IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-fengxiang-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29164:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Fengxiang (9977 HK)</a> has disclosed a preconditional privatisation offer from PAG, the controlling shareholder, at HK$2.00 per H share, a 33.3% premium to the undisturbed price.  </li>
<li>The precondition relates to regulatory approvals. The key conditions for the privatisation will be approval by at least 75% independent H Shareholders (&lt;10% of all independent H Shareholders rejection). </li>
<li>The shareholders with blocking stakes which have not provided irrevocables will likely be supportive as the offer is reasonable and there is a potential scrip alternative. </li>
</ul>



Shandong Fengxiang (9977 HK) has disclosed a preconditional privatisation offer from PAG, the controlling shareholder, at HK$2.00 per H share, a 33.3% premium to the undisturbed price.  
The precondition relates to regulatory approvals. The key conditions for the privatisation will be approval by at least 75% independent H Shareholders (&lt;10% of all independent H Shareholders rejection). 
The shareholders with blocking stakes which have not provided irrevocables will likely be supportive as the offer is reasonable and there is a potential scrip alternative. 


Fengxiang (9977 HK): PAG’s Preconditional Privatisation Offer at HK$2.00

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-fengxiang-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29164:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Fengxiang (9977 HK)</a> entered a trading halt “<em>pending the release of an announcement pursuant to the Code on Takeovers and Mergers.</em>” PAG, the controlling shareholder, likely aims to privatise Fengxiang. </li>
<li>The offer will likely be structured as a privatisation by merger by absorption requiring approval by at least 75% of independent H Shareholders (&lt;10% of all independent H Shareholders rejection). </li>
<li>The presence of several substantial shareholders necessitates a reasonable offer. An offer of HK$1.80-2.00 (a 21%—33% premium to the last close) could win over these shareholders' backing.</li>
</ul>



Shandong Fengxiang (9977 HK) entered a trading halt “pending the release of an announcement pursuant to the Code on Takeovers and Mergers.” PAG, the controlling shareholder, likely aims to privatise Fengxiang. 
The offer will likely be structured as a privatisation by merger by absorption requiring approval by at least 75% of independent H Shareholders (&lt;10% of all independent H Shareholders rejection). 
The presence of several substantial shareholders necessitates a reasonable offer. An offer of HK$1.80-2.00 (a 21%—33% premium to the last close) could win over these shareholders' backing.


Fengxiang (9977 HK): Privatisation by PAG?

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Core profit for 2024 and 4Q24 came in slightly below expectations due to higher-than-expected tax expenses.</li><li>The 4Q24 profit declined YoY as 4Q-1Q is the low season for the broiler export <span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">business.</span></li><li>The valuation metrics show that the stock remains fundamentally attractive, with the stock price decline opening up 43% upside to the fair value.</li></ul>

Core profit for 2024 and 4Q24 came in slightly below expectations due to higher-than-expected tax expenses.The 4Q24 profit declined YoY as 4Q-1Q is the low season for the broiler export business.The valuation metrics show that the stock remains fundamentally attractive, with the stock price decline opening up 43% upside to the fair value.

GFPT - 4Q24 Core Profit Down 23% YoY and 45% QoQ

Rojana Industrial Park / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with resistance at 1,270/1,275 points and the support at 1,254/1,244 points.</li><li>In the medium term, the index remains in a zig-zag down downtrend, searching for the bottom within the 1,220-1,506 point range.</li><li>In the short term, a technical rebound is underway after the index hit a 4-year 3-month low at 1,236.80 points (on the morning of Monday, Feb. 17).</li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with resistance at 1,270/1,275 points and the support at 1,254/1,244 points.In the medium term, the index remains in a zig-zag down downtrend, searching for the bottom within the 1,220-1,506 point range.In the short term, a technical rebound is underway after the index hit a 4-year 3-month low at 1,236.80 points (on the morning of Monday, Feb. 17).

<ul><li>Although 2024E core profit is expected to have surged by 49%, 4Q24E core profit is projected to have declined by 12% YoY and 37% QoQ ( the weakest quarter of the year) due to the seasonal low period for the broiler export business in 4Q-1Q.</li><li>Hence, there is a lack of catalysts over the next three months.</li><li>The valuation metrics remain attractive in the short term, as the stock's decline has opened 38% upside to its fair value.</li></ul>

Although 2024E core profit is expected to have surged by 49%, 4Q24E core profit is projected to have declined by 12% YoY and 37% QoQ ( the weakest quarter of the year) due to the seasonal low period for the broiler export business in 4Q-1Q.Hence, there is a lack of catalysts over the next three months.The valuation metrics remain attractive in the short term, as the stock's decline has opened 38% upside to its fair value.

GFPT - 4Q24E Core Profit Expected to Have Fallen 12% YoY and 37% QoQ

Thailand

GFPT Public Company Limited operates a fully integrated poultry business, encompassing feed mills, breeder and broiler farms, hatcheries, chicken evisceration, and processed food production. The company produces and distributes fresh, frozen, and cooked chicken products, as well as land and aquatic animal feed, for both domestic and international markets. GFPT was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

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GFPT (GFPT TB)

Fengxiang (9977 HK): PAG’s Preconditional Privatisation Offer at HK$2.00

The shareholders with blocking stakes which have not provided irrevocables will likely be supportive as the offer is reasonable and there is a...

Arun George

Fengxiang (9977 HK): Privatisation by PAG?

The presence of several substantial shareholders necessitates a reasonable offer. An offer of HK$1.80-2.00 (a 21%—33% premium to the last close)...

Arun George

GFPT - 4Q24 Core Profit Down 23% YoY and 45% QoQ

The valuation metrics show that the stock remains fundamentally attractive, with the stock price decline opening up 43% upside to the fair value.

Krungthai XSpring

Strategic Daily Picks

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with resistance at 1,270/1,275 points and the support at 1,254/1,244 points. In the...

Krungthai XSpring

GFPT - 4Q24E Core Profit Expected to Have Fallen 12% YoY and 37% QoQ

Although 2024E core profit is expected to have surged by 49%, 4Q24E core profit is projected to have declined by 12% YoY and 37% QoQ

Krungthai XSpring

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