Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Chinese auto exports again shot up in the first six months of this year, largely fueled by rising demand for new-energy vehicles (NEVs) and surging deliveries to a sanction-hit Russia, as local carmakers sought to invigorate sales with a push overseas.</li><li>First-half shipments leapt 75.7% from the same period last year to 2.14 million vehicles, according to a report Tuesday by the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM).</li><li>Overseas shipments of NEVs — a category that consists mainly of pure electric and hybrid models — more than doubled to 534,000 vehicles, accounting for nearly a quarter of the total exports, the CAAM report showed.</li></ul>

Chinese auto exports again shot up in the first six months of this year, largely fueled by rising demand for new-energy vehicles (NEVs) and surging deliveries to a sanction-hit Russia, as local carmakers sought to invigorate sales with a push overseas.First-half shipments leapt 75.7% from the same period last year to 2.14 million vehicles, according to a report Tuesday by the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM).Overseas shipments of NEVs — a category that consists mainly of pure electric and hybrid models — more than doubled to 534,000 vehicles, accounting for nearly a quarter of the total exports, the CAAM report showed.

Chinese Automakers Ride Overseas Demand as Global Expansion Pays Off

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>We project Li Auto’s net profit to rise 27% QoQ to RMB 1.2bn in 2Q23E. Profitability in FY24E could also beat expectation on greater economies of scale.</li><li>Apart from its products, we like the Company’s high self-discipline in costs and business expansion even as it is much more resourceful than before.</li><li>We project Li Auto’s 2Q23E revenue to more than triple YoY to RMB 27.9bn, as its sales volume beat guidance.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We project Li Auto’s net profit to rise 27% QoQ to RMB 1.2bn in 2Q23E. Profitability in FY24E could also beat expectation on greater economies of scale.Apart from its products, we like the Company’s high self-discipline in costs and business expansion even as it is much more resourceful than before.We project Li Auto’s 2Q23E revenue to more than triple YoY to RMB 27.9bn, as its sales volume beat guidance.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CMBI Research Focus List (July Edition) – Our best high conviction stock ideas

<ul><li>We summarize the Jun 2023 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.</li><li>Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on weighted average of May 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Jun retail sales volume data have not been released yet.</li><li>Most automakers’ discounts widened MoM in Jun 2023 to rush for 1H23 targets and cut inventories, as we had expected. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Jun 2023 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on weighted average of May 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Jun retail sales volume data have not been released yet.Most automakers’ discounts widened MoM in Jun 2023 to rush for 1H23 targets and cut inventories, as we had expected. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – When will discounts peak after rising for 8 months

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 120.6% as of Jul 7th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 5.9ppt week on week, led by consumer staples, consumer discretionary, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for BankComm, ICBC, CCB, BYD, Asymchem, Hisense, Baiyunshan, Yankuang Energy, New China Life.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 120.6% as of Jul 7th.
The average A-H premium changed by 5.9ppt week on week, led by consumer staples, consumer discretionary, energy.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for BankComm, ICBC, CCB, BYD, Asymchem, Hisense, Baiyunshan, Yankuang Energy, New China Life.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 7th): BankComm, ICBC, CCB, BYD, Asymchem, Hisense, Baiyunshan

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Capital Markets

Robosense Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>RoboSense Technology, one of the leading providers of LiDAR sensor systems and AI perception software, filed for a Hong Kong IPO with J.P. Morgan and China Renaissance leading the offering.</li>
<li>RoboSense Technology is a high-growth mass producer of LiDAR products with mounting operating losses. The company is growing revenue in double digits and still has heavy losses.  </li>
<li>I believe RoboSense Technology IPO is risky due to the company’s high cash burn rate, fierce competition, pricing pressure and unhealthy fundamentals. Moreover, LiDAR stocks continue to underperform.</li>
</ul>


RoboSense Technology, one of the leading providers of LiDAR sensor systems and AI perception software, filed for a Hong Kong IPO with J.P. Morgan and China Renaissance leading the offering.
RoboSense Technology is a high-growth mass producer of LiDAR products with mounting operating losses. The company is growing revenue in double digits and still has heavy losses.  
I believe RoboSense Technology IPO is risky due to the company’s high cash burn rate, fierce competition, pricing pressure and unhealthy fundamentals. Moreover, LiDAR stocks continue to underperform.


RoboSense Technology: A Risky IPO As LiDAR Stocks Underperformed

China

Great Wall Motor Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells pick-up trucks and sport-utility vehicles (SUVs) in China under branded names. The Company also researches and develops, and manufactures principal automotive parts and components for use in the assembly of pick-up trucks and SUVs.

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Great Wall Motor (2333 HK)

Chinese Automakers Ride Overseas Demand as Global Expansion Pays Off

Chinese auto exports again shot up in the first six months of this year, largely fueled by rising demand for new-energy vehicles (NEVs) and...

Caixin Global

CMBI Research Focus List (July Edition) – Our best high conviction stock ideas

We project Li Auto’s net profit to rise 27% QoQ to RMB 1.2bn in 2Q23E. Profitability in FY24E could also beat expectation on greater economies of...

CMB International

China Auto Sector – When will discounts peak after rising for 8 months

Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on weighted average of May 2023 retail sales volume for each model

CMB International

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 7th): BankComm, ICBC, CCB, BYD, Asymchem, Hisense, Baiyunshan

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for BankComm, ICBC, CCB, BYD, Asymchem, Hisense, Baiyunshan,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

RoboSense Technology: A Risky IPO As LiDAR Stocks Underperformed

RoboSense Technology IPO looks risky due to the company’s high cash burn rate, fierce competition, pricing pressure and unhealthy fundamentals, in...

Andrei Zakharov

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