Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intouch-holdings-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17638:1" rel="noopener">Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)</a> is a head-scratcher.</p>
<div>
<p>Below is a timeline of events that unfolded since April last year, together with my insights:</p>
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<div>
<table class="table table-striped">
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<td style="width: 139.871px;">
<h3>Date</h3>
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<td style="width: 606.141px;">
<h3>Data in the Date</h3>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 139.871px;">7-Apr-20</td>
<td style="width: 606.141px;">
<div>
<p>Temasek was understood to be selling 135.2m shares of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intouch-holdings-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17638:1" rel="noopener">Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)</a> at between Bt45.12-Bt46.3/share, or a discount of 2% to 4.5% to the prior closing price. The news was initially sourced from Bloomberg. <br><br><em><a href="https://skr.ma/Y44cD" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Intouch: Temasek Trims Stake; More To Come</a></em></p>
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</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 139.871px;">28-Aug-20</td>
<td style="width: 606.141px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gulf-energy-development-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26038:1" rel="noopener">Gulf Energy Development Public Company (GULF TB)</a>’s board of directors <a href="https://www.set.or.th/set/newsdetails.do?newsId=15985721258680&amp;language=en&amp;country=US" target="_blank" rel="noopener">decided</a> to hold no more than a 10% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intouch-holdings-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17638:1" rel="noopener">Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)</a>. As of August 21, Gulf holds a 7.99% stake in Intouch.<br><br><em><a href="https://skr.ma/c7MNt" target="_blank" rel="noopener">StubWorld: Gulf's Questionable Stake In Intouch</a></em>
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<td style="width: 139.871px;">6-Oct-20</td>
<td style="width: 606.141px;">10% was achieved on the <a href="https://www.set.or.th/dat/news/202010/20111444.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">6 October</a>, making Gulf the second-largest shareholder behind <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-telecommunications" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20:1" rel="noopener">Singtel (ST SP)</a> (21%). </td>
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<td style="width: 139.871px;">30-Dec-20</td>
<td style="width: 606.141px;">Gulf <a href="https://www.set.or.th/set/newsdetails.do?newsId=16092855169460&amp;language=en&amp;country=US" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> "<em>that the Board of Directors’ of the Company on October 6, 2020, November 30, 2020 and December 29, 2020 has resolved to approve the Company’s additional investment in the ordinary shares in INTUCH in aggregate of up to 5.00 per cent</em>." As at 30 December, Gulf held <a href="https://www.intouchcompany.com/Download/intuch/INTUCH-Notification%20of%20a%20change%20in%20the%20Company%E2%80%99s%20shareholding%20structure%20made%20by%20a%20major%20shareholder.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">14.39%</a>.</td>
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<td style="width: 139.871px;">28-Jan-21</td>
<td style="width: 606.141px;">Gulf holds 15% on <a href="https://www.nationthailand.com/news/30402235" target="_blank" rel="noopener">28 January</a>.</td>
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<td style="width: 139.871px;">12-Apr-21</td>
