Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gmo-internet-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13631:1" rel="noopener">GMO Internet Group (9449 JP)</a> needs to sell shares in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gmo-internet-inc-919fd60b-ad2a-4c5f-b333-167a849b67b0" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9029:1" rel="noopener">GMO Internet (4784 JP)</a> to achieve a "float" of 35% by 31 December 2026. Recent filings show they are selling. </li>
<li>Preceding my comments on the GMO group - and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haw-par-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9898:1" rel="noopener">Haw Par Corp (HPAR SP)</a>/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-overseas-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:113:1" rel="noopener">UOB (UOB SP)</a> - are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



GMO Internet Group (9449 JP) needs to sell shares in GMO Internet (4784 JP) to achieve a "float" of 35% by 31 December 2026. Recent filings show they are selling. 
Preceding my comments on the GMO group - and Haw Par Corp (HPAR SP)/ UOB (UOB SP) - are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Stay Short On GMO Internet (4784 JP); Haw Par Now Even More Stretched

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>I have harped on the fact that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gmo-internet-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13631:1" rel="noopener">GMO Internet Group (9449 JP)</a> has to sell <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gmo-internet-inc-919fd60b-ad2a-4c5f-b333-167a849b67b0" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9029:1" rel="noopener">GMO Internet (4784 JP)</a> shares with the goal to get 35% tradable shares by end-2025.</li>
<li>I have written about it <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/gmo-internet-4784-dropdown-holdco-gone-ballistic-squeezed-on-truly-tiny-float" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/gmo-internet-4784-offering-this-is-a-ginormous-re-ipo-avoid-like-the-plague" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/gmo-internet-4784-squeeze-able-so-squeezing-offering-likely-gets-pulled-avoid-like-the-plague" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/gmo-internet-4784-shares-appear-manipulated-squeezed-again-but-parentco-must-sell" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a>. The price needs to be lower so the parent can launch a HUGE block. The stock must be less squeeze-able.</li>
<li>It turns out the parent started selling in the market the day after the Offering was cancelled. The setup is delicious now.</li>
</ul>


I have harped on the fact that GMO Internet Group (9449 JP) has to sell GMO Internet (4784 JP) shares with the goal to get 35% tradable shares by end-2025.
I have written about it here, here, here, and here. The price needs to be lower so the parent can launch a HUGE block. The stock must be less squeeze-able.
It turns out the parent started selling in the market the day after the Offering was cancelled. The setup is delicious now.


GMO Internet (4784) - GMO Internet Parent Has Been SELLING In The Market

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gmo-internet-inc-919fd60b-ad2a-4c5f-b333-167a849b67b0" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9029:1" rel="noopener">GMO Internet (4784 JP)</a> stays listed if/when <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gmo-internet-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13631:1" rel="noopener">GMO Internet Group (9449 JP)</a> sells (a lot of) shares. Yet 4784 remains stubbornly - manipulated (?) - at nosebleed valuations. </li>
<li>Preceding my comments on the GMO group - and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dah-sing-financial-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:589:1" rel="noopener">Dah Sing Financial (440 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/axiata-group-berhad" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:944:1" rel="noopener">Axiata Group (AXIATA MK)</a> - are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos</li>
<li>Hese relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



GMO Internet (4784 JP) stays listed if/when GMO Internet Group (9449 JP) sells (a lot of) shares. Yet 4784 remains stubbornly - manipulated (?) - at nosebleed valuations. 
Preceding my comments on the GMO group - and Dah Sing Financial (440 HK) and Axiata Group (AXIATA MK) - are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos
Hese relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Absent Borrow, GMO Internet (4784) Is An Avoid

