Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Washington H. Soul Pattinson and Co. Ltd / Event-Driven

Washington H. Soul Pattinson and Co. Ltd (SOL AU)

<ul>
<li>There is, or perhaps, was, imbedded value via the cross-holding. However, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/washington-h-soul-pattinson-and-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6054:1" rel="noopener">Soul Patts (SOL AU)</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brickworks-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2726:1" rel="noopener">Brickworks (BKW AU)</a>'s combined market cap has increased 18% or A$3.1bn since announcing their merger.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/furukawa-battery-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6513:1" rel="noopener">Furukawa Battery (6937 JP)</a> is a VERY low-priced MBO-like transaction. The pricing process is unacceptable. It is a take-under. It is BAD process. But it'll get done.</li>
<li>For a company that has consistently spilled red ink at the stub level, there is no justification why <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pccw-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:873:1" rel="noopener">PCCW Ltd (8 HK)</a> would/should trade at a NAV premium.</li>
</ul>


There is, or perhaps, was, imbedded value via the cross-holding. However, Soul Patts (SOL AU) &amp; Brickworks (BKW AU)'s combined market cap has increased 18% or A$3.1bn since announcing their merger.

Furukawa Battery (6937 JP) is a VERY low-priced MBO-like transaction. The pricing process is unacceptable. It is a take-under. It is BAD process. But it'll get done.
For a company that has consistently spilled red ink at the stub level, there is no justification why PCCW Ltd (8 HK) would/should trade at a NAV premium.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Soul Patts/Brickworks, Furukawa Battery, PCCW, TPG Telecom

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guming-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40622:1" rel="noopener">Guming Holdings (1364 HK)</a> raised around US$233m in its Hong Kong IPO in Feb 2025. Its pre-IPO and cornerstone investors will be released from their lockup soon.</li>
<li>After a hesitant start, the shares are now trading well above the listing price, leaving its pre-IPO and cornerstone investors well in the money.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>



Guming Holdings (1364 HK) raised around US$233m in its Hong Kong IPO in Feb 2025. Its pre-IPO and cornerstone investors will be released from their lockup soon.
After a hesitant start, the shares are now trading well above the listing price, leaving its pre-IPO and cornerstone investors well in the money.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


Guming Holdings Lockup Expiry - US$1.5bn Lockup Expiry with Everyone Well in the Money

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management / Equity Capital Markets

Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management (XNC HK)

Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management

<ul>
<li>Although the revenue is growing, net profit margin is low, which is due to Xiao Noodles’ operational model, high costs, products and brand positioning. Key performance indicators declined in 2024.</li>
<li>If competition becomes increasingly fierce and Xiao Noodles’ price reduction strategy continues, the investment return period would be longer, which will affect the Company's future expansion plans and performance growth.</li>
<li>Based on our forecast, pre-IPO valuation of RMB3 billion is expensive. If Xiao Noodles is unable to reverse the trend of declining performance, it will face valuation discounts after IPO.</li>
</ul>


Although the revenue is growing, net profit margin is low, which is due to Xiao Noodles’ operational model, high costs, products and brand positioning. Key performance indicators declined in 2024.
If competition becomes increasingly fierce and Xiao Noodles’ price reduction strategy continues, the investment return period would be longer, which will affect the Company's future expansion plans and performance growth.
Based on our forecast, pre-IPO valuation of RMB3 billion is expensive. If Xiao Noodles is unable to reverse the trend of declining performance, it will face valuation discounts after IPO.


Pre-IPO Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management - Pain Points in Operation Mode and Profit Margin

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ifbh-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45067:1" rel="noopener">IFBH (6603 HK)</a> raised about US$148m in its HK IPO.</li>
<li>IFBH specializes in ready-to-consume beverages and food, with a focus on coconut water and plant-based products.</li>
<li>We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



IFBH (6603 HK) raised about US$148m in its HK IPO.
IFBH specializes in ready-to-consume beverages and food, with a focus on coconut water and plant-based products.
We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.


IFBH IPO Trading - Strong Overall Demand, Clawback Triggered

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ifbh-pte-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45067:1" rel="noopener">IFBH (IFBH HK)</a>  is looking to raise about US$148m in its HK IPO.</li>
<li>IFBH specializes in ready-to-consume beverages and food, with a focus on coconut water and plant-based products.</li>
<li>In our previous note, we looked at the firm’s past performance. In this note, we talk about the IPO valuations.</li>
</ul>



IFBH (IFBH HK)  is looking to raise about US$148m in its HK IPO.
IFBH specializes in ready-to-consume beverages and food, with a focus on coconut water and plant-based products.
In our previous note, we looked at the firm’s past performance. In this note, we talk about the IPO valuations.


IFBH IPO - Leading Position in a High Growth F&B Segment Driving Valuations

China

Guming Holdings Limited is a holding company primarily engaged in the production and sale of freshly made beverages through its "Good me" brand. It operates a franchised tea store retail network, offering fruit tea, milk tea, and coffee beverages. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

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Guming (1364 HK)

Last Week In Event SPACE: Soul Patts/Brickworks, Furukawa Battery, PCCW, TPG Telecom

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Guming Holdings Lockup Expiry - US$1.5bn Lockup Expiry with Everyone Well in the Money

Guming Holdings (1364 HK) raised around US$233m in its Hong Kong IPO in Feb 2025. Its pre-IPO and cornerstone investors will be released from their...

Sumeet Singh

Pre-IPO Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management - Pain Points in Operation Mode and Profit Margin

Xiao Noodles faces challenges with low profit margins, declining performance, and potential valuation discounts post-IPO if trends continue....

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

IFBH IPO Trading - Strong Overall Demand, Clawback Triggered

IFBH Ltd raised about US$148m in its Hong Kong IPO. We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk...

Akshat Shah

IFBH IPO - Leading Position in a High Growth F&B Segment Driving Valuations

IFBH Ltd is looking to raise about US$148m in its HK IPO. In our previous note, we looked at the firm’s past performance. In this note, we talk...

Akshat Shah

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Last Week In Event SPACE: Soul Patts/Brickworks, Furukawa Battery, PCCW, TPG Telecom

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Guming Holdings Lockup Expiry - US$1.5bn Lockup Expiry with Everyone Well in the Money

Guming Holdings (1364 HK) raised around US$233m in its Hong Kong IPO in Feb 2025. Its pre-IPO and cornerstone investors will be released from their...

Sumeet Singh

Pre-IPO Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management - Pain Points in Operation Mode and Profit Margin

​Xiao Noodles faces challenges with low profit margins, declining performance, and potential valuation discounts post-IPO if trends continue....

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

IFBH IPO Trading - Strong Overall Demand, Clawback Triggered

IFBH Ltd raised about US$148m in its Hong Kong IPO. We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk...

Akshat Shah

IFBH IPO - Leading Position in a High Growth F&B Segment Driving Valuations

IFBH Ltd is looking to raise about US$148m in its HK IPO. In our previous note, we looked at the firm’s past performance. In this note, we talk...

Akshat Shah

Xiao Noodles faces challenges with low profit margins, declining performance, and potential valuation discounts post-IPO if trends continue....