<td style="width: 606.141px;">I (incorrectly) suggested reversing the stub given <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intouch-holdings-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17638:1" rel="noopener">Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)</a>'s long-term discount to NAV and the simple ratio (Intouch over <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advanced-info-service-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:947:1" rel="noopener">Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB)</a>) are at all-time extremes.  <br><br><em><a href="https://skr.ma/Vekzg" target="_blank" rel="noopener">StubWorld: Reverse Intouch's Stub; (Potentially) Set Up PICC (1339 HK)'s</a></em>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 139.871px;">19-Apr-21</td>
<td style="width: 606.141px;">Gulf <a href="https://www.set.or.th/set/pdfnews.do?newsId=16187886028860&amp;sequence=0" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> it intends to make a Voluntary Tender Offer (VTO) for shares not held in Intouch at Bt65/share. If it gets to 50%, it will make a downstream offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advanced-info-service-pcl-ca1a971f-2f70-4565-b1fd-dda5b533acd3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27653:1" rel="noopener">Advanced Info Service PCL (ADVANC-R TB)</a> at Bt122.86/share. The VTO is conditional, amongst other things, on a waiver NOT to make a  downstream offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thaicom-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18019:1" rel="noopener">Thaicom Pcl (THCOM TB</a>.<br><br><em><a href="https://skr.ma/YTbgf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Intouch Holdings: Gulf's Inexplicable Offer</a></em>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 139.871px;">1-Jun-21</td>
<td style="width: 606.141px;"> <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gulf-energy-development-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26038:1" rel="noopener">Gulf Energy Development Public Company (GULF TB)</a> has <a href="https://www.set.or.th/set/newsdetails.do?newsId=16221589634070&amp;language=en&amp;country=US" target="_blank" rel="noopener">reduced</a> the downstream offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advanced-info-service-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:947:1" rel="noopener">Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB)</a> to Bt120.93/share from Bt122.86/share. It appears the new number is based on the latest financial figures, up to 31 March.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 139.871px;">4-Jun-21</td>
<td style="width: 606.141px;">160mn shares of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intouch-holdings-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17638:1" rel="noopener">Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)</a> - a 4.99% stake - traded after the close at Bt64.86/share.<br><br><em><a href="https://skr.ma/TpN7Z" target="_blank" rel="noopener">StubWorld: Intouch's Big Share Transfer</a></em>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 139.871px;">29-Jun-21</td>
<td style="width: 606.141px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gulf-energy-development-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26038:1" rel="noopener">Gulf Energy Development Public Company (GULF TB)</a>'s Tender Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intouch-holdings-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17638:1" rel="noopener">Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)</a> starts <a href="https://www.set.or.th/set/pdfnews.do?newsId=16248374186790&amp;sequence=2021071934" target="_blank" rel="noopener">today</a>.  The Offer closes on the 4 August - 25 business days. <br><br><em><a href="https://skr.ma/bBx6r" target="_blank" rel="noopener">StubWorld: Gulf's Curious Offer For Intouch Now Open</a></em>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 139.871px;">19-Jul-21</td>
<td style="width: 606.141px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intouch-holdings-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17638:1" rel="noopener">Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)</a>'s IFA <a href="https://www.set.or.th/set/pdfnews.do?newsId=16266518153870&amp;sequence=2021078813" target="_blank" rel="noopener">says</a> the Offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gulf-energy-development-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26038:1" rel="noopener">Gulf Energy Development Public Company (GULF TB)</a> is "appropriate". Equally unsurprising, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advanced-info-service-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:947:1" rel="noopener">Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB)</a>'s IFA <a href="https://www.set.or.th/set/pdfnews.do?newsId=16266518153760&amp;sequence=2021078811" target="_blank" rel="noopener">has</a> the opinion that the shareholders should reject the Tender Offer from Gulf.<br><br><em><a href="https://skr.ma/7DTjP" target="_blank" rel="noopener">StubWorld: IFAs Say "Yea" For Intouch, "Nay" For AIS</a></em>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 139.871px;">5-Aug-21</td>
