Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The family trust of the Widjaja Family has made a voluntary unconditional general Offer for the 29.7% in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinarmas-land-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1144:1" rel="noopener">Sinarmas Land (SML SP)</a> not held.</li>
<li>The S$0.31 cash Offer (not declared final) for the (mainly) Indo property play is a 12.9% premium to last close; but a 73.9% discount to Sinarmas' 1H24 NAV of S$1.19/share.</li>
<li>The Offer is unconditional in all respects. Trading a spread through terms. This deserves a bump.</li>
</ul>


The family trust of the Widjaja Family has made a voluntary unconditional general Offer for the 29.7% in Sinarmas Land (SML SP) not held.
The S$0.31 cash Offer (not declared final) for the (mainly) Indo property play is a 12.9% premium to last close; but a 73.9% discount to Sinarmas' 1H24 NAV of S$1.19/share.
The Offer is unconditional in all respects. Trading a spread through terms. This deserves a bump.


The Widjaja Family's Tilt For Sinarmas Land: This Needs A Bump

<ul>
<li>If you don't think <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I (3382 JP)</a>'s Standalone Plan has legs to go north of here, or ACT gets its act together,  then you should sell into strength.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enn-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:316:1" rel="noopener">ENN Energy (2688 HK)</a>'s cash and scrip (into a unlisted H-share-equivalent entity) Offer was not what the doctor ordered.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sun-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10803:1" rel="noopener">Sun Corp (6736 JP)</a> is cheap to its holding in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cellebrite-di-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:37102:1" rel="noopener">Cellebrite DI (CLBT US)</a>. How cheap depends on the form and structure of its eventual exit.</li>
</ul>


If you don't think Seven &amp; I (3382 JP)'s Standalone Plan has legs to go north of here, or ACT gets its act together,  then you should sell into strength.

ENN Energy (2688 HK)'s cash and scrip (into a unlisted H-share-equivalent entity) Offer was not what the doctor ordered.

Sun Corp (6736 JP) is cheap to its holding in Cellebrite DI (CLBT US). How cheap depends on the form and structure of its eventual exit.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I, ENN Energy, Sun Corp, Great Eastern Holdings

Shinko Electric Industries / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>I tally 55 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Three news new deals discussed this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold-road-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6698:1" rel="noopener">Gold Road Resources (GOR AU)</a>,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enn-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:316:1" rel="noopener">ENN Energy (2688 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinarmas-land-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1144:1" rel="noopener">Sinarmas Land (SML SP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinko-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15066:1" rel="noopener">Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/domain-holdings-australia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26033:1" rel="noopener">Domain Holdings (DHG AU)</a>,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japfa-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15597:1" rel="noopener">Japfa Ltd (JAP SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/paragon-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5994:1" rel="noopener">Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tsuruha-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9536:1" rel="noopener">Tsuruha Holdings (3391 JP)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/welcia-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20895:1" rel="noopener">Welcia Holdings (3141 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 55 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Three news new deals discussed this week: Gold Road Resources (GOR AU),ENN Energy (2688 HK), and Sinarmas Land (SML SP).
Key updates/news took place on: Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP), Domain Holdings (DHG AU),Japfa Ltd (JAP SP), Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP), and Tsuruha Holdings (3391 JP)/Welcia Holdings (3141 JP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Gold Fields, Sinarmas Land, Shinko Electric, Domain, Japfa, Tsuruha/Welcia

<ul>
<li>Back on the 10th May 2024, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oversea-chinese-banking-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:114:1" rel="noopener">OCBC (OCBC SP)</a> launched a voluntary unconditional general Offer for the 11.56% in life/non-life insurer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-eastern-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13993:1" rel="noopener">Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP)</a> not held.</li>
<li>The Offer closed on the 12th July with OCBC holding 93.62%. Shares were subsequently.  suspended. And have been suspended ever since. Compulsory acquisition was not afforded. </li>
<li>The SGX has thrice granted OCBC an extension of time to restore the float.  UK-based activist Palliser is agitating for better terms. Time for a bump.</li>
</ul>


Back on the 10th May 2024, OCBC (OCBC SP) launched a voluntary unconditional general Offer for the 11.56% in life/non-life insurer Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP) not held.
The Offer closed on the 12th July with OCBC holding 93.62%. Shares were subsequently.  suspended. And have been suspended ever since. Compulsory acquisition was not afforded. 
The SGX has thrice granted OCBC an extension of time to restore the float.  UK-based activist Palliser is agitating for better terms. Time for a bump.


This Needs To Be Sorted: Great Eastern (GE SP)'s Protracted Suspension

<ul>
<li>For the month of July 2024, 11 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$10bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in July was ~31%. The average premium YTD is ~44%.</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of July 2024, 11 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$10bn.
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in July was ~31%. The average premium YTD is ~44%.
This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, July 2024: Canvest, Furukawa, Arvida, Advanced Info, Sermsuk, Thaicom

Singapore

Great Eastern provides insurance and investment management services, specializing in life and health insurance, annuities, and unit-linked products. It offers a comprehensive range of personal and business insurance, including life, health, accident, property, and casualty coverage, alongside asset management services. The company was founded in Singapore in 1908.

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Great Eastern (GE SP)

The Widjaja Family's Tilt For Sinarmas Land: This Needs A Bump

If illiquid arbs are your thing, I might look to enter (if not already in) around the Offer price. The Widjaja Family have the clout to bump. And...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I, ENN Energy, Sun Corp, Great Eastern Holdings

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Gold Fields, Sinarmas Land, Shinko Electric, Domain, Japfa, Tsuruha/Welcia

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

This Needs To Be Sorted: Great Eastern (GE SP)'s Protracted Suspension

The SGX has thrice granted OCBC an extension of time to restore the float. UK-based activist Palliser is agitating for better terms. Time for a bump.

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia M&A, July 2024: Canvest, Furukawa, Arvida, Advanced Info, Sermsuk, Thaicom

The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in July was ~31%. The average premium YTD is ~44%.

David Blennerhassett

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