External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is an Indian diversified financial services firm offering a range of financial products and services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Motilal Oswal's research report onGodrej Properties Godrej Properties (GPL) reported the highest ever bookings of INR95b, up 135%/66% YoY/QoQ and 47% above our estimate.</li><li>In FY24, bookings stood at INR225b, up 84% YoY (61%/15% higher than guidance/estimate).</li><li>Sales volume for the quarter increased 56%/88% YoY/QoQ to 8.2msf and realization was up 51% YoY to INR 11,650 psf due to higher contribution from Mumbai and the NCR.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Motilal Oswal's research report onGodrej Properties Godrej Properties (GPL) reported the highest ever bookings of INR95b, up 135%/66% YoY/QoQ and 47% above our estimate.In FY24, bookings stood at INR225b, up 84% YoY (61%/15% higher than guidance/estimate).Sales volume for the quarter increased 56%/88% YoY/QoQ to 8.2msf and realization was up 51% YoY to INR 11,650 psf due to higher contribution from Mumbai and the NCR.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Godrej Properties - Exceptional Performance Across Parameters

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-December in January. There are companies with significant float changes from end-September and/or end-December.</li>
<li>The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in action from passive trackers.</li>
<li>There are 15 stocks that could have passive inflows from global trackers while 9 could see passive outflows in February.</li>
</ul>


Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-December in January. There are companies with significant float changes from end-September and/or end-December.
The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in action from passive trackers.
There are 15 stocks that could have passive inflows from global trackers while 9 could see passive outflows in February.


India: Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in February

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Halfway through the review period, we see 6 potential changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> using the current index methodology.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 15.26% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 24bn. There will be more than 2x ADV to sell on nearly all deletes.</li>
<li>There is a possibility of an index methodology change, but no news for the last 4 months could indicate pushback from users or more stocks added to the F&amp;O market.</li>
</ul>


Halfway through the review period, we see 6 potential changes for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) using the current index methodology.
Estimated one-way turnover is 15.26% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 24bn. There will be more than 2x ADV to sell on nearly all deletes.
There is a possibility of an index methodology change, but no news for the last 4 months could indicate pushback from users or more stocks added to the F&amp;O market.


NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: 6 Changes & Big Turnover

<ul>
<li>Over the last few weeks, companies in India have been disclosing their shareholding pattern as of end-September. There are a few companies with significant float changes from end-March and/or end-June.</li>
<li>The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next couple of months resulting in action from passive trackers.</li>
<li>We find 9 stocks where there could be inflows with passive trackers needing to buy over 1 day of ADV on most stocks.</li>
</ul>


Over the last few weeks, companies in India have been disclosing their shareholding pattern as of end-September. There are a few companies with significant float changes from end-March and/or end-June.
The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next couple of months resulting in action from passive trackers.
We find 9 stocks where there could be inflows with passive trackers needing to buy over 1 day of ADV on most stocks.


India - Free Float Changes to Drive Passive Inflows

Forensic Analyst, Trudence Capital Advisors

Nitin Mangal

Forensic Analyst

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Forensic Accounting

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/godrej-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3971:1" rel="noopener">Godrej Properties (GPL IN)</a> is one of the large real estate developers in India. The company has diversified presence across four of the largest markets in India. </li>
<li>Even though Godrej has strong booking pipeline, the company however faces trouble in generating cash historically.</li>
<li>Its low ROCE, fragile earnings quality remains a concern. Other concerns include JV exposure, CWIP ageing along with few disclosure woes.</li>
</ul>



Godrej Properties (GPL IN) is one of the large real estate developers in India. The company has diversified presence across four of the largest markets in India. 
Even though Godrej has strong booking pipeline, the company however faces trouble in generating cash historically.
Its low ROCE, fragile earnings quality remains a concern. Other concerns include JV exposure, CWIP ageing along with few disclosure woes.


India

Godrej Properties, Ltd. is a real estate development company.

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Godrej Properties (GPL IN)

Godrej Properties - Exceptional Performance Across Parameters

Motilal Oswal's research report onGodrej Properties Godrej Properties (GPL) reported the highest ever bookings of INR95b, up 135%/66% YoY/QoQ and...

Motilal Oswal

India: Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in February

Changes to shareholding patterns could lead to changes in float for some stocks in local/global indices. Passive trackers will need to trade over 3...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: 6 Changes & Big Turnover

There should be 6 changes to the NEXT50 in March. NSE Indices has yet to announce next steps in the consultation that will limit membership to FnO...

Brian Freitas

India - Free Float Changes to Drive Passive Inflows

Changes to shareholding patterns could lead to changes in float for some stocks in local/global indices. Passive trackers will need to trade over 3...

Brian Freitas

Godrej Properties- Forensic Analysis

The company however faces trouble in generating cash historically. Its low ROCE, fragile earnings quality remains a concern. Other concerns include...

Nitin Mangal

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