HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Since 2025, there have been 48 H-share IPOs of listed A-shares, with most seeing HA discounts widen post-listing, with only 20 narrowing.</li>
<li>Only AI-related H-share IPOs achieved meaningful HA discount narrowing (over 10pp), with non-AI names failing since May 2025.</li>
<li>The market capitalisation of these IPOs is not decisive for the HA discount change, and the overall market effect has little impact. Hence, the AI theme remains the key.</li>
</ul>


Since 2025, there have been 48 H-share IPOs of listed A-shares, with most seeing HA discounts widen post-listing, with only 20 narrowing.
Only AI-related H-share IPOs achieved meaningful HA discount narrowing (over 10pp), with non-AI names failing since May 2025.
The market capitalisation of these IPOs is not decisive for the HA discount change, and the overall market effect has little impact. Hence, the AI theme remains the key.


China Strategy: Evolution of H-Share IPO Premium/Discount

<ul>
<li>The collapse of the US markets on Friday, following better-than-expected nonfarm payrolls in May, is expected to send the Asian markets into panic on Monday.</li>
<li>The IPOs in Hong Kong this year are vulnerable, especially those that performed well, like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/knowledge-atlas-technology-joint-stock-company-limited-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44500:1" rel="noopener">Knowledge Atlas Technology (2513 HK)</a> and Beijing Deepzero Technology (2723 HK).</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/giga-device-semiconductor-inc-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46238:1" rel="noopener">GigaDevice Semiconductor (3986 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/montage-technology-co-ltd-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46333:1" rel="noopener">Montage Technology (6809 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/minimax-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46185:1" rel="noopener">MiniMax (100 HK)</a> are also riskier names in the current market environment. </li>
</ul>


The collapse of the US markets on Friday, following better-than-expected nonfarm payrolls in May, is expected to send the Asian markets into panic on Monday.
The IPOs in Hong Kong this year are vulnerable, especially those that performed well, like Knowledge Atlas Technology (2513 HK) and Beijing Deepzero Technology (2723 HK).

GigaDevice Semiconductor (3986 HK), Montage Technology (6809 HK), and MiniMax (100 HK) are also riskier names in the current market environment. 


HK Strategy: The Imminent Sell-Off - What IPOs Are More Vulnerable?

<ul>
<li>The H-share IPOs of listed A-shares since 2025 witnessed a 6.6pp contraction in HA discount, compared with only 2.7pp for the Hang Seng Stock Connect China AH Premium Index.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/giga-device-semiconductor-inc-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46238:1" rel="noopener">GigaDevice Semiconductor (3986 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/montage-technology-co-ltd-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46333:1" rel="noopener">Montage Technology (6809 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/victory-giant-technology-huizhou-co-ltd-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:48083:1" rel="noopener">Victory Giant (2476 HK)</a> are the only 3 with both good discount contraction, fast growth and large size.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technology-co-limited-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45179:1" rel="noopener">Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK)</a> is large in size but not as fast in growth. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delton-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:47605:1" rel="noopener">Delton Technology (1989 HK)</a>'s market capitalisation is relatively small.  </li>
</ul>


The H-share IPOs of listed A-shares since 2025 witnessed a 6.6pp contraction in HA discount, compared with only 2.7pp for the Hang Seng Stock Connect China AH Premium Index.

GigaDevice Semiconductor (3986 HK), Montage Technology (6809 HK), and Victory Giant (2476 HK) are the only 3 with both good discount contraction, fast growth and large size.

Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK) is large in size but not as fast in growth. Delton Technology (1989 HK)'s market capitalisation is relatively small.  


HK Strategy: H-Share IPOs - Both Growth and Size Count Now

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Equity Capital Markets

Shenzhen Transsion Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Transsion, a mobile phone maker focused on Africa and other emerging markets, launched its IPO to raise USD 428m through an A+H listing. CITIC is the sole sponsor.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the deal terms and provide our thoughts on valuation for the company.</li>
<li>We analyze reference A+H transactions, cornerstone and sponsor performance and assess the risk-reward of the deal.</li>
</ul>


Transsion, a mobile phone maker focused on Africa and other emerging markets, launched its IPO to raise USD 428m through an A+H listing. CITIC is the sole sponsor.
In this note, we look at the deal terms and provide our thoughts on valuation for the company.
We analyze reference A+H transactions, cornerstone and sponsor performance and assess the risk-reward of the deal.


