Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>AH Premia continue to fall. Spread curve torsion reverses again with narrow premia trades seeing Hs perform the best. </li>
<li>Warning signs are starting to flash on spreads. This week I have the biggest week of changes recommended that I have ever had. By a long ways.</li>
<li>This week threatens to be a very strange week geopolitically. Being smaller in crowded trades is probably a good thing.</li>
</ul>


AH Premia continue to fall. Spread curve torsion reverses again with narrow premia trades seeing Hs perform the best. 
Warning signs are starting to flash on spreads. This week I have the biggest week of changes recommended that I have ever had. By a long ways.
This week threatens to be a very strange week geopolitically. Being smaller in crowded trades is probably a good thing.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 28 Feb 2025):  AH Premia Continue to Fall; Expect Widening

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Autos /: Chinese carmakers expand into growing Central Asian markets</li><li>Corruption /: Former ICBC banker gets suspended death sentence for graft</li><li>Meituan /: Meituan to provide social security benefits for delivery riders</li></ul>

Autos /: Chinese carmakers expand into growing Central Asian marketsCorruption /: Former ICBC banker gets suspended death sentence for graftMeituan /: Meituan to provide social security benefits for delivery riders

CX Daily: Chinese Carmakers Expand Into Growing Central Asian Markets 

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Chinese automakers are pushing deeper into Central Asian markets through exports and manufacturing localization after Russia’s crackdown on a lucrative loophole that allowed re-exports of vehicles through Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) member states.</li><li>Carmakers including Chery Automobile Co. Ltd., Chongqing Changan Automobile Co. Ltd. (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/000625.SZ" target="_blank" rel="noopener">000625.SZ</a>), Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp. Ltd. (JAC) (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/600418.SH" target="_blank" rel="noopener">600418.SH</a>) and Great Wall Motor Co. Ltd. have built a presence in the Kazakhstani market, which has developed a major taste for Chinese vehicles.</li><li>Last year, China-made cars accounted for 39% of the 205,111 vehicles sold in Kazakhstan, the region’s largest economy.</li></ul>

Chinese automakers are pushing deeper into Central Asian markets through exports and manufacturing localization after Russia’s crackdown on a lucrative loophole that allowed re-exports of vehicles through Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) member states.Carmakers including Chery Automobile Co. Ltd., Chongqing Changan Automobile Co. Ltd. (000625.SZ), Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp. Ltd. (JAC) (600418.SH) and Great Wall Motor Co. Ltd. have built a presence in the Kazakhstani market, which has developed a major taste for Chinese vehicles.Last year, China-made cars accounted for 39% of the 205,111 vehicles sold in Kazakhstan, the region’s largest economy.

Chinese Carmakers Expand Into Growing Central Asian Markets 

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Apple may move iPhone assembly to Indonesia to comply with local content rules and sales ban, shifting focus from Vietnam to India</li><li>India's AI ambitions hindered by GPU shortages and high costs, while 5G market projected to grow significantly by 2025 </li><li>BYD reveals 'God's Eye' smart driving system with budget-friendly aims, as Micron set to challenge Samsung in HBM3E market</li></ul>

Apple may move iPhone assembly to Indonesia to comply with local content rules and sales ban, shifting focus from Vietnam to IndiaIndia's AI ambitions hindered by GPU shortages and high costs, while 5G market projected to grow significantly by 2025 BYD reveals 'God's Eye' smart driving system with budget-friendly aims, as Micron set to challenge Samsung in HBM3E market

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (18-Feb-2025): Apple may assemble iPhones in Indonesia to comply with local rules.

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong's secular bull market gained after DeepSeek's announcement ignited shares in the tech sector.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingsoft-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:492:1" rel="noopener">Kingsoft Corp (3888 HK)</a> broke out to new high after it announced its DAU for WPS exceeded 100mm.  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingsoft-cloud-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36647:1" rel="noopener">Kingsoft Cloud Holdings (3896 HK)</a> is benefiting from the AI rally.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> broke out to an all-time high after announcing it would offer its ADA service for free. The move caused <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesla-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1" rel="noopener">Tesla (TSLA US)</a> shares to fall.
</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong's secular bull market gained after DeepSeek's announcement ignited shares in the tech sector.

Kingsoft Corp (3888 HK) broke out to new high after it announced its DAU for WPS exceeded 100mm.  Kingsoft Cloud Holdings (3896 HK) is benefiting from the AI rally.

BYD (1211 HK) broke out to an all-time high after announcing it would offer its ADA service for free. The move caused Tesla (TSLA US) shares to fall.



Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (February 11)

China

Great Wall Motor Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells pick-up trucks and sport-utility vehicles (SUVs) in China under branded names. The Company also researches and manufactures principal automotive parts and components for use in the assembly of pick-up trucks and SUVs. Great Wall Motor conducts business in China, USA, Japan, Canada, Korea, and other regions.

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Great Wall Motor (601633 CH)

A/H Premium Tracker (To 28 Feb 2025): AH Premia Continue to Fall; Expect Widening

AH Premia are again at a 5yr low. Liquid Hs outperform illiquids with wider spreads. Trades are getting crowded. Biggest slew of recommendations in...

Travis Lundy

CX Daily: Chinese Carmakers Expand Into Growing Central Asian Markets

TOP STORY Autos / Chinese carmakers expand into growing Central Asian markets Chinese automakers are pushing deeper into Central Asian markets...

Caixin Global

Chinese Carmakers Expand Into Growing Central Asian Markets

Chinese automakers are pushing deeper into Central Asian markets through exports and manufacturing localization after Russia’s crackdown on a...

Caixin Global

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (18-Feb-2025): Apple may assemble iPhones in Indonesia to comply with local rules.

Apple considers shifting iPhone assembly to Indonesia due to sales ban and local content rules; India's AI goals hindered by GPU shortages and high...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (February 11)

HK stocks gained momentum after the DeepSeek announcement. Kingsoft shares broke out to new highs after announcing that WPS had DAUs of 100mm. BYD...

David Mudd

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