IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

China Traditional Chinese Medicine / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yichang-hec-changjiang-pharmaceutical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21040:1" rel="noopener">Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma (1558 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-traditional-chinese-medicine" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:351:1" rel="noopener">China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canvest-environmental-protection-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:100:1" rel="noopener">Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/a8-new-media-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3444:1" rel="noopener">A8 New Media (800 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asia-cement-china-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3374:1" rel="noopener">Asia Cement China (743 HK)</a>. 
</li>
<li>Lowest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fancl-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15862:1" rel="noopener">Fancl Corp (4921 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tatsuta-electric-wire-cable-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12509:1" rel="noopener">Tatsuta Electric Wire &amp; Cable (5809 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alumina-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:939:1" rel="noopener">Alumina Ltd (AWC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nagatanien-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8059:1" rel="noopener">Nagatanien Holdings (2899 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mimasu-semiconductor-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5531:1" rel="noopener">Mimasu Semiconductor Industry (8155 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/infocom-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8412:1" rel="noopener">Infocom Corp (4348 JP)</a>. 
</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads: Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma (1558 HK), China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK), Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK), A8 New Media (800 HK), Asia Cement China (743 HK). 

Lowest spreads: Fancl Corp (4921 JP), Tatsuta Electric Wire &amp; Cable (5809 JP), Alumina Ltd (AWC AU), Nagatanien Holdings (2899 JP), Mimasu Semiconductor Industry (8155 JP), Infocom Corp (4348 JP). 



Merger Arb Mondays (15 Jul) - China TCM, Canvest, Henlius, Hollysys, Second Chance, Anasarda, Rex

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>The Toyota Group cross-holding ecosystem is in flux. They started with a small announcement by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aisin-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11809:1" rel="noopener">Aisin (7259 JP)</a> but moves have come fast and furious.</li>
<li>Apparently minorities are grumbling to the SFC about the low-balled Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asia-cement-china-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3374:1" rel="noopener">Asia Cement China (743 HK)</a>. And for good reason. The best course of action? Vote against the Scheme.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanwha-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10619:1" rel="noopener">Hanwha Corporation (000880 KS)</a> is trading at a steep NAV discount. And the controlling family is making  a partial Offer to gain majority control. </li>
</ul>


The Toyota Group cross-holding ecosystem is in flux. They started with a small announcement by Aisin (7259 JP) but moves have come fast and furious.
Apparently minorities are grumbling to the SFC about the low-balled Offer for Asia Cement China (743 HK). And for good reason. The best course of action? Vote against the Scheme.

Hanwha Corporation (000880 KS) is trading at a steep NAV discount. And the controlling family is making  a partial Offer to gain majority control. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Toyota, Asia Cement, Hanwha Corp, Kokusai Electric, Keisei Electric

<ul>
<li>I tally 46 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Four new deals discussed this week on Smartkarma: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/second-chance-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20342:1" rel="noopener">Second Chance Properties (SCE SP)</a>'s VGO,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinsung-tongsang-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4107:1" rel="noopener">Shinsung Tongsang (005390 KS)</a>'s Tender, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rex-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13845:1" rel="noopener">Rex Minerals (RXM AU)</a>'s Scheme, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canvest-environmental-protection-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:100:1" rel="noopener">Canvest (1381 HK)</a>'s possible Offer.</li>
<li>Key updates took place on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/altium-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18626:1" rel="noopener">Altium Ltd (ALU AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pacific-smiles-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2891:1" rel="noopener">Pacific Smiles (PSQ AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asia-cement-china-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3374:1" rel="noopener">Asia Cement China (743 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-henlius-biotech-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27888:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kfc-holdings-japan-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12358:1" rel="noopener">Kfc Holdings Japan (9873 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 46 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Four new deals discussed this week on Smartkarma: Second Chance Properties (SCE SP)'s VGO,Shinsung Tongsang (005390 KS)'s Tender, Rex Minerals (RXM AU)'s Scheme, and Canvest (1381 HK)'s possible Offer.
Key updates took place on Altium Ltd (ALU AU), Pacific Smiles (PSQ AU), Asia Cement China (743 HK), Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK), and Kfc Holdings Japan (9873 JP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Second Chance Properties, Shinsung Tongsang, Rex Minerals, Canvest, Altium

