Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22870:1" rel="noopener">Gold (GOLD COMDTY)</a> Futures (GC Apr26) have been correcting for 2 weeks in a row, this is the 3rd consecutive weeks down. Our model just issued a LONG signal.</li>
<li>The correction so far has been relatively mild from a price perspective, according to our model, classified as 'buy the dip'. But it is lasting longer than expected: 3 weeks.</li>
<li>If <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22870:1" rel="noopener">Gold (GOLD COMDTY)</a> starts to rally this week, it could trend up to 5.5k in the next 2-4 weeks.</li>
</ul>



Gold (GOLD COMDTY) Futures (GC Apr26) have been correcting for 2 weeks in a row, this is the 3rd consecutive weeks down. Our model just issued a LONG signal.
The correction so far has been relatively mild from a price perspective, according to our model, classified as 'buy the dip'. But it is lasting longer than expected: 3 weeks.
If Gold (GOLD COMDTY) starts to rally this week, it could trend up to 5.5k in the next 2-4 weeks.


GOLD Tactical Outlook: Model-Driven Long Bias Initiated

Data-Driven Commodity Research, The Commodity Report

The Commodity Report

Data-Driven Commodity Research

A unique newsletter about commodities and macro analysis in a weekly format.

Commodities

<ul><li>Gold has been consolidating over the past two weeks - even though the escalating Iran conflict would typically be expected to drive prices higher.</li><li>The metal’s muted reaction has left many market participants puzzled.</li><li>UBS explains why this is historically less surprising than it may seem: Gold’s track record as a safe haven during military conflicts is mixed - something the current price action reflects.</li></ul>

Gold has been consolidating over the past two weeks - even though the escalating Iran conflict would typically be expected to drive prices higher.The metal’s muted reaction has left many market participants puzzled.UBS explains why this is historically less surprising than it may seem: Gold’s track record as a safe haven during military conflicts is mixed - something the current price action reflects.

Is Gold Broken? Consolidation Despite Geopolitical Escalation

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

<ul>
<li>A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook</li>
<li>Warsh's "hawkishness" provides an opportunity to pick up precious metals and commodities</li>
<li>The Chinese platforms follow their Western counterparts in the raise and spend game</li>
</ul>


A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook
Warsh's "hawkishness" provides an opportunity to pick up precious metals and commodities
The Chinese platforms follow their Western counterparts in the raise and spend game


Equity Long-Short

Mo Aziz

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Geopolitical risk repricing underway; risk-on assets will soar this week!</li>
<li>The elephant in the room: Is confidence in the US eroding? A subtle shift from treasuries to gold</li>
<li>Gold soared by 16% during the Greenland takeover threat in Jan 2026; if that momentum repeats, Gold will reach USD6,000/oz </li>
</ul>


Geopolitical risk repricing underway; risk-on assets will soar this week!
The elephant in the room: Is confidence in the US eroding? A subtle shift from treasuries to gold
Gold soared by 16% during the Greenland takeover threat in Jan 2026; if that momentum repeats, Gold will reach USD6,000/oz 


Gold Is Heading to USD6,000/Oz, and Silver to USD110/Oz

<ul>
<li>Tactical WEEKLY snapshot of the Pan-Asian indices and stocks we cover, the forecasts are based on our proprietary quantitative models.</li>
<li>China/HK/Taiwan/SK markets are closed for the New Year Holiday this week.</li>
<li>Many stocks in Asia-Pacific group are overbought, and so are Gold and US Bonds, while Bitcoin and US tech stocks/indices Stocks are oversold. Short-term rotation incoming?</li>
</ul>


Tactical WEEKLY snapshot of the Pan-Asian indices and stocks we cover, the forecasts are based on our proprietary quantitative models.
China/HK/Taiwan/SK markets are closed for the New Year Holiday this week.
Many stocks in Asia-Pacific group are overbought, and so are Gold and US Bonds, while Bitcoin and US tech stocks/indices Stocks are oversold. Short-term rotation incoming?


Pan-Asian Stocks Tactical Outlook (Week Feb 16 – Feb 20)

United States

Gold is a chemical element with the symbol Au (from Latin: aurum) and the atomic number 79. In its purest form, it is a bright, slightly reddish yellow, dense, soft, malleable and ductile metal. Chemically, gold is a transition metal and a group 11 element. It is one of the least reactive chemical elements, and is solid under standard conditions. The metal therefore occurs often in free elemental (native) form, as nuggets or grains, in rocks, in veins and in alluvial deposits. It occurs in a solid solution series with the native element silver (as electrum) and also naturally alloyed with copper and palladium. Less commonly, it occurs in minerals as gold compounds, often with tellurium (gold tellurides).

Price Gauge
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Gold (GOLD COMDTY)

GOLD Tactical Outlook: Model-Driven Long Bias Initiated

Gold futures have been correcting for 3 weeks, our quant model just issued a LONG signal, suggesting a potential rally to 5.5k in the next 2-4...

Nico Rosti

Is Gold Broken? Consolidation Despite Geopolitical Escalation

Gold has been consolidating over the past two weeks - even though the escalating Iran conflict would typically be expected to drive prices higher.

The Commodity Report

Overview #75 – King Canute

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. We look at Warsh's "hawkish" speecha nd why it changes nothing

Rikki Malik

Gold Is Heading to USD6,000/Oz, and Silver to USD110/Oz

Geopolitical risk repricing leads to surge in risk-on assets, with potential shift from treasuries to gold and silver as confidence in U.S....

Mo Aziz

Pan-Asian Stocks Tactical Outlook (Week Feb 16 – Feb 20)

Weekly snapshot of global indices and stocks (note: China/HK/Taiwan/SK closed for New Year, this week). Our models shows many overbought APAC...

Nico Rosti

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

GOLD Tactical Outlook: Model-Driven Long Bias Initiated

​Gold futures have been correcting for 3 weeks, our quant model just issued a LONG signal, suggesting a potential rally to 5.5k in the next 2-4...

Nico Rosti

Is Gold Broken? Consolidation Despite Geopolitical Escalation

Gold has been consolidating over the past two weeks - even though the escalating Iran conflict would typically be expected to drive prices higher.

The Commodity Report

Overview #75 – King Canute

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. We look at Warsh's "hawkish" speecha nd why it changes nothing

Rikki Malik

Gold Is Heading to USD6,000/Oz, and Silver to USD110/Oz

​Geopolitical risk repricing leads to surge in risk-on assets, with potential shift from treasuries to gold and silver as confidence in U.S....

Mo Aziz

Pan-Asian Stocks Tactical Outlook (Week Feb 16 – Feb 20)

​Weekly snapshot of global indices and stocks (note: China/HK/Taiwan/SK closed for New Year, this week). Our models shows many overbought APAC...

Nico Rosti

Gold futures have been correcting for 3 weeks, our quant model just issued a LONG signal, suggesting a potential rally to 5.5k in the next 2-4...

Geopolitical risk repricing leads to surge in risk-on assets, with potential shift from treasuries to gold and silver as confidence in U.S....

Weekly snapshot of global indices and stocks (note: China/HK/Taiwan/SK closed for New Year, this week). Our models shows many overbought APAC...