Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The New and Better (10 weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>Last week the portfolio bounced back, erasing the previous week's losses. Southbound continues to see net inflows and this week all H/A Pair sectors saw Hs outperform except Energy.</li>
<li>High-Div SOEs continue to be weak. Banks, Pharma, Industrials, and Utilities spreads continue to be Very Volatile. Quiddity Favourite <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-wall-motor-co-ltd-cb302af9-398c-4d2d-ba39-023e43287eef" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:128:1" rel="noopener">Great Wall Motor (2333 HK)</a> up 7% after Q3 results Friday.</li>
</ul>


The New and Better (10 weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
Last week the portfolio bounced back, erasing the previous week's losses. Southbound continues to see net inflows and this week all H/A Pair sectors saw Hs outperform except Energy.
High-Div SOEs continue to be weak. Banks, Pharma, Industrials, and Utilities spreads continue to be Very Volatile. Quiddity Favourite Great Wall Motor (2333 HK) up 7% after Q3 results Friday.


Quiddity A/H Premium Tracker (To Oct27): Volatility Off, Spreads Still Volatile. GreatWall Q3!

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Maintain BUY. Great Wall’s 3Q23 net profit significantly beat market expectations on strong gross margin resulting from cost reduction from suppliers, exports and better-than-expected PHEV margins.</li><li>Such profitability has underscored our previous argument that Great Wall’s resilient margins could provide more room for EV transition.</li><li>We revise up our FY23-24E earnings forecasts accordingly. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain BUY. Great Wall’s 3Q23 net profit significantly beat market expectations on strong gross margin resulting from cost reduction from suppliers, exports and better-than-expected PHEV margins.Such profitability has underscored our previous argument that Great Wall’s resilient margins could provide more room for EV transition.We revise up our FY23-24E earnings forecasts accordingly. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Great Wall Motor (2333 HK) – 3Q23 Earnings a Strong Beat

<ul>
<li>This is the somewhat brand-spanking-new Quiddity HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor.</li>
<li>The data on liquid names is presented for 5 days and four weeks and anything seen can be ranked in tables or selected and charted (names, sectors, outperformance, etc).</li>
<li>We like the nifty interactive tables+charts (please play with them!) and we welcome feedback. This 5-day week saw HKD 3.9bn+ of net buying. That makes 13 weeks of net inflows.</li>
</ul>


This is the somewhat brand-spanking-new Quiddity HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor.
The data on liquid names is presented for 5 days and four weeks and anything seen can be ranked in tables or selected and charted (names, sectors, outperformance, etc).
We like the nifty interactive tables+charts (please play with them!) and we welcome feedback. This 5-day week saw HKD 3.9bn+ of net buying. That makes 13 weeks of net inflows.


Quiddity HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 20 Oct 23): Meituan, SMIC, Great Wall!

<ul>
<li>The Brand-Spanking New (three weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore. </li>
<li>Last week was slightly disappointing but the Recommendations Outperformed the universe.</li>
<li>New stimulus measures are partly supply side, and a little bit demand side, but they're not big enough yet to move the needle. Mainland ETF buying smells like National Team.</li>
</ul>


The Brand-Spanking New (three weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore. 
Last week was slightly disappointing but the Recommendations Outperformed the universe.
New stimulus measures are partly supply side, and a little bit demand side, but they're not big enough yet to move the needle. Mainland ETF buying smells like National Team.


Quiddity A/H Premium Weekly (Sep 1): China Life, Wide Premia Industrials, Banks Starting To Move

<ul><li>Maintain BUY. Great Wall’s 2Q23 net profit beat our prior forecast mainly due to its GPM of 17.4% (3.7 ppts higher than our estimates).</li><li>Although Great Wall focuses on differentiation in its NEV products to maintain margins, we think it should be more aggressive in NEV sales growth, and such profitability provides room for it.</li><li>We raise our FY23E net profit to RMB 3.2bn amid resilient GPM in 1H23. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain BUY. Great Wall’s 2Q23 net profit beat our prior forecast mainly due to its GPM of 17.4% (3.7 ppts higher than our estimates).Although Great Wall focuses on differentiation in its NEV products to maintain margins, we think it should be more aggressive in NEV sales growth, and such profitability provides room for it.We raise our FY23E net profit to RMB 3.2bn amid resilient GPM in 1H23. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Great Wall Motor (2333 HK) – Resilient Margins Pave Way for EV Transition

China

Great Wall Motor Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells pick-up trucks and sport-utility vehicles (SUVs) in China under branded names. The Company also researches and manufactures principal automotive parts and components for use in the assembly of pick-up trucks and SUVs. Great Wall Motor conducts business in China, USA, Japan, Canada, Korea, and other regions.

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Great Wall Motor (601633 CH)

Quiddity A/H Premium Tracker (To Oct27): Volatility Off, Spreads Still Volatile. GreatWall Q3!

The Quiddity A/H Premium Monitor is out late because, well it just is. Sorry folks. Still valid. No new trades this week. Spreads still volatile....

Travis Lundy

Great Wall Motor (2333 HK) – 3Q23 Earnings a Strong Beat

Great Wall’s 3Q23 net profit significantly beat market expectations on strong gross margin resulting from cost reduction from suppliers, exports...

CMB International

Quiddity HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 20 Oct 23): Meituan, SMIC, Great Wall!

SOUTHBOUND flows last week were still mildly positive making it 13 weeks in a row. Great Wall Motors is finally a large net buy.

Travis Lundy

Quiddity A/H Premium Weekly (Sep 1): China Life, Wide Premia Industrials, Banks Starting To Move

The new A-H Monitor provides extensive data, charts and tables. Last week's recommendations outperformed. Mainland ETF buying suggests National...

Travis Lundy

Great Wall Motor (2333 HK) – Resilient Margins Pave Way for EV Transition

Maintain BUY. Great Wall’s 2Q23 net profit beat our prior forecast mainly due to its GPM of 17.4% (3.7 ppts higher than our estimates).

CMB International

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Quiddity A/H Premium Tracker (To Oct27): Volatility Off, Spreads Still Volatile. GreatWall Q3!

The Quiddity A/H Premium Monitor is out late because, well it just is. Sorry folks. Still valid. No new trades this week. Spreads still volatile....

Travis Lundy

Great Wall Motor (2333 HK) – 3Q23 Earnings a Strong Beat

Great Wall’s 3Q23 net profit significantly beat market expectations on strong gross margin resulting from cost reduction from suppliers, exports...

CMB International

Quiddity HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 20 Oct 23): Meituan, SMIC, Great Wall!

SOUTHBOUND flows last week were still mildly positive making it 13 weeks in a row. Great Wall Motors is finally a large net buy.

Travis Lundy

Quiddity A/H Premium Weekly (Sep 1): China Life, Wide Premia Industrials, Banks Starting To Move

​The new A-H Monitor provides extensive data, charts and tables. Last week's recommendations outperformed. Mainland ETF buying suggests National...

Travis Lundy

Great Wall Motor (2333 HK) – Resilient Margins Pave Way for EV Transition

Maintain BUY. Great Wall’s 2Q23 net profit beat our prior forecast mainly due to its GPM of 17.4% (3.7 ppts higher than our estimates).

CMB International

The new A-H Monitor provides extensive data, charts and tables. Last week's recommendations outperformed. Mainland ETF buying suggests National...