External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Equity Bottom-Up

Godrej Consumer Products / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>GCPL announced the acquisition of Raymond’s FMCG portfolio (Park Avenue and KamaSutra) on a slump sale basis for a total gross consideration of INR 28.3bn (EV/revenue 4.6x and EV/EBITDA ~55x of FY23E)</li><li>The acquisition helps improve GCPL’s India TAM and diversify its offerings into categories with low penetration and multi-year high-growth opportunities</li><li>Besides, the inefficient cost structure of the entity in its present form presents an opportunity to expand the margin from single-digits to mid-teens (management is guiding early-mid-twenties by FY25).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

GCPL announced the acquisition of Raymond’s FMCG portfolio (Park Avenue and KamaSutra) on a slump sale basis for a total gross consideration of INR 28.3bn (EV/revenue 4.6x and EV/EBITDA ~55x of FY23E)The acquisition helps improve GCPL’s India TAM and diversify its offerings into categories with low penetration and multi-year high-growth opportunitiesBesides, the inefficient cost structure of the entity in its present form presents an opportunity to expand the margin from single-digits to mid-teens (management is guiding early-mid-twenties by FY25).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Godrej Consumers - Acquisition to Be Earnings Dilutive

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Expect improvement in volume CAGR, revenue to grow by 10/9% on YoY/four-year CAGR: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 10/9% on YoY/four-year CAGR in revenue in Q4FY23 (vs 12/8% in Q4FY22 and 8/10% in Q3FY23)</li><li>Companies have started seeing a gradual recovery in demand, however, it still falls short of a full recovery</li><li>Urban markets returned to positive volume growth while rural markets still remain muted</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Expect improvement in volume CAGR, revenue to grow by 10/9% on YoY/four-year CAGR: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 10/9% on YoY/four-year CAGR in revenue in Q4FY23 (vs 12/8% in Q4FY22 and 8/10% in Q3FY23)Companies have started seeing a gradual recovery in demand, however, it still falls short of a full recoveryUrban markets returned to positive volume growth while rural markets still remain mutedContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FMCG & Alco Bev: Respite in demand and margins pressure

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), EAFE (EFA-US), and EM (EEM-US) are all reversing topside their 2-month downtrends.</li>
<li>Despite this being a bullish short-term development, we still expect $93 to cap upside on the ACWI-US, leaving about 4-5% upside from here (at time of writing)</li>
<li>As a result, we would use any further strength as an opportunity to get more defensive. Actionable Themes: REA-AU, GFL-CA, GFL-US, Consumer Staples, Health Care, and Gold Miners</li>
</ul>


The MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), EAFE (EFA-US), and EM (EEM-US) are all reversing topside their 2-month downtrends.
Despite this being a bullish short-term development, we still expect $93 to cap upside on the ACWI-US, leaving about 4-5% upside from here (at time of writing)
As a result, we would use any further strength as an opportunity to get more defensive. Actionable Themes: REA-AU, GFL-CA, GFL-US, Consumer Staples, Health Care, and Gold Miners


Shift To Defensives as $ACWI Makes Push for $93; Remain Overweight Europe; Opptys in China/HK, Japan

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Honasa Consumer  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Honasa Consumer (HC) is looking to raise about US$350m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>HC’s product portfolio includes products in the baby care, face care, body care, hair care, color cosmetics and fragrances segments.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


Honasa Consumer (HC) is looking to raise about US$350m in its upcoming India IPO.
HC’s product portfolio includes products in the baby care, face care, body care, hair care, color cosmetics and fragrances segments.
In this note, we will talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Honasa Consumer Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Ad Spending Keeping Profits Low

<ul>
<li>Honasa Consumer (HC) is looking to raise about US$350m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>HC’s product portfolio includes products in the baby care, face care, body care, hair care, color cosmetics and fragrances segments. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


Honasa Consumer (HC) is looking to raise about US$350m in its upcoming India IPO.
HC’s product portfolio includes products in the baby care, face care, body care, hair care, color cosmetics and fragrances segments. 
In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Honasa Consumer Pre-IPO - The Positives - New Age DTC Brand

India

Godrej Consumer Products Limited manufactures personal care, hair care, household care and fabric care products. The Company's products include toilet soaps, cosmetics, shaving creams, talcum powder, household cleaners and fabric detergents.

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Godrej Consumer Products (GCPL IN)

Godrej Consumers - Acquisition to Be Earnings Dilutive

GCPL announced the acquisition of Raymond’s FMCG portfolio (Park Avenue and KamaSutra) on a slump sale basis for a total gross consideration of INR...

HDFC Securities

FMCG & Alco Bev: Respite in demand and margins pressure

Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 10/9% on YoY/four-year CAGR in revenue in Q4FY23 (vs 12/8% in Q4FY22 and 8/10% in Q3FY23)

HDFC Securities

Shift To Defensives as $ACWI Makes Push for $93; Remain Overweight Europe; Opptys in China/HK, Japan

$ACWI, $ACWX, $EFA, and $EEM all reversing topside their 2-month downtrends. Despite this bullish short-term development, we still expect $93 to...

Vermilion Research

Honasa Consumer Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Ad Spending Keeping Profits Low

Honasa Consumer (HC) is looking to raise about US$350m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

Honasa Consumer Pre-IPO - The Positives - New Age DTC Brand

Honasa Consumer, a DTC beauty and personal care brand, is looking to raise about US$350m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we will talk...

Sumeet Singh

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