair Trade Ideas

We see one change for STAR 50 and five separate changes for STAR 100 in the September 2025 index review. Most of these expectations are final but...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

CSI 500 Index Earning Revision (Jun): Henan Shenhuo Coal & Power, Guangxi Liugong Machinery

We analyzed CSI 500's consensus for Jun 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Henan Shenhuo Coal & Power (000933 CH), Guangxi Liugong Machinery...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50/100 Sep25: Some High-Impact Names; New Sector-Neutral Pair Trade Ideas

Qi An Xin Technology Group (688561 CH) is a high-conviction DEL with ~6x ADV to sell. It could underperform peers over the next few weeks.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)