IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-china-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26090:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle China (2136 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arcadium-lithium-plc-2f9bfa3a-65a7-41f9-a157-e59603846420" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40439:1" rel="noopener">Arcadium Lithium (ALTM US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-henlius-biotech-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27888:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27983:1" rel="noopener">ESR Group (1821 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/get-nice-financial-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29667:1" rel="noopener">Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK)</a>, Canvest.
</li>
<li>Lowest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/renewable-japan-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35211:1" rel="noopener">Renewable Japan (9522 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/macromill-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24026:1" rel="noopener">Macromill, Inc (3978 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fuji-soft-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17504:1" rel="noopener">Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-networks-system-integr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16396:1" rel="noopener">Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capitol-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14504:1" rel="noopener">Capitol Health (CAJ AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/elematec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2866:1" rel="noopener">Elematec Corp (2715 JP)</a>. </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads: Lifestyle China (2136 HK), Arcadium Lithium (ALTM US), Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK), ESR Group (1821 HK), Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK), Canvest.

Lowest spreads: Renewable Japan (9522 JP), Macromill, Inc (3978 JP), Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP), Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP), Capitol Health (CAJ AU), Elematec Corp (2715 JP). 


Merger Arb Mondays (09 Dec) - HKBN, ESR, Lifestyle China, GA Pack, Latin Res, De Grey, SG Fleet

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Reportedly, Ito Junro's MBO for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I (3382 JP)</a> includes a US assets IPO to help pay down MBO debt to Japanese banks.  Possible strategic mistake by Ito-san here.</li>
<li>Starwood/Warburg Pincus' firm Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27983:1" rel="noopener">ESR Group (1821 HK)</a> secures support from 30.79% of the register.</li>
<li>We may be wrong on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sanrio-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16476:1" rel="noopener">Sanrio (8136 JP)</a> by a big factor but the multiple and the concentration risk of momentum factor means you are in an illiquid stock.</li>
</ul>


Reportedly, Ito Junro's MBO for Seven &amp; I (3382 JP) includes a US assets IPO to help pay down MBO debt to Japanese banks.  Possible strategic mistake by Ito-san here.
Starwood/Warburg Pincus' firm Offer for ESR Group (1821 HK) secures support from 30.79% of the register.
We may be wrong on Sanrio (8136 JP) by a big factor but the multiple and the concentration risk of momentum factor means you are in an illiquid stock.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I Holdings, ESR Group, Sanrio, HKBN

<ul>
<li>I tally 52 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Five new deals this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/de-grey-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6192:1" rel="noopener">De Grey Mining (DEG AU)</a>'s scrip merger; and cash Offers for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27983:1" rel="noopener">ESR (1821 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hkbn-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:289:1" rel="noopener">HKBN (1310 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-china-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26090" rel="noopener">Lifestyle China (2136 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suntec-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:151:1" rel="noopener">Suntec (SUN SP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/latin-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8770:1" rel="noopener">Latin Resources (LRS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hotel-property-investments" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9850:1" rel="noopener">Hotel Property Investments (HPI AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sg-fleet-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13984:1" rel="noopener">Sg Fleet (SGF AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/malaysia-airports-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:117:1" rel="noopener">Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mphb-capital-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8540:1" rel="noopener">MPHB (MPHB MK)</a>.
</li>
</ul>


I tally 52 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Five new deals this week: De Grey Mining (DEG AU)'s scrip merger; and cash Offers for ESR (1821 HK), HKBN (1310 HK), Lifestyle China (2136 HK), and Suntec (SUN SP).
Key updates/news took place on: Latin Resources (LRS AU), Hotel Property Investments (HPI AU), Sg Fleet (SGF AU), Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK), Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK), and MPHB (MPHB MK).



(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: De Grey Mining, HPI, SG Fleet, Malaysia Airports, MPHB, Suntec REIT

Greatview Aseptic Packaging / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)</a> (GAPack)'s <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2024/1204/2024120400907.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">monthly update</a>, there is no update.</li>
<li>No further progress on the <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2024/0806/2024080601644.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">management Offer</a>. Four months and counting. In the meantime, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-xinjufeng-technology-packaging-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36744:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Xinjufeng Technology (301296 CH)</a> (XJF) secured SAMR approval; and the appointment of two friendly directors.</li>
<li>IF (and when) XJF's Offer becomes open to acceptance and the IFA is supportive, management should back the Offer if their own Offer is unlikely to materialise. </li>
</ul>


In Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK) (GAPack)'s monthly update, there is no update.
No further progress on the management Offer. Four months and counting. In the meantime, Shandong Xinjufeng Technology (301296 CH) (XJF) secured SAMR approval; and the appointment of two friendly directors.
IF (and when) XJF's Offer becomes open to acceptance and the IFA is supportive, management should back the Offer if their own Offer is unlikely to materialise. 


GAPack (468 HK): No Further Progress On Co-Founder's Offer. That's Good For XJF

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

<ul>
<li>Newjf’s Yuan Xunjun and Guo Xiaohong are both lawyers. They should be more familiar with the Pre-Condition requirements. Newjf has obtained SAMR clearance and we think Newjf will fulfill Pre-Conditions.</li>
<li>Bi Hua and Hong Gang's “new initiative” based on Nov.28 announcement may not necessarily succeed, since Newjf has a lot of room for rebuttal here and its Offer is attractive.</li>
<li>Greatview’s chairman and Cloudview are in discussions with financial advisers to make a counterbid.Considering that this may be a "noise",we recommend prioritizing Newjf's Offer before any higher Offer from Greatview.</li>
</ul>


Newjf’s Yuan Xunjun and Guo Xiaohong are both lawyers. They should be more familiar with the Pre-Condition requirements. Newjf has obtained SAMR clearance and we think Newjf will fulfill Pre-Conditions.
Bi Hua and Hong Gang's “new initiative” based on Nov.28 announcement may not necessarily succeed, since Newjf has a lot of room for rebuttal here and its Offer is attractive.
Greatview’s chairman and Cloudview are in discussions with financial advisers to make a counterbid.Considering that this may be a "noise",we recommend prioritizing Newjf's Offer before any higher Offer from Greatview.


Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468.HK) - Newjf Already Has an Upper Hand

China

Greatview Aseptic Packaging manufactures and sells paper-based aseptic packaging materials for dairy products and non-carbonated soft drinks, offering various carton formats, smart packaging solutions, and paper straws. The company also provides filling machines, spare parts, and technical services to the liquid food industry. It was founded in 2003 and has headquarters in Beijing, China, and Switzerland.

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Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)

Merger Arb Mondays (09 Dec) - HKBN, ESR, Lifestyle China, GA Pack, Latin Res, De Grey, SG Fleet

This week, the highest gross spreads are Lifestyle China (21.7%), Arcadium Lithium (11.4%), Henlius (11.1%), ESR (9.2%), Get Nice (8.7%), Canvest...

Arun George

Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I Holdings, ESR Group, Sanrio, HKBN

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: De Grey Mining, HPI, SG Fleet, Malaysia Airports, MPHB, Suntec REIT

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

GAPack (468 HK): No Further Progress On Co-Founder's Offer. That's Good For XJF

IF (and when) XJF's Offer becomes open to acceptance and the IFA is supportive, management should back the Offer if their own Offer is unlikley to...

David Blennerhassett

Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468.HK) - Newjf Already Has an Upper Hand

Judging from Dec.4 announcement, Bi Hua/Hong Gang are clearly "stalling for time."As analyzed in insight, they hope to raise question about the...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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