Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The New and Better (17 weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>Hs with H/A pairs under-perform their As on average by 220+bp. Liquid HK H/A Pairs saw H/As -244bp. H/A Pair intracorrelation is up and A premia continue to trend better.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND and NORTHBOUND were net buys overall but Hs had a VERY BAD WEEK vs their A-Shares where pairs were concerned.</li>
</ul>


The New and Better (17 weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
Hs with H/A pairs under-perform their As on average by 220+bp. Liquid HK H/A Pairs saw H/As -244bp. H/A Pair intracorrelation is up and A premia continue to trend better.
SOUTHBOUND and NORTHBOUND were net buys overall but Hs had a VERY BAD WEEK vs their A-Shares where pairs were concerned.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 1 Dec 23): H Down Vs A, SOUTHBOUND Selling Continues, Tech Still Sold

<ul>
<li>The New and Better (17 weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>Hs with H/A pairs under-perform their As on average. H/A Pair intracorrelation is up and A premia continue to trend better.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND and NORTHBOUND were net sells overall. Everybody sold tech.</li>
</ul>


The New and Better (17 weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
Hs with H/A pairs under-perform their As on average. H/A Pair intracorrelation is up and A premia continue to trend better.
SOUTHBOUND and NORTHBOUND were net sells overall. Everybody sold tech.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 24 Nov 23): H Down Vs A, SOUTHBOUND Selling Continues, Tech Still Sold

<ul>
<li>The New and Better (16 weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>Hs with H/A pairs outperform their As on average with higher-liquidity Hs outperforming more. High Premium As not seeing shrinking premia on average.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND and NORTHBOUND were net sells overall. It looked like the combination of NORTHBOUND and SOUTHBOUND put on a long H short A in the non-bank financial sector.</li>
</ul>


The New and Better (16 weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
Hs with H/A pairs outperform their As on average with higher-liquidity Hs outperforming more. High Premium As not seeing shrinking premia on average.
SOUTHBOUND and NORTHBOUND were net sells overall. It looked like the combination of NORTHBOUND and SOUTHBOUND put on a long H short A in the non-bank financial sector.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 17 Nov): H up Vs A Despite SOUTHBOUND Net Selling; High Div SOEs Normalising

<ul>
<li>The New and Better (10 weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>HUGE underperformance of Hs vs As across the board. A horrible week and it is not clear why. I doubt it was the short-selling warning or increase in haircuts.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND was a net buy and NORTHBOUND a net sell and the largest net SB flows on H/A pairs were the high-div SOEs.</li>
</ul>


The New and Better (10 weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
HUGE underperformance of Hs vs As across the board. A horrible week and it is not clear why. I doubt it was the short-selling warning or increase in haircuts.
SOUTHBOUND was a net buy and NORTHBOUND a net sell and the largest net SB flows on H/A pairs were the high-div SOEs.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 10 Nov): Bad Week for H | A Across the Board Despite SB/NB Going "Right Way"

<ul>
<li>This is the somewhat brand-spanking-new Quiddity HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND flows the last four weeks clearly indicate a momentum move. The top net sells are all down. The top buys are all up.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semiconductor-manufacturing-international-corp-smic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14231:1" rel="noopener">Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)</a> were the top net SOUTHBOUND inflows as SOUTHBOUND bought HK$8.515bn this past week.</li>
</ul>


This is the somewhat brand-spanking-new Quiddity HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor.
SOUTHBOUND flows the last four weeks clearly indicate a momentum move. The top net sells are all down. The top buys are all up.

Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) and Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK) were the top net SOUTHBOUND inflows as SOUTHBOUND bought HK$8.515bn this past week.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND (To 3 Nov 23); CNOOC & China Mobile AGAIN See Outflows, SMIC & Xiaomi See Buys

China

Great Wall Motor Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells pick-up trucks and sport-utility vehicles (SUVs) in China under branded names. The Company also researches and manufactures principal automotive parts and components for use in the assembly of pick-up trucks and SUVs. Great Wall Motor conducts business in China, USA, Japan, Canada, Korea, and other regions.

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Great Wall Motor (601633 CH)

A/H Premium Tracker (To 1 Dec 23): H Down Vs A, SOUTHBOUND Selling Continues, Tech Still Sold

Last week was a miserable week for H/A Pairs from the HK side. The A/H premia expanded, with four-week A/H outperformance at 4.8%, every sector but...

Travis Lundy

A/H Premium Tracker (To 24 Nov 23): H Down Vs A, SOUTHBOUND Selling Continues, Tech Still Sold

The Quiddity A/H Premium tracker (an H/A discount version is also available (and I like that one better)). Hs underperform As. Tech is worst....

Travis Lundy

A/H Premium Tracker (To 17 Nov): H up Vs A Despite SOUTHBOUND Net Selling; High Div SOEs Normalising

A/H premia on average narrowed somewhat despite SOUTHBOUND net selling this week both on a universal and H/A pair space basis. High Div SOEs have...

Travis Lundy

A/H Premium Tracker (To 10 Nov): Bad Week for H | A Across the Board Despite SB/NB Going "Right Way"

H/A Pairs were again volatile this week. Hs underperformed their As by more than 150bp. The portfolio did better carried over from last week, but...

Travis Lundy

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND (To 3 Nov 23); CNOOC & China Mobile AGAIN See Outflows, SMIC & Xiaomi See Buys

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND flows saw net inflows for the 15th week in a row with +HKD 8.5bn. H/A pairs saw Hs outperform their As by 56bp. Flows are...

Travis Lundy

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