Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Washington H. Soul Pattinson and Co. Ltd / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Following shareholder approval, there'll be an index DELetion for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brickworks-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2726:1" rel="noopener">Brickworks (BKW AU)</a>, and an index UPweight for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/washington-h-soul-pattinson-and-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6054:1" rel="noopener">Soul Patts (SOL AU)</a>. BKW's last day of trading is the 15th September. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/minebea-mitsumi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5032:1" rel="noopener">Minebea Mitsumi (6479 JP)</a>'s Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shibaura-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12704:1" rel="noopener">Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP)</a>. That leaves this to be done by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yageo-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13212:1" rel="noopener">Yageo Corporation (2327 TT)</a>, unopposed.</li>
<li>After a protracted succession stoush, Rupert Murdoch's son Lachlan asserts control of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/news-corp-class-b" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5990:1" rel="noopener">News Corp Class B (NWS US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fox-corp-b470c4a5-c947-401c-af9f-3e6497d73406" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36135:1" rel="noopener">Fox (FOXA US)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Following shareholder approval, there'll be an index DELetion for Brickworks (BKW AU), and an index UPweight for Soul Patts (SOL AU). BKW's last day of trading is the 15th September. 

Minebea Mitsumi (6479 JP)'s Offer for Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP). That leaves this to be done by Yageo Corporation (2327 TT), unopposed.
After a protracted succession stoush, Rupert Murdoch's son Lachlan asserts control of News Corp Class B (NWS US) and Fox (FOXA US).


Last Week In Event SPACE: Brickworks/Soul Patts, Shibaura Electronics, News Corp/Fox/REA, Dongfeng

<ul>
<li>There is, or perhaps, was, imbedded value via the cross-holding. However, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/washington-h-soul-pattinson-and-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6054:1" rel="noopener">Soul Patts (SOL AU)</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brickworks-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2726:1" rel="noopener">Brickworks (BKW AU)</a>'s combined market cap has increased 18% or A$3.1bn since announcing their merger.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/furukawa-battery-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6513:1" rel="noopener">Furukawa Battery (6937 JP)</a> is a VERY low-priced MBO-like transaction. The pricing process is unacceptable. It is a take-under. It is BAD process. But it'll get done.</li>
<li>For a company that has consistently spilled red ink at the stub level, there is no justification why <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pccw-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:873:1" rel="noopener">PCCW Ltd (8 HK)</a> would/should trade at a NAV premium.</li>
</ul>


There is, or perhaps, was, imbedded value via the cross-holding. However, Soul Patts (SOL AU) &amp; Brickworks (BKW AU)'s combined market cap has increased 18% or A$3.1bn since announcing their merger.

Furukawa Battery (6937 JP) is a VERY low-priced MBO-like transaction. The pricing process is unacceptable. It is a take-under. It is BAD process. But it'll get done.
For a company that has consistently spilled red ink at the stub level, there is no justification why PCCW Ltd (8 HK) would/should trade at a NAV premium.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Soul Patts/Brickworks, Furukawa Battery, PCCW, TPG Telecom

<ul>
<li>Back on the 2 June 2025, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/washington-h-soul-pattinson-and-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6054:1" rel="noopener">Washington H. Soul Pattinson and Co. Ltd (SOL AU)</a> and 42.92%-held <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brickworks-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2726:1" rel="noopener">Brickworks Ltd (BKW AU)</a> announced that, via inter-conditional Schemes, they would merge.</li>
<li>TopCo, a new ASX-listed company, will acquire all of the shares in SOL and BKW via the issuance of TopCo shares: 1:1 for SOL and 0.82:1 for BKW.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20250804/pdf/06mhm404tw91x7.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">The Scheme Booklet is now out</a>, with Scheme Meetings on the 10th September, and expected implementation on or before the 23 September. The IE Kroll) says "fair &amp; reasonable".</li>
</ul>


Back on the 2 June 2025, Washington H. Soul Pattinson and Co. Ltd (SOL AU) and 42.92%-held Brickworks Ltd (BKW AU) announced that, via inter-conditional Schemes, they would merge.
TopCo, a new ASX-listed company, will acquire all of the shares in SOL and BKW via the issuance of TopCo shares: 1:1 for SOL and 0.82:1 for BKW.

The Scheme Booklet is now out, with Scheme Meetings on the 10th September, and expected implementation on or before the 23 September. The IE Kroll) says "fair &amp; reasonable".


