Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Guangzhou Automobile Group / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes just over US$21bn a day two weeks ago as markets fell sharply. About two-thirds that this past week as indices rebounded. High-div SOEs seeing buying demand.</li>
<li>The recommended name was short <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fuyao-glass-industry-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:330:1" rel="noopener">Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK)</a>. The stock was -4.9% over two weeks, but the H outperformed its A by 0.55%.</li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Southbound Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Pairs Monitor</a> are both there - free - for all SK readers.</li>
</ul>


Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes just over US$21bn a day two weeks ago as markets fell sharply. About two-thirds that this past week as indices rebounded. High-div SOEs seeing buying demand.
The recommended name was short Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK). The stock was -4.9% over two weeks, but the H outperformed its A by 0.55%.
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The Southbound Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there - free - for all SK readers.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (2wks To 24 Oct 2025); Big Flows on Downdraft, Lower Flows on Rebound

<ul>
<li>"Beautiful Skew" showed up again across the long holiday. Hs on average outperformed As by 1.57% over the 29-30 Sep and 9-10 Oct period.</li>
<li>Last week's short reco on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-bank-co-ltd-3388a037-4214-4997-b45d-520518cfdb57" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10987:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK)</a> saw the H-share OUTperform its A by 2.52% and it outright rose just over 1%. Meh.</li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/compose/insight/205668/AH%20Monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Pairs Monitor</a> are both there - free - for all SK readers.</li>
</ul>


"Beautiful Skew" showed up again across the long holiday. Hs on average outperformed As by 1.57% over the 29-30 Sep and 9-10 Oct period.
Last week's short reco on China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK) saw the H-share OUTperform its A by 2.52% and it outright rose just over 1%. Meh.
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there - free - for all SK readers.


A/H Premium Tracker (2 Wks to 10 Oct 2025):  Beautiful Skew But Trade Tantrums Again

<ul>
<li>HUGE, rampaging, "Beautiful Skew" continues. Enormous swings in H/A ratios in high AH premia names, materials, and non-bank finance.</li>
<li>Last week's short reco on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-bank-co-ltd-3388a037-4214-4997-b45d-520518cfdb57" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10987:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK)</a> fell 2.9% on the week, 2.2% from Monday close to Friday. AH premium fell a tick.</li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Pairs Monitor</a> are both there free for SK readers.</li>
</ul>


HUGE, rampaging, "Beautiful Skew" continues. Enormous swings in H/A ratios in high AH premia names, materials, and non-bank finance.
Last week's short reco on China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK) fell 2.9% on the week, 2.2% from Monday close to Friday. AH premium fell a tick.
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there free for SK readers.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 15 Aug 2025):  BIG Beautiful Skew Rampages Onward

<ul>
<li>Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes just over US$16+bn a day this past 5-day week. A comedown from the previous week. Net buying OK at just over +US$550mm/day. One-third of the previous week.</li>
<li>Last week's reco was <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-wall-motor-co-ltd-cb302af9-398c-4d2d-ba39-023e43287eef" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:128:1" rel="noopener">Great Wall Motor (2333 HK)</a> up 9.8% on the week, and H/A spread contracted 6.2%.</li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Monitor</a> are both there free for SK readers.</li>
</ul>


Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes just over US$16+bn a day this past 5-day week. A comedown from the previous week. Net buying OK at just over +US$550mm/day. One-third of the previous week.
Last week's reco was Great Wall Motor (2333 HK) up 9.8% on the week, and H/A spread contracted 6.2%.
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Monitor are both there free for SK readers.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 8 Aug 2025); Big Swing Out of ETFs into TECH

<ul>
<li>This is the Brand Spanking New and Extra Spiffy H/A-Share Discount/Premium Weekly designed to help investors see the relationships easily. We used to do it. </li>
<li>We decided to bring it back better. There are lots of cool interactive tables, and charts, heat maps, and comparative data. And 19 Trade Recommendations. </li>
<li>We hope this new version serves readers even better. Feedback is actively solicited to see if we can improve it from here. </li>
</ul>


This is the Brand Spanking New and Extra Spiffy H/A-Share Discount/Premium Weekly designed to help investors see the relationships easily. We used to do it. 
We decided to bring it back better. There are lots of cool interactive tables, and charts, heat maps, and comparative data. And 19 Trade Recommendations. 
We hope this new version serves readers even better. Feedback is actively solicited to see if we can improve it from here. 


The Brand Spanking New Extra Spiffy 🦄H/A-Share Discount/Premium Weekly (As of 11 Aug 2023)

China

Guangzhou Automobile Group Company, Ltd. manufactures, sells, and services automobiles. The Company is also involved in automobile parts and components, and auto finance and related services for both overseas and domestic markets.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (2wks To 24 Oct 2025); Big Flows on Downdraft, Lower Flows on Rebound

SOUTHBOUND volumes remain high. Higher in the downdraft than this past week's rebound, but still generically high. Net flows remain consistent even...

Travis Lundy

A/H Premium Tracker (2 Wks to 10 Oct 2025): Beautiful Skew But Trade Tantrums Again

A/H traded for only four days in the last two weeks. Hs outperformed their pair-mate As by 1.5% though HK stocks underperformed A-shares. A new...

Travis Lundy

A/H Premium Tracker (To 15 Aug 2025): BIG Beautiful Skew Rampages Onward

YUUUUGE Beautiful Skew this past week. 3% H outperformance on average (more in the sweet spot) while HK shares underperformed A-shares. Hs trading...

Travis Lundy

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 8 Aug 2025); Big Swing Out of ETFs into TECH

SOUTHBOUND net flows continue positive. Gross flows down ~20%wow, NET flows -65%wow. ETFs sold bigly, rotation into Tech (whether INFO TECH or...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (2wks To 24 Oct 2025); Big Flows on Downdraft, Lower Flows on Rebound

SOUTHBOUND volumes remain high. Higher in the downdraft than this past week's rebound, but still generically high. Net flows remain consistent even...

Travis Lundy

A/H Premium Tracker (2 Wks to 10 Oct 2025): Beautiful Skew But Trade Tantrums Again

A/H traded for only four days in the last two weeks. Hs outperformed their pair-mate As by 1.5% though HK stocks underperformed A-shares. A new...

Travis Lundy

A/H Premium Tracker (To 15 Aug 2025): BIG Beautiful Skew Rampages Onward

YUUUUGE Beautiful Skew this past week. 3% H outperformance on average (more in the sweet spot) while HK shares underperformed A-shares. Hs trading...

Travis Lundy

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 8 Aug 2025); Big Swing Out of ETFs into TECH

SOUTHBOUND net flows continue positive. Gross flows down ~20%wow, NET flows -65%wow. ETFs sold bigly, rotation into Tech (whether INFO TECH or...

Travis Lundy

The Brand Spanking New Extra Spiffy 🦄H/A-Share Discount/Premium Weekly (As of 11 Aug 2023)

Quiddity's New & Improved And Really Quite Spiffy H/A Discount Monitor. All the H/A Pairs, universe & sector metrics, with interactive tables and...

Travis Lundy