Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>According to a recent report in Bloomberg, The Scientists Who Popularized Carbon Capture Have a Warning About It, scientists who pioneered carbon capture and sequestration (CCS) for negative emissions warn that many countries now over-rely on carbon removals to meet climate targets instead of cutting fossil fuel use.</li><li>Their idea was meant as a backup to offset unavoidable past emissions, not as a substitute for emission reductions. </li><li>According to the report, this approach, now central to climate plans, may delay necessary action and heighten climate risks. </li></ul>

According to a recent report in Bloomberg, The Scientists Who Popularized Carbon Capture Have a Warning About It, scientists who pioneered carbon capture and sequestration (CCS) for negative emissions warn that many countries now over-rely on carbon removals to meet climate targets instead of cutting fossil fuel use.Their idea was meant as a backup to offset unavoidable past emissions, not as a substitute for emission reductions. According to the report, this approach, now central to climate plans, may delay necessary action and heighten climate risks. 

WTR Renewable Fuels Focus : SAF and the Untapped Potential of Farming, Fuel...

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Rex American Resources / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>We will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX is above 6028-6059. Short-term supports on SPX include 6400-6410, 6200, 6100-6150, and 6028-6059.</li>
<li>SPX is testing 6400-6410 now, but QQQ and IWM are violating short-term supports at $572 and $226, respectively. This makes us believe we could see some near-term downside; buy pullbacks.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
We will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX is above 6028-6059. Short-term supports on SPX include 6400-6410, 6200, 6100-6150, and 6028-6059.
SPX is testing 6400-6410 now, but QQQ and IWM are violating short-term supports at $572 and $226, respectively. This makes us believe we could see some near-term downside; buy pullbacks.


Staying Bullish Despite Near-Term Pullback Potential; Buy Pullbacks

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The WTR Sustainable Index was down 0.2% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (down 0.4%), the Russell 2000 Index (down 1.5%), and the Nasdaq Index (down 0.6%).</li><li>Energy Technology (13.1% of the index) was up 2.0%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (47.9% of the index) was down 0.3%, ClimateTech Mining was down 0.3%, and Advanced Transportation Solutions (20.8% of the index) was down 1.5%.</li><li>Top 10 Performers: ZAPP, GPRE, PLUG, ALLIF, UMICF, OUST, HYSR, FFIE, MP, BNET</li></ul>

The WTR Sustainable Index was down 0.2% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (down 0.4%), the Russell 2000 Index (down 1.5%), and the Nasdaq Index (down 0.6%).Energy Technology (13.1% of the index) was up 2.0%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (47.9% of the index) was down 0.3%, ClimateTech Mining was down 0.3%, and Advanced Transportation Solutions (20.8% of the index) was down 1.5%.Top 10 Performers: ZAPP, GPRE, PLUG, ALLIF, UMICF, OUST, HYSR, FFIE, MP, BNET

Sustainable Investing Surveyor Focus on Sono Group N.V. (SEVCF)

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 4 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 INDEX</a>, 6 changes for the S&amp;P Midcap400 Index and 14 changes for the S&amp;P SmallCap600 Index at the March rebalance.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doordash-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28881:1" rel="noopener">DoorDash (DASH US)</a> was newly eligible after meeting the profitability criterion, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/applovin-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32989:1" rel="noopener">AppLovin (APP US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coinbase-global-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32227:1" rel="noopener">Coinbase Global (COIN US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/interactive-brokers-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13335:1" rel="noopener">Interactive Brokers Group, Inc (IBKR US)</a> were overlooked again.</li>
<li>There will be more same-way flow for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)</a> adds and deletes from the Select Sector index trackers.</li>
</ul>


There are 4 changes for the S&amp;P 500 INDEX, 6 changes for the S&amp;P Midcap400 Index and 14 changes for the S&amp;P SmallCap600 Index at the March rebalance.

DoorDash (DASH US) was newly eligible after meeting the profitability criterion, while AppLovin (APP US), Coinbase Global (COIN US) and Interactive Brokers Group, Inc (IBKR US) were overlooked again.
There will be more same-way flow for the S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX) adds and deletes from the Select Sector index trackers.


S&P500/400/600 Index Rebalance: DASH In as Stability Trumps Volatility

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>The S&amp;P 500 index tracks the 500 largest names listed in the US and it is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the upcoming constituent changes in the run up to the March 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a final look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the rankings for the upcoming review.</li>
</ul>


The S&amp;P 500 index tracks the 500 largest names listed in the US and it is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.
In this insight, we take a look at the upcoming constituent changes in the run up to the March 2025 index rebal event.
In this insight, we take a final look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the rankings for the upcoming review.


[Quiddity Index Feb25] S&P500/600 Mar25 Rebal: Still the Same Characters

United States

Green Plains Inc. owns and operates ethanol plants located in the Midwest U.S. The Company also markets and distributes fuel grade ethanol, livestock feed and industrial grade corn oil. Green Plains provides grain handling, storage and complementary agronomy services to local grain producers through grain elevators located in Iowa, Missouri, Nebraska and Tennessee.

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Green Plains (GPRE US)

WTR Renewable Fuels Focus : SAF and the Untapped Potential of Farming, Fuel...

According to a recent report in Bloomberg, The Scientists Who Popularized Carbon Capture Have a Warning About It, scientists who pioneered carbon...

Water Tower Research

Staying Bullish Despite Near-Term Pullback Potential; Buy Pullbacks

Buying a pullback; SPX testing 6400-6410 now, but QQQ and IWM are violating short-term supports at $572 and $226. This makes us believe we could...

Vermilion Research

Sustainable Investing Surveyor Focus on Sono Group N.V. (SEVCF)

The WTR Sustainable Index was down 0.2% W/W versus the S&P 500 Index (down 0.4%), the Russell 2000 Index (down 1.5%), and the Nasdaq Index (down...

Water Tower Research

S&P500/400/600 Index Rebalance: DASH In as Stability Trumps Volatility

There are many changes for the SnP500/400/600 indices in March. The index committee has overlooked high vol stocks. There will be more same-way...

Brian Freitas

[Quiddity Index Feb25] S&P500/600 Mar25 Rebal: Still the Same Characters

The S&P500 is tough to predict (more often than not) because they pick from two pools, and use discretion. The "usual suspects" from last month are...

Travis Lundy

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