Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>AH spreads are slightly narrower, but performance is concentrated in fewer names and broad spread volatility is up. BYD (1211 HK) back down nearly 3%. CATL 10% through still.</li>
<li>Sharp skew on H-vs-A performance this week. Those trading AH Premium &lt;20% saw H underperform sharply. Those in the 40-100% AH Premium range saw H outperform. Quiddity Portfolio alpha strong.</li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Monitor</a> are both there free for SK readers.</li>
</ul>


AH spreads are slightly narrower, but performance is concentrated in fewer names and broad spread volatility is up. BYD (1211 HK) back down nearly 3%. CATL 10% through still.
Sharp skew on H-vs-A performance this week. Those trading AH Premium &lt;20% saw H underperform sharply. Those in the 40-100% AH Premium range saw H outperform. Quiddity Portfolio alpha strong.
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Monitor are both there free for SK readers.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 30 May 2025):  Narrow Premia Hs Worst Performers, BYD Relents

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:127:1" rel="noopener">Geely Auto (175 HK)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:127:1" rel="noopener"></a>'s discount to NAV is less than half its 12-month average. And Geely is generally trading tighter to listed PRC auto peers. </li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Geely - and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ntt-data-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11232:1" rel="noopener">NTT Data Corp (9613 JP)</a> - are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



Geely Auto (175 HK)'s discount to NAV is less than half its 12-month average. And Geely is generally trading tighter to listed PRC auto peers. 
Preceding my comments on Geely - and NTT Data Corp (9613 JP) - are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Geely Is (Mostly) Trading "Rich"; And May Still Bump Zeekr Terms

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 149 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 87.8% as of Apr 25th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -2.7ppt week-on-week, led by health care, financials, energy and offset by communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Shanghai Petrochemical, Datang Intl Power Gen, Beigene, Maanshan Iron &amp; Steel.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 149 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 87.8% as of Apr 25th.
The average A-H premium changed by -2.7ppt week-on-week, led by health care, financials, energy and offset by communication services.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Shanghai Petrochemical, Datang Intl Power Gen, Beigene, Maanshan Iron &amp; Steel.


A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 25th): Shanghai Petrochemical, Datang Intl Power Gen, Beigene

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 150 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 90.4% as of Apr 18th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.5ppt week-on-week, led by health care, consumer staples, materials and offset by real estate, energy, consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Remegen, Shandong Gold Mining, Innocare Pharma, China Oilfield Services.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 150 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 90.4% as of Apr 18th.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.5ppt week-on-week, led by health care, consumer staples, materials and offset by real estate, energy, consumer discretionary.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Remegen, Shandong Gold Mining, Innocare Pharma, China Oilfield Services.


A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 18th): Remegen, Shandong Gold Mining, Innocare Pharma

<ul>
<li>AH Premia bounce higher. Spread curve torsion is mild given how much AH is widening again. Two weeks in a row we see a big net move.</li>
<li>For a month I thought warning signs were flashing and spreads could widen. They are still widening despite really big net SOUTHBOUND buying.</li>
<li>I expected the right thing to do was hunker down and be flat H/A risk. Hs underperformed As by 3.7% over two weeks so it's tough to be flat enough.</li>
</ul>


AH Premia bounce higher. Spread curve torsion is mild given how much AH is widening again. Two weeks in a row we see a big net move.
For a month I thought warning signs were flashing and spreads could widen. They are still widening despite really big net SOUTHBOUND buying.
I expected the right thing to do was hunker down and be flat H/A risk. Hs underperformed As by 3.7% over two weeks so it's tough to be flat enough.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 11 Apr 2025):  Sharp AH Premia Widening

China

Guangzhou Automobile Group Company, Ltd. manufactures, sells, and services automobiles. The Company is also involved in automobile parts and components, and auto finance and related services for both overseas and domestic markets.

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Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK)

A/H Premium Tracker (To 30 May 2025): Narrow Premia Hs Worst Performers, BYD Relents

AH Premia contracted but it was mostly in the 40-100% area where they did. Tighter than 40% (or H premium) saw Hs underperform. Quiddity alpha...

Travis Lundy

StubWorld: Geely Is (Mostly) Trading "Rich"; And May Still Bump Zeekr Terms

Geely is trading at a 20% disc. to NAV, half the 12-mth average. Shares are up 22% in the past month, and 78% over the past year. It may still bump...

David Blennerhassett

A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 25th): Shanghai Petrochemical, Datang Intl Power Gen, Beigene

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Shanghai Petrochemical, Datang Intl Power Gen, Beigene,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 18th): Remegen, Shandong Gold Mining, Innocare Pharma

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Remegen, Shandong Gold Mining, Innocare Pharma, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A/H Premium Tracker (To 11 Apr 2025): Sharp AH Premia Widening

Significant widening this week, even after a big rebound by Hs on Friday. Some of this may reverse next week, but I think the trade is still to see...

Travis Lundy

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