Soul Patts/Brickworks: 10th September Vote To Collapse Circularity

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

Washington H. Soul Pattinson and Co. Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aub-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11179:1" rel="noopener">AUB Group (AUB AU)</a> vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/washington-h-soul-pattinson-and-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6054:1" rel="noopener">Soul Pattinson (SOL AU)</a> Price-Ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Going long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aub-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11179:1" rel="noopener">AUB Group (AUB AU)</a> and short <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/washington-h-soul-pattinson-and-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6054:1" rel="noopener">Washington H. Soul Pattinson and Co. (SOL AU)</a> targets a 5% return to the statistical mean reversion level.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.</li>
</ul>



Context: The AUB Group (AUB AU) vs. Soul Pattinson (SOL AU) Price-Ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.

Highlights: Going long AUB Group (AUB AU) and short Washington H. Soul Pattinson and Co. (SOL AU) targets a 5% return to the statistical mean reversion level.

Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.


AUB Group (AUB AU) Vs. Soul Pattinson (SOL AU): Aussie Financial Pair Offers Short-Term Opportunity

<ul>
<li>I tally 44 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Two new deal were discussed on Smartkarma this week: the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/washington-h-soul-pattinson-and-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6054:1" rel="noopener">Washington H. Soul Pattinson  (SOL AU)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brickworks-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2726:1" rel="noopener">Brickworks Ltd (BKW AU)</a>merger; and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-eastern-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13993:1" rel="noopener">Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP)</a>'s Exit Offer. </li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/spartan-resources-ltd-australi" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1818:1" rel="noopener">Spartan Resources (SPR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pointsbet-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29102:1" rel="noopener">PointsBet Holdings (PBH AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27983:1" rel="noopener">ESR Group (1821 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tam-jai-international-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34227:1" rel="noopener">Tam Jai International (2217 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 44 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Two new deal were discussed on Smartkarma this week: the Washington H. Soul Pattinson  (SOL AU) / Brickworks Ltd (BKW AU)merger; and Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP)'s Exit Offer. 
Key updates/news took place on: Spartan Resources (SPR AU), PointsBet Holdings (PBH AU), ESR Group (1821 HK), and Tam Jai International (2217 HK).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Soul Patts/ Brickworks, Spartan Resources, PointsBet, ESR Group, Tam Jai

Australia

Washington H. Soul Pattinson & Company Limited is an investment holding company. The Company owns shares and properties, coal mining, bulk handling, commercial television licensee, telecommunications carrier, merchant banking, funds management, pharmaceutical retailing, manufacture, processing and marketing of biscuits and cakes.

Washington H. Soul Pattinson and Co. Ltd (SOL AU)

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52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Washington H. Soul Pattinson and Co. Ltd (SOL AU)

Last Week In Event SPACE: Brickworks/Soul Patts, Shibaura Electronics, News Corp/Fox/REA, Dongfeng

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week In Event SPACE: Soul Patts/Brickworks, Furukawa Battery, PCCW, TPG Telecom

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Soul Patts/Brickworks: 10th September Vote To Collapse Circularity

This done. The obvious trade is to short SOL, buy BKW. The current gross/annualised spread at 0.2%/1.6%. Super tight. Alternatively, be long BKW...

David Blennerhassett

AUB Group (AUB AU) Vs. Soul Pattinson (SOL AU): Aussie Financial Pair Offers Short-Term Opportunity

AUB Group vs. Soul Pattinson price ratio breaks beyond 2 sigma — a short-term statistical setup with defined exit levels and strong historical...

Gaudenz Schneider

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Soul Patts/ Brickworks, Spartan Resources, PointsBet, ESR Group, Tam Jai

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Last Week In Event SPACE: Brickworks/Soul Patts, Shibaura Electronics, News Corp/Fox/REA, Dongfeng

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week In Event SPACE: Soul Patts/Brickworks, Furukawa Battery, PCCW, TPG Telecom

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Soul Patts/Brickworks: 10th September Vote To Collapse Circularity

This done. The obvious trade is to short SOL, buy BKW. The current gross/annualised spread at 0.2%/1.6%. Super tight. Alternatively, be long BKW...

David Blennerhassett

AUB Group (AUB AU) Vs. Soul Pattinson (SOL AU): Aussie Financial Pair Offers Short-Term Opportunity

​AUB Group vs. Soul Pattinson price ratio breaks beyond 2 sigma — a short-term statistical setup with defined exit levels and strong historical...

Gaudenz Schneider

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Soul Patts/ Brickworks, Spartan Resources, PointsBet, ESR Group, Tam Jai

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

AUB Group vs. Soul Pattinson price ratio breaks beyond 2 sigma — a short-term statistical setup with defined exit levels and strong historical...