External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Underlying volume CAGR to sustain revenue to grow by 8/11% on YoY/four-year CAGR: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 8/11% on YoY/four-year CAGR in revenue in Q1FY24 (vs 23/10% in Q1FY23 and 9/9% in Q4FY23)</li><li>Continuing from previous quarters the demand environment remained stable led by urban markets while rural recovery was below expectation</li><li>The FMCG sector is expected to witness a gradual recovery in demand led by moderating inflation improving consumer confidence and an increase in government spending</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Underlying volume CAGR to sustain revenue to grow by 8/11% on YoY/four-year CAGR: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 8/11% on YoY/four-year CAGR in revenue in Q1FY24 (vs 23/10% in Q1FY23 and 9/9% in Q4FY23)Continuing from previous quarters the demand environment remained stable led by urban markets while rural recovery was below expectationThe FMCG sector is expected to witness a gradual recovery in demand led by moderating inflation improving consumer confidence and an increase in government spendingContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FMCG & Alco Bev - Slow Pick-Up in Growth, Margin Expansion to Continue

<ul><li>The HSIE consumer index sales grew by 12% YoY in Q4FY23 (+11% in Q4FY22, +11% in Q3FY23)</li><li>On a four-year CAGR basis, the universe clocked 9% growth in Q4FY23, a trend similar to that witnessed in the previous few quarters</li><li>On a four-year CAGR basis, Paints/QSR/F&amp;B/Home Care have grown ahead of our index average (14/13/12/11%) in Q4FY23</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The HSIE consumer index sales grew by 12% YoY in Q4FY23 (+11% in Q4FY22, +11% in Q3FY23)On a four-year CAGR basis, the universe clocked 9% growth in Q4FY23, a trend similar to that witnessed in the previous few quartersOn a four-year CAGR basis, Paints/QSR/F&amp;B/Home Care have grown ahead of our index average (14/13/12/11%) in Q4FY23Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Media reports indicate that the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN)</a> merger with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/housing-development-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:252:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Limited (HDFC IN)</a> is expected to complete in 4-5 weeks.</li>
<li>There will be inclusions to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index </a>and capping changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Bank Index</a> apart from changes to global indices.</li>
<li>While the impact on the merging entities is not big, there will be fairly large flows on some stocks that are index inclusions or affected by capping changes.</li>
</ul>


Media reports indicate that the HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) merger with HDFC Limited (HDFC IN) is expected to complete in 4-5 weeks.
There will be inclusions to the NIFTY Index, Nifty Next 50 Index and S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index and capping changes to the Nifty Bank Index apart from changes to global indices.
While the impact on the merging entities is not big, there will be fairly large flows on some stocks that are index inclusions or affected by capping changes.


HDFC/​​​​​HDFC Bank Mega Merger Expected to Complete in a Few Weeks: Index Implications

<ul><li>Asian Paints: Asian Paints’ top line grew 11.3% YoY (four-year CAGR: 15%), marginally short of expectations (var: -1.6%)</li><li>The decorative business clocked 16/13% volume/value growth (15/12% volume/value growth YoY in Q4FY23)</li><li>The mix in Q4 was led by economy emulsions and waterproofing</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Asian Paints: Asian Paints’ top line grew 11.3% YoY (four-year CAGR: 15%), marginally short of expectations (var: -1.6%)The decorative business clocked 16/13% volume/value growth (15/12% volume/value growth YoY in Q4FY23)The mix in Q4 was led by economy emulsions and waterproofingContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Asian Paints, Godrej Consumers, Eicher Motors

HSIE Results Daily: Asian Paints, Godrej Consumers, Eicher Motors, Aditya Birla Capital

India

Godrej Consumer Products Limited manufactures personal care, hair care, household care and fabric care products. The Company's products include toilet soaps, cosmetics, shaving creams, talcum powder, household cleaners and fabric detergents.

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Godrej Consumer Products (GCPL IN)

FMCG & Alco Bev - Slow Pick-Up in Growth, Margin Expansion to Continue

Continuing from previous quarters the demand environment remained stable led by urban markets while rural recovery was below expectation

HDFC Securities

FMCG: Demand recovery lags margins

On a four-year CAGR basis, the universe clocked 9% growth in Q4FY23, a trend similar to that witnessed in the previous few quarters

HDFC Securities

HDFC/HDFC Bank Mega Merger Expected to Complete in a Few Weeks: Index Implications

Media reports indicate that the HDFC Bank merger with HDFC Ltd is expected to complete in 4-5 weeks. There will be ad hoc inclusions to the...

Brian Freitas

HSIE Results Daily: Asian Paints, Godrej Consumers, Eicher Motors

Asian Paints: Asian Paints’ top line grew 11.3% YoY (four-year CAGR: 15%), marginally short of expectations (var: -1.6%). The decorative business...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Asian Paints, Godrej Consumers, Eicher Motors, Aditya Birla Capital

Asian Paints: Asian Paints’ top line grew 11.3% YoY (four-year CAGR: 15%), marginally short of expectations (var: -1.6%). The decorative business...

HDFC Securities

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FMCG & Alco Bev - Slow Pick-Up in Growth, Margin Expansion to Continue

Continuing from previous quarters the demand environment remained stable led by urban markets while rural recovery was below expectation

HDFC Securities

FMCG: Demand recovery lags margins

On a four-year CAGR basis, the universe clocked 9% growth in Q4FY23, a trend similar to that witnessed in the previous few quarters

HDFC Securities

HDFC/​​​​​HDFC Bank Mega Merger Expected to Complete in a Few Weeks: Index Implications

Media reports indicate that the HDFC Bank merger with HDFC Ltd is expected to complete in 4-5 weeks. There will be ad hoc inclusions to the...

Brian Freitas

HSIE Results Daily: Asian Paints, Godrej Consumers, Eicher Motors

Asian Paints: Asian Paints’ top line grew 11.3% YoY (four-year CAGR: 15%), marginally short of expectations (var: -1.6%). The decorative business...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Asian Paints, Godrej Consumers, Eicher Motors, Aditya Birla Capital

Asian Paints: Asian Paints’ top line grew 11.3% YoY (four-year CAGR: 15%), marginally short of expectations (var: -1.6%). The decorative business...

HDFC Securities

HDFC/HDFC Bank Mega Merger Expected to Complete in a Few Weeks: Index Implications