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gmo-internet-inc-919fd60b-ad2a-4c5f-b333-167a849b67b0" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9029:1" rel="noopener">GMO Internet (4784 JP)</a> was squeezed after a merger which was a Reverse Takeover followed by a ridiculous TOPIX inclusion. Then the parent tried an offering, which failed. </li>
<li>The clearing price demanded was WAAAY lower so the offering was pulled. Shares fell 70%, then bounced 65%. Now 48x book and 66x EBITDA for an ISP. Super expensive. Manipulated.</li>
<li>ParentCo needs to sell 90mm shares ASAP. The only clean way is through a liquidation trust to get shares lower before a larger offering.</li>
</ul>



GMO Internet (4784 JP) was squeezed after a merger which was a Reverse Takeover followed by a ridiculous TOPIX inclusion. Then the parent tried an offering, which failed. 
The clearing price demanded was WAAAY lower so the offering was pulled. Shares fell 70%, then bounced 65%. Now 48x book and 66x EBITDA for an ISP. Super expensive. Manipulated.
ParentCo needs to sell 90mm shares ASAP. The only clean way is through a liquidation trust to get shares lower before a larger offering.


GMO Internet (4784) - Shares Appear Manipulated/Squeezed (Again), but ParentCo MUST SELL

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gmo-internet-inc-919fd60b-ad2a-4c5f-b333-167a849b67b0" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9029:1" rel="noopener">GMO Internet (4784 JP)</a> was created by the reverse takeover of a listed cad/media company by its parent company's "internet infrastructure" business. GMO Internet Group ended up with ~98%.</li>
<li>In the process, the stock rose 500%. Now, as part of its promise to the TSE allowing TSE Prime membership for the extraordinarily low-float target, the parent is offering shares.</li>
<li>The squeeze has it at 180x Dec25e EPS, 111x EBIT, 70x book. The offering likely gets pulled and the stock isn't shortable... so what next? Pain, and an ECLWO.</li>
</ul>



GMO Internet (4784 JP) was created by the reverse takeover of a listed cad/media company by its parent company's "internet infrastructure" business. GMO Internet Group ended up with ~98%.
In the process, the stock rose 500%. Now, as part of its promise to the TSE allowing TSE Prime membership for the extraordinarily low-float target, the parent is offering shares.
The squeeze has it at 180x Dec25e EPS, 111x EBIT, 70x book. The offering likely gets pulled and the stock isn't shortable... so what next? Pain, and an ECLWO.


GMO Internet (4784) - Squeeze-Able So Squeezing, Offering Likely Gets Pulled - AVOID LIKE THE PLAGUE

Japan

GMO Internet, Inc. offers marketing services. The Company offers internet advertising, mobile advertising, search engine marketing, and other services to medium sized advertising agencies. GMO Internet conducts businesses throughout Japan.

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GMO Internet (4784 JP)

StubWorld: Stay Short On GMO Internet (4784 JP); Haw Par Now Even More Stretched

GMO Internet (9449 JP) needs to sell GMO Internet (4784), and it is doing so. If you can take down borrow on 4784, stay short. It could get bumpy....

David Blennerhassett

GMO Internet (4784) - GMO Internet Parent Has Been SELLING In The Market

GMO backdoor-listed their ISP/portal biz into GMO Ad Partners (now GMO Internet). Then got a TOPIX listing with 1.2% float. So SQUEEZE. In 9 weeks,...

Travis Lundy

StubWorld: Absent Borrow, GMO Internet (4784) Is An Avoid

The trade is simple - avoid GMO Internet (4784 JP). Or take down borrow, where possible, for the persistent few who are up to the challenge.

David Blennerhassett

GMO Internet (4784) - Shares Appear Manipulated/Squeezed (Again), but ParentCo MUST SELL

GMO Internet was manipulated higher this spring, then an offering failed, and the stock fell 70%. It is bouncing again. But the stock NEEDS to fall...

Travis Lundy

GMO Internet (4784) - Squeeze-Able So Squeezing, Offering Likely Gets Pulled - AVOID LIKE THE PLAGUE

Re-boomeranging this. Since I wrote, the stock is down more than 40%. The shares have now broken ¥2,000/share. We still have an additional 50% to...

Travis Lundy

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