Canvest Environmental Protection Group / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grandblue-environment-co-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17887:1" rel="noopener">Grandblue Environment Co A (600323 CH)</a> disclosed a potential pre-conditional privatisation of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canvest-environmental-protection-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:100:1" rel="noopener">Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK)</a> at HK$4.90 per share, a 20.7% premium to the last close price. </li>
<li>Completing the capital injection from SOE entities into the offeror is a precondition. Grandblue also proposes that the controlling shareholder roll over 7.23% of its effective 44.75% stake. </li>
<li>While not a knockout bid, the offer is reasonable. Shareholders with blocking stakes should support a binding proposal. Timing is the key risk. </li>
</ul>



Grandblue Environment Co A (600323 CH) disclosed a potential pre-conditional privatisation of Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK) at HK$4.90 per share, a 20.7% premium to the last close price. 
Completing the capital injection from SOE entities into the offeror is a precondition. Grandblue also proposes that the controlling shareholder roll over 7.23% of its effective 44.75% stake. 
While not a knockout bid, the offer is reasonable. Shareholders with blocking stakes should support a binding proposal. Timing is the key risk. 


Canvest Environmental (1381 HK): Possible Privatisation at HK$4.90

Leading Independent Investment Research, Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar

Leading Independent Investment Research

Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. We offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors. 

Morningstar provides data on more than 500,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 16 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries, with more than $180 billion in assets under advisement or management as of June 30, 2015. We have operations in 27 countries.

Download the Morningstar Fact Sheet : http://corporate.morningstar.com/US/documents/MarketingFactSheets/AboutMorningstarFactsheet.pdf

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Despite improving power demand, China’s coal-fired independent power producers’, or IPPs’, fourth-quarter profits are set to be hit by surging coal prices. We estimate the operating margins for major coal-fired IPPs will be just around breakeven in the fourth quarter. For 2017, while the government’s confirmation that power tariffs will be unchanged is a little disappointing, we think government’s easing in coal supply restrictions will dampen coal prices, leading to margins recovery for coal-fired IPPs.We have reflected our slightly positive 2017 outlook into our earnings estimates and maintain our fair value estimates of HKD 7.40, HKD 2.54 and HKD 17.00 for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/28" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28:1">Huaneng Power Intl Inc H (902 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/3664" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3664:1">Datang Intl Power Gen Co H (991 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/5385" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5385:1">China Resources Power Holdings Co. Ltd. (836 HK)</a>, respectively, ahead of the full-year earnings results in March.Analysts: Jennifer Song and Lorraine Tan, CFA

Despite improving power demand, China’s coal-fired independent power producers’, or IPPs’, fourth-quarter profits are set to be hit by surging coal prices. We estimate the operating margins for major coal-fired IPPs will be just around breakeven in the fourth quarter. For 2017, while the government’s confirmation that power tariffs will be unchanged is a little disappointing, we think government’s easing in coal supply restrictions will dampen coal prices, leading to margins recovery for coal-fired IPPs.We have reflected our slightly positive 2017 outlook into our earnings estimates and maintain our fair value estimates of HKD 7.40, HKD 2.54 and HKD 17.00 for Huaneng Power Intl Inc H (902 HK), Datang Intl Power Gen Co H (991 HK), and China Resources Power Holdings Co. Ltd. (836 HK), respectively, ahead of the full-year earnings results in March.Analysts: Jennifer Song and Lorraine Tan, CFA

Softening Coal Prices and Improving Demand Will Drive a Better 2017 Outlook for Coal-Fired IPPs.

China

Grandblue Environment Co., Ltd. supplies tap water. The Company also provides water supply system designing, installation, and technical consulting services.

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Grandblue Environment Co A (600323 CH)

Merger Arb Mondays (15 Jul) - China TCM, Canvest, Henlius, Hollysys, Second Chance, Anasarda, Rex

This week, the highest gross spreads are HEC Pharma (134.8%), China TCM (32.2%), Canvest (13.4%), A8 New Media (12.5%), Asia Cement (11.8%), GA...

Arun George

Last Week in Event SPACE: Toyota, Asia Cement, Hanwha Corp, Kokusai Electric, Keisei Electric

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Second Chance Properties, Shinsung Tongsang, Rex Minerals, Canvest, Altium

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Canvest Environmental (1381 HK): Possible Privatisation at HK$4.90

While not a knockout bid, the offer is reasonable. Shareholders with blocking stakes should support a binding proposal. The key risk is the timing...

Arun George

Softening Coal Prices and Improving Demand Will Drive a Better 2017 Outlook for Coal-Fired IPPs.

Despite improving power demand, China’s coal-fired independent power producers’, or IPPs’, fourth-quarter profits are set to be hit by surging coal...

Morningstar, Inc.

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