IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 6 September, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guotai-junan-securities-co-ltd-5dfaf2c5-76d3-4f34-a77d-118787fd7091" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23752:1" rel="noopener">Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haitong-securities-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5665:1" rel="noopener">Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK)</a> entered a legally binding agreement to merge through absorption and share exchange. </li>
<li>The high-profile merger aligns with the Chinese government’s ambition to reform the brokerage sector and create world-class investment banks. The merger would result in the largest China broker by assets.</li>
<li>In this note, we evaluate the potential share exchange ratio and the risks to satisfying the conditions for implementing the potential merger.</li>
</ul>


On 6 September, Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK) and Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK) entered a legally binding agreement to merge through absorption and share exchange. 
The high-profile merger aligns with the Chinese government’s ambition to reform the brokerage sector and create world-class investment banks. The merger would result in the largest China broker by assets.
In this note, we evaluate the potential share exchange ratio and the risks to satisfying the conditions for implementing the potential merger.


Haitong Securities (6837 HK): Evaluating the Potential Merger with GTJA (2611 HK)

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 145 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 109.4% as of Aug 30th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.3ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, information technology, consumer discretionary and offset by consumer staples, industrials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Tourism, Shanghai Pharma, GAC Group, Tsingtao Brewery, Huaneng Power, PICC Group.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 145 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 109.4% as of Aug 30th.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.3ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, information technology, consumer discretionary and offset by consumer staples, industrials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Tourism, Shanghai Pharma, GAC Group, Tsingtao Brewery, Huaneng Power, PICC Group.


A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 30th):China Tourism, Shanghai Pharma, GAC Group, Tsingtao Brewery

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 145 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 112.2% as of Aug 16th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.9ppt week-on-week, led by health care, financials, utilities and offset by communication services, real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Asymchem Lab, Air China, GAC Group, Hua Hong Semi.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 145 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 112.2% as of Aug 16th.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.9ppt week-on-week, led by health care, financials, utilities and offset by communication services, real estate.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Asymchem Lab, Air China, GAC Group, Hua Hong Semi.


A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 16th):Asymchem Lab, Air China, GAC Group, Hua Hong Semi

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Guangzhou Automobile Group / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Delayed this week because of the long (Japanese holiday, which I took for myself) weekend, as were the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/hk-connect-southbound-flows-to-9-aug-2024-tencent-the-big-buy-again" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SOUTHBOUND</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/mainland-connect-northbound-flows-to-9-aug-2024-back-to-net-selling-of-renewables-and-consumer" target="_blank" rel="noopener">NORTHBOUND</a> monitors. </li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND inflow strong. Tencent strong inflows. Net buying every day for two weeks. NORTHBOUND outflows large. Record foreign investor outflows from China's capital markets this year.</li>
<li>As expected (with AH 20d Premia returns at multi-year highs last week), AH Premia fell slightly, with narrow premia falling more than wide premia. I'd expect more H-vs-A gains.</li>
</ul>


Delayed this week because of the long (Japanese holiday, which I took for myself) weekend, as were the SOUTHBOUND and NORTHBOUND monitors. 
SOUTHBOUND inflow strong. Tencent strong inflows. Net buying every day for two weeks. NORTHBOUND outflows large. Record foreign investor outflows from China's capital markets this year.
As expected (with AH 20d Premia returns at multi-year highs last week), AH Premia fell slightly, with narrow premia falling more than wide premia. I'd expect more H-vs-A gains.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 9 Aug 2024): Global Market Vol. SB Bought. NB Sold. Premia Down.

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 144 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 112.4% as of Aug 9th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.5ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, information technology, energy and offset by utilities, health care.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Asymchem Lab, Shanghai Pharm, China Eastern, Air China, Smic, Hepalink, WuXi AppTec, Pharmaron, Hangzhou Tiger.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 144 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 112.4% as of Aug 9th.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.5ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, information technology, energy and offset by utilities, health care.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Asymchem Lab, Shanghai Pharm, China Eastern, Air China, Smic, Hepalink, WuXi AppTec, Pharmaron, Hangzhou Tiger.


A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 9th): Asymchem Lab, Shanghai Pharm, China Eastern, Air China, Smic, Hepalink

China

Guangzhou Automobile Group Company, Ltd. manufactures, sells, and services automobiles. The Company is also involved in automobile parts and components, and auto finance and related services for both overseas and domestic markets.

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Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK)

Haitong Securities (6837 HK): Evaluating the Potential Merger with GTJA (2611 HK)

In this note, we evaluate the potential share exchange ratio and the risks to satisfying the conditions for implementing the potential merger.

Arun George

A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 30th):China Tourism, Shanghai Pharma, GAC Group, Tsingtao Brewery

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Tourism, Shanghai Pharma, GAC Group, Tsingtao Brewery,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 16th):Asymchem Lab, Air China, GAC Group, Hua Hong Semi

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Asymchem Lab, Air China, GAC Group, Hua Hong Semi.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A/H Premium Tracker (To 9 Aug 2024): Global Market Vol. SB Bought. NB Sold. Premia Down.

AH Premia 20d returns were at a multi-year high as of 2 August, suggesting they were likely to fall (it's an oscillator), and they did this week....

Travis Lundy

A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 9th): Asymchem Lab, Shanghai Pharm, China Eastern, Air China, Smic, Hepalink

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Asymchem Lab, Shanghai Pharm, China Eastern, Air China,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)