Transsion (传音控股) A+H IPO: Analysis of Deal Terms

<ul>
<li>Since 2025, four H-share IPOs of the A-shares have been trading below their listing price.  They are either of slow growth or a light HA discount.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/foshan-haitian-flavouring-food-company-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44279:1" rel="noopener">Foshan Haitian (3288 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kin-yat-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13688:1" rel="noopener">Fibocom Wireless (638 HK)</a> are burdened by slow earnings, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seres-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45945:1" rel="noopener">Seres Group (9927 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/car-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:942:1" rel="noopener">Joyson Electronics (699 HK)</a> are weighted down by light discount. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-longcheer-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36881:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Longcheer Technology (603341 CH</a><a target="_blank" rel="noopener"> )</a>'s H-share IPO appears attractive, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/muyuan-foods" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45241:1" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foods (MUYUAN HK)</a> may need a steeper discount given its weaker earnings.</li>
</ul>


Since 2025, four H-share IPOs of the A-shares have been trading below their listing price.  They are either of slow growth or a light HA discount.

Foshan Haitian (3288 HK) and Fibocom Wireless (638 HK) are burdened by slow earnings, while Seres Group (9927 HK) and Joyson Electronics (699 HK) are weighted down by light discount. 

Shanghai Longcheer Technology (603341 CH )'s H-share IPO appears attractive, while Muyuan Foods (MUYUAN HK) may need a steeper discount given its weaker earnings.


HK Strategy: What to Avoid in the H-Share IPO of A-Shares?

China

GigaDevice Semiconductor Inc. is a fabless semiconductor company specializing in advanced memory technologies, microcontrollers (MCUs), sensors, and analog products. Its offerings include SPI NOR Flash, SPI NAND Flash, Parallel NAND Flash, and MCUs based on ARM and RISC-V architectures. The company was founded in April 2005 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

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GigaDevice Semiconductor (3986 HK)

HK Strategy: The Imminent Sell-Off - What IPOs Are More Vulnerable?

The US market collapse on Friday will trigger panic in Asian markets. HK IPOs like Knowledge Atlas, Beijing Deepzero, GigaDevice Semiconductor,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Transsion (传音控股) A+H IPO: Analysis of Deal Terms

We analyze Transsion's USD 428m Hong Kong IPO. We look at deal terms, track records of cornerstone investors and sponsors, as well as its...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Dividend (Yield)

China Strategy: Evolution of H-Share IPO Premium/Discount

​Most of the H-share IPOs of listed A-shares since 2025 saw HA discounts widen post-listing, with only AI-related IPOs achieving meaningful...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HK Strategy: The Imminent Sell-Off - What IPOs Are More Vulnerable?

​The US market collapse on Friday will trigger panic in Asian markets. HK IPOs like Knowledge Atlas, Beijing Deepzero, GigaDevice Semiconductor,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HK Strategy: H-Share IPOs - Both Growth and Size Count Now

​H-share IPOs of A-shares since 2025 show significant HA discount contraction, with GigaDevice Semiconductor, Montage Technology, and Victory Giant...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Transsion (传音控股) A+H IPO: Analysis of Deal Terms

We analyze Transsion's USD 428m Hong Kong IPO. We look at deal terms, track records of cornerstone investors and sponsors, as well as its...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Strategy: What to Avoid in the H-Share IPO of A-Shares?

​Four H-share IPOs of A-shares since 2025 are trading below the listing price due to slow growth or a light discount. Meanwhile, Shanghai Longcheer...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Most of the H-share IPOs of listed A-shares since 2025 saw HA discounts widen post-listing, with only AI-related IPOs achieving meaningful...

The US market collapse on Friday will trigger panic in Asian markets. HK IPOs like Knowledge Atlas, Beijing Deepzero, GigaDevice Semiconductor,...

H-share IPOs of A-shares since 2025 show significant HA discount contraction, with GigaDevice Semiconductor, Montage Technology, and Victory Giant...

Four H-share IPOs of A-shares since 2025 are trading below the listing price due to slow growth or a light discount. Meanwhile, Shanghai Longcheer...