Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Japan’s defence renaissance is underway, driven by structural budget growth toward 2%+ of GDP.</li>
<li>Multi-Decade tailwinds in missiles, cyber, and naval systems will reshape the domestic defence industry.</li>
<li>Investors should balance national champions with mid-cap leverage plays to capture both visibility and alpha.</li>
</ul>


Japan’s defence renaissance is underway, driven by structural budget growth toward 2%+ of GDP.
Multi-Decade tailwinds in missiles, cyber, and naval systems will reshape the domestic defence industry.
Investors should balance national champions with mid-cap leverage plays to capture both visibility and alpha.


Japan Defence Supercycle: Multi-Decade Tailwinds, Near-Term Catalysts

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Every year (actually, every half year) it is a similar trade. There is a fiscal year-end dividend reinvestment trade for passive funds in Japan. </li>
<li>The month-end and quarter-end bring big flows, or not, depending on how things have gone.</li>
<li>Over the past 10-15 years or so, the two-day return on the March trade is pretty good. This year? It's complicated. </li>
</ul>


Every year (actually, every half year) it is a similar trade. There is a fiscal year-end dividend reinvestment trade for passive funds in Japan. 
The month-end and quarter-end bring big flows, or not, depending on how things have gone.
Over the past 10-15 years or so, the two-day return on the March trade is pretty good. This year? It's complicated. 


The Japan March-End Rebal and Dividend Trade (2026 Version)

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

<ul>
<li>Marvell the latest US tech major to raise its TAM for AI helping buoy related names.</li>
<li>Deal that sees Wolfspeed briefly dipping into chapter11 may bode well for Renesas.</li>
<li>Sega Sammy lays out plans to get its valuations up and inline with peers as games surge given their tariff resilience.</li>
</ul>


Marvell the latest US tech major to raise its TAM for AI helping buoy related names.
Deal that sees Wolfspeed briefly dipping into chapter11 may bode well for Renesas.
Sega Sammy lays out plans to get its valuations up and inline with peers as games surge given their tariff resilience.


Japan Morning Connection: Fears over Iran Continue to Diminish Despite the Spectre of US Involvement

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. SPX -0.2% as Equities continued with Recession trade overnight with Defensive &gt;Cyclicals;  Tech, Discretionary, Industrials stocks hit;  ADP Employment+Services PMI add fuel to Recession narrative; Next up: Non-Farm Payrolls</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs -0.4% vs Cash; USDJPY 131.4; As US recession narrative strenghtens, expect selling of US exposed Discretionary; China weighs export ban on Rare earths;Rakuen cuts Bank IPO price</li>
<li>NUGGET. Panasonic+Stellantis=Expansion of Battery Profits.  IF Panasonic and Stellantis can agree, it could mean significant share price upside.</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. SPX -0.2% as Equities continued with Recession trade overnight with Defensive &gt;Cyclicals;  Tech, Discretionary, Industrials stocks hit;  ADP Employment+Services PMI add fuel to Recession narrative; Next up: Non-Farm Payrolls
JAPAN. NKY Futs -0.4% vs Cash; USDJPY 131.4; As US recession narrative strenghtens, expect selling of US exposed Discretionary; China weighs export ban on Rare earths;Rakuen cuts Bank IPO price
NUGGET. Panasonic+Stellantis=Expansion of Battery Profits.  IF Panasonic and Stellantis can agree, it could mean significant share price upside.


Good Morning Japan |Recession Fears Dominate; NUGGET: Panasonic+Stellantis =Expanded Battery Profits

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  SPX +1.2% but all Action in Tech as SOX +5.5%; Barclay Sector upgrade spurs Semis; Fed Hikes in the rear view for now; Watch Copper - supply risks+China demand</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.9% vs Cash; USDJPY 130.65; Where US goes, Japan will follow: All about Tech; Kishida speech: Nuclear Power, Defense, Child support in focus; Wage hikes gather steam. </li>
<li>DAILY NUGGET. Davos  on board with the coming of the Metaverse. We highlight this and think there are near term challenges. </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  SPX +1.2% but all Action in Tech as SOX +5.5%; Barclay Sector upgrade spurs Semis; Fed Hikes in the rear view for now; Watch Copper - supply risks+China demand
JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.9% vs Cash; USDJPY 130.65; Where US goes, Japan will follow: All about Tech; Kishida speech: Nuclear Power, Defense, Child support in focus; Wage hikes gather steam. 
DAILY NUGGET. Davos  on board with the coming of the Metaverse. We highlight this and think there are near term challenges. 


Good Morning Japan |THE SQUEEZE - Just Buy Tech; US Broker U/G to Semi Spurs Rally; Watch Copper

Japan

GS Yuasa Corporation is a holding company established through the merger of Yuasa Corp. and Japan Storage Battery Co., Ltd.  The Company manages financial operations for its subsidiaries, which manufactures storage batteries used for automobiles, motorcycles, computers, and lighting equipment.

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Gs Yuasa Corp (6674 JP)

Japan Defence Supercycle: Multi-Decade Tailwinds, Near-Term Catalysts

Japan's defense industry is experiencing a renaissance with increased budget allocation, leading to opportunities for investors in national...

Rahul Jain

The Japan March-End Rebal and Dividend Trade (2026 Version)

Every year, twice a year, a large number of companies pay dividends. That event is coming up again Monday. ETFs will have to buy the dividend...

Travis Lundy

Japan Morning Connection: Fears over Iran Continue to Diminish Despite the Spectre of US Involvement

JP game companies Nintendo and Sega Sammy continue to rise. Battery names may start to suffer. Wolfspeed deal may positively impact Renesas.

Andrew Jackson

Good Morning Japan |Recession Fears Dominate; NUGGET: Panasonic+Stellantis =Expanded Battery Profits

As the US recession narrative strengthens, there is an expectation of increased selling pressure on US-exposed discretionary stocks. Watching the...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan |THE SQUEEZE - Just Buy Tech; US Broker U/G to Semi Spurs Rally; Watch Copper

JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.9% vs Cash; USDJPY 130.65; Where US goes, Japan will follow: All about Tech; Kishida speech: Nuclear Power, Defense, Child...

Mark Chadwick

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Defence Supercycle: Multi-Decade Tailwinds, Near-Term Catalysts

​Japan's defense industry is experiencing a renaissance with increased budget allocation, leading to opportunities for investors in national...

Rahul Jain

The Japan March-End Rebal and Dividend Trade (2026 Version)

Every year, twice a year, a large number of companies pay dividends. That event is coming up again Monday. ETFs will have to buy the dividend...

Travis Lundy

Japan Morning Connection: Fears over Iran Continue to Diminish Despite the Spectre of US Involvement

JP game companies Nintendo and Sega Sammy continue to rise. Battery names may start to suffer. Wolfspeed deal may positively impact Renesas.

Andrew Jackson

Good Morning Japan |Recession Fears Dominate; NUGGET: Panasonic+Stellantis =Expanded Battery Profits

As the US recession narrative strengthens, there is an expectation of increased selling pressure on US-exposed discretionary stocks. Watching the...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan |THE SQUEEZE - Just Buy Tech; US Broker U/G to Semi Spurs Rally; Watch Copper

JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.9% vs Cash; USDJPY 130.65; Where US goes, Japan will follow: All about Tech; Kishida speech: Nuclear Power, Defense, Child...

Mark Chadwick

Japan's defense industry is experiencing a renaissance with increased budget allocation, leading to opportunities for investors in national...