Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>After taking into account the IFA opinion, the directors of textile-play <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-rayon-public-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20238:1" rel="noopener">Thai Rayon Public Co Ltd (TR TB)</a></strong> unanimously reject Surya Kiran's Offer. </li>
<li>Surya Kiran is offering THB 50/share for the 79.33% of shares out in Thai Rayon it does not own. The Offer Price will not be increased. </li>
<li>The Offer is currently open for acceptance and will close on the 25 March.</li>
</ul>


After taking into account the IFA opinion, the directors of textile-play Thai Rayon Public Co Ltd (TR TB) unanimously reject Surya Kiran's Offer. 
Surya Kiran is offering THB 50/share for the 79.33% of shares out in Thai Rayon it does not own. The Offer Price will not be increased. 
The Offer is currently open for acceptance and will close on the 25 March.


Thai Rayon (TR TB): IFA Rejects Surya Kiran’s Offer?

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is an Indian diversified financial services firm offering a range of financial products and services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>Focus on backward integration in the Chemical segment should improve chlorine usage as Grasim plans to increase chlorine consumption in value added products (VAPs) to 40% by FY25E from 28% in FY21. Chemical segment's OPM should improve to 19% in FY23E from 13% in FY21. Further, likely capacity expansions of 37%/33% in the VSF/Caustic soda segments, respectively, should improve volume/profits during FY22-24E. We estimate a 16%/15% volume CAGR for the VSF/Chemical business, respectively, over FY21-24.</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Focus on backward integration in the Chemical segment should improve chlorine usage as Grasim plans to increase chlorine consumption in value added products (VAPs) to 40% by FY25E from 28% in FY21. Chemical segment's OPM should improve to 19% in FY23E from 13% in FY21. Further, likely capacity expansions of 37%/33% in the VSF/Caustic soda segments, respectively, should improve volume/profits during FY22-24E. We estimate a 16%/15% volume CAGR for the VSF/Chemical business, respectively, over FY21-24.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Improving core business, Paints should shine

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), SMC Global

SMC Online

<p>Grasim Industries, Net Profit up 612% YoY to Rs 1667 cr Net sales (including other operating income) of Grasim Industries has increased 52.72% to Rs 19,919.4 crore. Sales of Cement segment has gone up 54.21% to Rs 11,829.82 crore (accounting for 58.84% of total sales). Sales of Chemicals segment has gone up 104.75% to Rs 1,436.48 crore (accounting for 7.14% of...</p>
<div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Grasim Industries, Net Profit up 612% YoY to Rs 1667 cr Net sales (including other operating income) of Grasim Industries has increased 52.72% to Rs 19,919.4 crore. Sales of Cement segment has gone up 54.21% to Rs 11,829.82 crore (accounting for 58.84% of total sales). Sales of Chemicals segment has gone up 104.75% to Rs 1,436.48 crore (accounting for 7.14% of...
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Grasim Industries: Net Profit up 612% YoY to Rs 1667 Cr

<p>GRASIM's 4QFY21 result exhibits the benefits of higher VSF prices and sustained cost reduction as EBITDA grew 106% YoY (26% QoQ) to INR8.1b. We cut our FY22E/FY23E standalone EBITDA by 7%/17% to factor in weak margin outlook for the Chemical business. The holding company discount of...</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

GRASIM's 4QFY21 result exhibits the benefits of higher VSF prices and sustained cost reduction as EBITDA grew 106% YoY (26% QoQ) to INR8.1b. We cut our FY22E/FY23E standalone EBITDA by 7%/17% to factor in weak margin outlook for the Chemical business. The holding company discount of...Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Earnings improve led by a recovery in the VSF segment

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

<p>As we highlighted in last week’s <em>Int’l Compass</em>, the weight of the evidence suggests commodities are in the early stages of a new secular bull market. Global <strong>Materials </strong>remains a favorite Sector overweight and we believe outperformance is likely to continue considering the Sector’s long-term bullish RS reversal. Additionally, we are upgrading equal-weighted <strong>Energy </strong>to overweight due to bullish price and RS inflections -- add exposure with a focus on small- and mid-caps.</p>

As we highlighted in last week’s Int’l Compass, the weight of the evidence suggests commodities are in the early stages of a new secular bull market. Global Materials remains a favorite Sector overweight and we believe outperformance is likely to continue considering the Sector’s long-term bullish RS reversal. Additionally, we are upgrading equal-weighted Energy to overweight due to bullish price and RS inflections -- add exposure with a focus on small- and mid-caps.

Global Commodity-Related Equity Sectors In Secular Bull

India

Grasim Industries Limited is a diversified operating company and part of the Aditya Birla group. The group manufactures a wide range of products, including Viscose Staple Fiber(VSF), cement, chemicals and textiles.

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Grasim Industries (GRASIM IN)

Thai Rayon (TR TB): IFA Rejects Surya Kiran’s Offer?

Trading at gross/annualised spread at 0.7%/15.8%. You have a hard floor of THB 49.86/share. Plus expect Suriya Kiran to reload down the track. This...

David Blennerhassett

Improving core business, Paints should shine

Focus on backward integration in the Chemical segment should improve chlorine usage as Grasim plans to increase chlorine consumption in value added...

Motilal Oswal

Grasim Industries: Net Profit up 612% YoY to Rs 1667 Cr

Grasim Industries, Net Profit up 612% YoY to Rs 1667 cr Net sales (including other operating income) of Grasim Industries has increased 52.72% to...

SMC Online

Earnings improve led by a recovery in the VSF segment

GRASIM's 4QFY21 result exhibits the benefits of higher VSF prices and sustained cost reduction as EBITDA grew 106% YoY (26% QoQ) to INR8.1b. We cut...

Motilal Oswal

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52-week Range

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Thai Rayon (TR TB): IFA Rejects Surya Kiran’s Offer?

Trading at gross/annualised spread at 0.7%/15.8%. You have a hard floor of THB 49.86/share. Plus expect Suriya Kiran to reload down the track. This...

David Blennerhassett

Improving core business, Paints should shine

Focus on backward integration in the Chemical segment should improve chlorine usage as Grasim plans to increase chlorine consumption in value added...

Motilal Oswal

Grasim Industries: Net Profit up 612% YoY to Rs 1667 Cr

Grasim Industries, Net Profit up 612% YoY to Rs 1667 cr Net sales (including other operating income) of Grasim Industries has increased 52.72% to...

SMC Online

Earnings improve led by a recovery in the VSF segment

GRASIM's 4QFY21 result exhibits the benefits of higher VSF prices and sustained cost reduction as EBITDA grew 106% YoY (26% QoQ) to INR8.1b. We cut...

Motilal Oswal

Global Commodity-Related Equity Sectors In Secular Bull

We believe commodities are in the early stages of a new secular bull market. Global Materials & Energy remain our favorite Sector overweights - add...

Vermilion Research