<td style="width: 606.141px;">The Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intouch-holdings-pcl-3e2a0083-1080-4c9c-86c6-10624bce3a2a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28056:1" rel="noopener">Intouch Holdings PCL (INTUCH-R TB)</a> has closed with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gulf-energy-development-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26038:1" rel="noopener">Gulf Energy Development Public Company (GULF TB)</a> acquiring <a href="https://www.set.or.th/set/pdfnews.do?newsId=16281206078180&amp;sequence=2021084057" target="_blank" rel="noopener">23.32%</a>, taking its stake to 42.25%.<br><br><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/brian-freitas" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:4091" rel="noopener">Brian Freitas</a> expected (in <em><a href="https://skr.ma/gXuQc" target="_blank" rel="noopener">GULF/INTUCH: Large Tenders Will Result in Big Passive Sell</a></em>) FTSE to lower <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intouch-holdings-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17638:1" rel="noopener">Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)</a>'s investability weight to 36.75% and MSCI to lower the FIF to 40%. Together, passive funds will need to sell around 84.45m shares (US$161m; 14.5 days of ADV).</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 139.871px;">16-Aug-21</td>
<td style="width: 606.141px;">Just 2,032 shares <a href="https://www.set.or.th/set/pdfnews.do?newsId=16290671598140&amp;sequence=2021091609" target="_blank" rel="noopener">tendered</a> into the downstream Offer for AIS. </td>
</tr>
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<td colspan="2" style="width: 746.012px;"><em>Source: SET announcements, my insights</em></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
<div>
<p>Back in early June, I recommend avoiding Intouch, but not shorting it, or short tender the stock into Gulf's Offer.</p>
<p>Extraordinary - or perhaps given the unprecedented events - the NAV discount went from 9.7% at the close of the Offer, to a 16.8% premium as of yesterday.</p>
<p>The implied stub and the simple ratio (Intouch/AIS) have never been at such extreme levels.</p>
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/228/440/original/image_83946068721631064197442.png?1631064198" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="228440"></figure>
</div>
<div style="text-align: left;" class="content-caption">Source: CapIQ</div>
<div>
<p>Sarath Ratanavadi’s Gulf Energy failed to achieve majority ownership in Intouch. There is nothing, to the best of my knowledge, keeping Gulf from buying more shares in the market (not exceeding Bt65/share), although if Gulf's stake clears 50% of shares out, then it would be obligated to make an MTO.</p>
<h3>The New News</h3>
<p>According to <a href="https://www.isranews.org/article/isranews-news/102276-gov-thaicom-concession-news.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">local news</a> and Bloomberg - and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thaicom-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18019:1" rel="noopener">Thaicom Pcl (THCOM TB)</a>'s SET <a href="https://www.set.or.th/set/pdfnews.do?newsId=16310581966210&amp;sequence=0" target="_blank" rel="noopener">filing</a> - Thailand's cabinet has made an order for Intouch to lift its take to at least 51% in Thaicom, from 41.13% currently. </p>
<p>Thaicom's shares jumped 15% on the news yesterday. Intouch gained ~3%.</p>
<p>It's not a lot of money for Intouch, but it's a good opportunity to provide some background on its stake in Thaicom, and potential trade ideas for Intouch.</p>
<p>More below the fold. </p>
</div>

Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB) is a head-scratcher.

Below is a timeline of events that unfolded since April last year, together with my insights:






Date


Data in the Date



7-Apr-20


Temasek was understood to be selling 135.2m shares of Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB) at between Bt45.12-Bt46.3/share, or a discount of 2% to 4.5% to the prior closing price. The news was initially sourced from Bloomberg.   Intouch: Temasek Trims Stake; More To Come




28-Aug-20

Gulf Energy Development Public Company (GULF TB)’s board of directors decided to hold no more than a 10% stake in Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB). As of August 21, Gulf holds a 7.99% stake in Intouch.  StubWorld: Gulf's Questionable Stake In Intouch



6-Oct-20
10% was achieved on the 6 October, making Gulf the second-largest shareholder behind Singtel (ST SP) (21%). 


30-Dec-20
Gulf announced "that the Board of Directors’ of the Company on October 6, 2020, November 30, 2020 and December 29, 2020 has resolved to approve the Company’s additional investment in the ordinary shares in INTUCH in aggregate of up to 5.00 per cent." As at 30 December, Gulf held 14.39%.


28-Jan-21
Gulf holds 15% on 28 January.


12-Apr-21
I (incorrectly) suggested reversing the stub given Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)'s long-term discount to NAV and the simple ratio (Intouch over Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB)) are at all-time extremes.    StubWorld: Reverse Intouch's Stub; (Potentially) Set Up PICC (1339 HK)'s



19-Apr-21
Gulf announced it intends to make a Voluntary Tender Offer (VTO) for shares not held in Intouch at Bt65/share. If it gets to 50%, it will make a downstream offer for Advanced Info Service PCL (ADVANC-R TB) at Bt122.86/share. The VTO is conditional, amongst other things, on a waiver NOT to make a  downstream offer for Thaicom Pcl (THCOM TB.  Intouch Holdings: Gulf's Inexplicable Offer



1-Jun-21
 Gulf Energy Development Public Company (GULF TB) has reduced the downstream offer for Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB) to Bt120.93/share from Bt122.86/share. It appears the new number is based on the latest financial figures, up to 31 March.


4-Jun-21
160mn shares of Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB) - a 4.99% stake - traded after the close at Bt64.86/share.  StubWorld: Intouch's Big Share Transfer



29-Jun-21

Gulf Energy Development Public Company (GULF TB)'s Tender Offer for Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB) starts today.  The Offer closes on the 4 August - 25 business days.   StubWorld: Gulf's Curious Offer For Intouch Now Open



19-Jul-21

Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)'s IFA says the Offer from Gulf Energy Development Public Company (GULF TB) is "appropriate". Equally unsurprising, Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB)'s IFA has the opinion that the shareholders should reject the Tender Offer from Gulf.  StubWorld: IFAs Say "Yea" For Intouch, "Nay" For AIS



5-Aug-21
The Offer for Intouch Holdings PCL (INTUCH-R TB) has closed with Gulf Energy Development Public Company (GULF TB) acquiring 23.32%, taking its stake to 42.25%.  Brian Freitas expected (in GULF/INTUCH: Large Tenders Will Result in Big Passive Sell) FTSE to lower Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)'s investability weight to 36.75% and MSCI to lower the FIF to 40%. Together, passive funds will need to sell around 84.45m shares (US$161m; 14.5 days of ADV).


16-Aug-21
Just 2,032 shares tendered into the downstream Offer for AIS. 


Source: SET announcements, my insights





Back in early June, I recommend avoiding Intouch, but not shorting it, or short tender the stock into Gulf's Offer.
Extraordinary - or perhaps given the unprecedented events - the NAV discount went from 9.7% at the close of the Offer, to a 16.8% premium as of yesterday.
The implied stub and the simple ratio (Intouch/AIS) have never been at such extreme levels.


Source: CapIQ

Sarath Ratanavadi’s Gulf Energy failed to achieve majority ownership in Intouch. There is nothing, to the best of my knowledge, keeping Gulf from buying more shares in the market (not exceeding Bt65/share), although if Gulf's stake clears 50% of shares out, then it would be obligated to make an MTO.
The New News
According to local news and Bloomberg - and Thaicom Pcl (THCOM TB)'s SET filing - Thailand's cabinet has made an order for Intouch to lift its take to at least 51% in Thaicom, from 41.13% currently. 
Thaicom's shares jumped 15% on the news yesterday. Intouch gained ~3%.
It's not a lot of money for Intouch, but it's a good opportunity to provide some background on its stake in Thaicom, and potential trade ideas for Intouch.
More below the fold. 


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The SET has run a market consultation on relaxing liquidity thresholds for inclusion of stocks in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX)</a> universe.</li>
<li>The consultation is the result of an increase in Average Daily Trading Values and lower turnover ratios, especially for large cap stocks.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/berli-jucker-public-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3685:1" rel="noopener">Berli Jucker (BJC TB)</a> is now a potential index inclusion in June and that could result in four constituent changes at the next rebalance.</li>
</ul>


The SET has run a market consultation on relaxing liquidity thresholds for inclusion of stocks in the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX) universe.
The consultation is the result of an increase in Average Daily Trading Values and lower turnover ratios, especially for large cap stocks.

Berli Jucker (BJC TB) is now a potential index inclusion in June and that could result in four constituent changes at the next rebalance.


SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Market Consultation & More Changes in June

<ul>
<li>Nearing the halfway mark in the review period, we see 3 potential changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX)</a> at the June rebalance.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy between 1.2-4.5 days of ADV on the inclusions and sell 0.9-1.3 days of ADV on the deletions.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/berli-jucker-public-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3685:1" rel="noopener">Berli Jucker (BJC TB)</a> continues to be a close add on liquidity while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gulf-energy-development-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26038:1" rel="noopener">Gulf Energy Development (GULF TB)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intouch-holdings-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17638:1" rel="noopener">Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)</a> continue to be close deletes.</li>
</ul>


Nearing the halfway mark in the review period, we see 3 potential changes for the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX) at the June rebalance.
Passive trackers will need to buy between 1.2-4.5 days of ADV on the inclusions and sell 0.9-1.3 days of ADV on the deletions.

Berli Jucker (BJC TB) continues to be a close add on liquidity while Gulf Energy Development (GULF TB) and Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB) continue to be close deletes.


SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Three Potential Changes in June

Independent Asian Credit Research, Bondcritic

Warut Promboon

Independent Asian Credit Research

Asian Fixed Income/Frontier Market Research

Bondcritic

Bondcritic, established in 2009, is designed to be an independent credit research voice that helps investors gain insights and unbiased analyses on Asian fixed income market. Our mission is to discover deep-value Asian high-yield and distressed bonds with a bottom-up approach, together with the help of our proprietary ESG (Environmental, Social Development, and Governance) model. At the same time, we focus on bringing investment cases of unrated and unloved issuers to the general public.

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Thai equities lack growth and innovation. Big corporations continue to have unfair advantages in terms of access to bank financing and business opportunities.</li>
<li>Thailand is an aging society with rising income disparity and a stalling education system. Hence, we have questioned how Thailand will escape the middle income trap in the near term.</li>
<li>We expect more disruptions and policy blunders which could impair Thai stock performance. We do not believe Thailand can correct its cause in the near term.</li>
</ul>


Thai equities lack growth and innovation. Big corporations continue to have unfair advantages in terms of access to bank financing and business opportunities.
Thailand is an aging society with rising income disparity and a stalling education system. Hence, we have questioned how Thailand will escape the middle income trap in the near term.
We expect more disruptions and policy blunders which could impair Thai stock performance. We do not believe Thailand can correct its cause in the near term.


<ul>
<li>Thailand has finally had Mr. Sretha Thavisin as the 30th Prime Minister (PM) of Thailand on 22-August.</li>
<li>The PTP decided to betray its voters to cross  the aisle to join the conservative side.</li>
<li>We believe the potential surge in the Thai stock performance should be the time to de-risk.</li>
</ul>


Thailand has finally had Mr. Sretha Thavisin as the 30th Prime Minister (PM) of Thailand on 22-August.
The PTP decided to betray its voters to cross  the aisle to join the conservative side.
We believe the potential surge in the Thai stock performance should be the time to de-risk.


Thailand

Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limited produces and sells electricity and steam. The Company manages a portfolio of gas-fired and renewable power projects, as well as supplies steam and chilled water. Gulf Energy Development serves customers in Thailand.

Gulf Energy Development (GULF TB)

Intouch (INTUCH TB): It's All Happening

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David Blennerhassett

SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Market Consultation & More Changes in June

The market consultation proposes adjustments to the minimum thresholds for trading value and turnover ratio. That should result in 4 constituent...

Brian Freitas

SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Three Potential Changes in June

There could be 3 changes for the SET50 Index in June. There are a few stocks that are close adds/deletes on liquidity and that will need to be...

Brian Freitas

Thailand: Aging Poor

The political uncertainty in the past 2 decades has not subsided, in our judgment. We then expect more unpredictable disruptions and policy...

Bondcritic

Thailand : The Empire Strikes Back

Thai politics entered an uncharted territory where many voters view the current coalition as a betrayal of their trust and we believe the surge in...

Bondcritic