Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>And eagle-eyed reader spotted <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-lung-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:49:1" rel="noopener">Hang Lung Properties (101 HK)</a>'s scrip dividend option for the FY23 final dividend. That's the first time I've seen HLP provide this alternative. </li>
<li>Over the years, the Chan family and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-lung-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:50:1" rel="noopener">Hang Lung (10 HK)</a> have chipped away at HLG's and HLP's minorities. HLP and HLG are currently trading at all-time low P/Bs. </li>
<li>This scrip dividend, which takes a page out of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson (JM SP)</a>'s playbook, would boost HLG's stake in HLP to ~63% from 61.24% currently; if opting only for scrip.</li>
</ul>


And eagle-eyed reader spotted Hang Lung Properties (101 HK)'s scrip dividend option for the FY23 final dividend. That's the first time I've seen HLP provide this alternative. 
Over the years, the Chan family and Hang Lung (10 HK) have chipped away at HLG's and HLP's minorities. HLP and HLG are currently trading at all-time low P/Bs. 
This scrip dividend, which takes a page out of Jardine Matheson (JM SP)'s playbook, would boost HLG's stake in HLP to ~63% from 61.24% currently; if opting only for scrip.


Hang Lung Group: Thoughts On HLP's Scrip Dividend

<ul>
<li>Murakami to tender stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>? Maybe the "double arb": i.e. short on swap, long on cash, will tender the cash, remain short the back end.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/austal-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14420:1" rel="noopener">Austal Ltd (ASB AU)</a> rejected (for now) <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanwha-ocean-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12531:1" rel="noopener">Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS)</a>'s bid based on regulatory concerns.  Hanwha reckons these should not be an issue.</li>
<li>If you can tolerate owning the mobile biz, buy <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten (4755 JP)</a> on dips. If not, avoid Rakuten Group and Rakuten Bank short-term; buy Rakuten Bank on larger dips.</li>
</ul>


Murakami to tender stake in JSR Corp (4185 JP)? Maybe the "double arb": i.e. short on swap, long on cash, will tender the cash, remain short the back end.

Austal Ltd (ASB AU) rejected (for now) Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS)'s bid based on regulatory concerns.  Hanwha reckons these should not be an issue.
If you can tolerate owning the mobile biz, buy Rakuten (4755 JP) on dips. If not, avoid Rakuten Group and Rakuten Bank short-term; buy Rakuten Bank on larger dips.


Last Week in Event SPACE: JSR, Austal, Rakuten, Hyundai Home Shopping, Hanmi Science

<ul>
<li>I tally 52 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Four new deals discussed on Smartkarma: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/austal-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14420:1" rel="noopener">Austal  (ASB AU)</a>'s spurned Offer; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/best-world-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4600:1" rel="noopener">Best World (BEST SP)</a>'s Exit Offer; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/isetan-singapore-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6762:1" rel="noopener">Isetan Singapore (ISET SP)</a>'s parent Offer; and (maybe) <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/langham-hospitality-inv-ss" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:760:1" rel="noopener">Langham Hospitality (1270 HK)</a>'s privatisation. </li>
<li>Key updates took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/azure-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16538:1" rel="noopener">Azure Minerals (AZS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genex-power-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29079:1" rel="noopener">Genex Power Ltd (GNX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intellicentrics-global-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40901:1" rel="noopener">IntelliCentrics Global Holding (6819 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 52 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Four new deals discussed on Smartkarma: Austal  (ASB AU)'s spurned Offer; Best World (BEST SP)'s Exit Offer; Isetan Singapore (ISET SP)'s parent Offer; and (maybe) Langham Hospitality (1270 HK)'s privatisation. 
Key updates took place on: Azure Minerals (AZS AU), Genex Power Ltd (GNX AU), IntelliCentrics Global Holding (6819 HK) and JSR Corp (4185 JP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Austal, Best World, Isetan Singapore, Langham Hospitality, Azure, Genex Power

Langham Hospitality Investments / Event-Driven

Langham Hospitality Investments (1270 HK)

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong hotel-play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/langham-hospitality-inv-ss" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:760:1" rel="noopener">Langham Hospitality (1270 HK)</a> was spun-off from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-eagle-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:758:1" rel="noopener">Great Eagle (41 HK)</a> on the 30 May 2013. Now GE intends to take the company back into the fold. </li>
<li>Covid was devastating to the hospitality sector. As were the 2019 demonstrations. Langham's share price never recovered, and is currently trading at a lifetime low and a P/B of 0.21x.</li>
<li>No price was mentioned in the announcement. Expect a healthy premium to undisturbed, should a firm Offer unfold. But I wouldn't expect a knockout price.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong hotel-play Langham Hospitality (1270 HK) was spun-off from Great Eagle (41 HK) on the 30 May 2013. Now GE intends to take the company back into the fold. 
Covid was devastating to the hospitality sector. As were the 2019 demonstrations. Langham's share price never recovered, and is currently trading at a lifetime low and a P/B of 0.21x.
No price was mentioned in the announcement. Expect a healthy premium to undisturbed, should a firm Offer unfold. But I wouldn't expect a knockout price.


Great Eagle Seeks To Delist Langham Hospitality (1270 HK)

Singapore Telecommunications / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Even if you were an activist, or a trader with an activism tilt, be long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keisei-electric-railway-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10876:1" rel="noopener">Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP)</a> vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oriental-land-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13517:1" rel="noopener">Oriental Land (4661 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Reportedly, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-telecommunications" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20:1" rel="noopener">Singtel (ST SP)</a> is negotiating a sale of Optus. Both Singtel and Optus scotch those rumours. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alumina-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:939:1" rel="noopener">Alumina Ltd (AWC AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alcoa-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6510:1" rel="noopener">Alcoa (AA US)</a> enter into a Scheme. As expected. The key question: is CITIC, with 18.9% of shares out, supportive?</li>
</ul>


Even if you were an activist, or a trader with an activism tilt, be long Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP) vs. Oriental Land (4661 JP).
Reportedly, Singtel (ST SP) is negotiating a sale of Optus. Both Singtel and Optus scotch those rumours. 

Alumina Ltd (AWC AU) and Alcoa (AA US) enter into a Scheme. As expected. The key question: is CITIC, with 18.9% of shares out, supportive?


Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric /Oriental Land, SingTel, Alumina/Alcoa, Li Ning

Hong Kong

Great Eagle is a leading property and hotel developer that invests in, develops, leases, and manages residential, office, industrial, and hotel properties globally. The company owns and operates hotels under The Langham, Cordis, and Eaton brands, and manages real estate investment trusts. Great Eagle was founded in 1963 and is headquartered in Hong Kong.

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Great Eagle (41 HK)

Hang Lung Group: Thoughts On HLP's Scrip Dividend

At 0.13x and 027x P/B - both all-time lows - HLG and HLP are super cheap. I'd still be cautious jumping into either HLG or HLP in a major way

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: JSR, Austal, Rakuten, Hyundai Home Shopping, Hanmi Science

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Austal, Best World, Isetan Singapore, Langham Hospitality, Azure, Genex Power

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Great Eagle Seeks To Delist Langham Hospitality (1270 HK)

Langham will pop tomorrow upon resumption of trading. I'd be happy chasing this up 20-25%. However, this is not a firm Offer. And one may still...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric /Oriental Land, SingTel, Alumina/Alcoa, Li Ning

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

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