HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The recent surge in Eurozone sovereign yields, particularly for France, has created pressure on the outlook for some HK-listed companies. </li>
<li>While the 100 largest companies generated an average of only 6% of revenue from Europe, 10 companies derived over 20%.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-hutchison-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:132:1" rel="noopener">CK Hutchison (1 HK)</a> group, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shein-global-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55372:1" rel="noopener">SHEIN Global (625 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corporation-class-b" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi (1810 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lenovo-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13359:1" rel="noopener">Lenovo (992 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-biologics-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23679:1" rel="noopener">Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK)</a> group, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosco-shipping-holdings-co-ltd-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:286:1" rel="noopener">COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (1919 HK)</a> are the top. </li>
</ul>


The recent surge in Eurozone sovereign yields, particularly for France, has created pressure on the outlook for some HK-listed companies. 
While the 100 largest companies generated an average of only 6% of revenue from Europe, 10 companies derived over 20%.

CK Hutchison (1 HK) group, SHEIN Global (625 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK), Lenovo (992 HK), Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK) group, and COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (1919 HK) are the top. 


HK Strategy: Exposure to Europe - Who Are at Risk?

Smartkarma AI Primers, Smartkarma

αSK Primers

Smartkarma AI Primers

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Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
  <li>
<a href="https://smartkarma.com/entities/h-world-group-limited">H World Group</a> is a dominant force in the Chinese hospitality market, leveraging a multi-brand strategy and a vast loyalty program to capture significant market share, particularly in the economy and mid-scale segments.</li>
  <li>The company is aggressively pursuing an asset-light expansion strategy, focusing on its 'manachised' and franchised models to fuel rapid network growth, especially in lower-tier cities and the upper-midscale segment, with a long-term goal of reaching 20,000 hotels.</li>
  <li>While demonstrating impressive historical growth in revenue and profitability, the company faces key risks from intense competition, macroeconomic headwinds in China that could dampen travel demand, and the execution risks associated with its rapid expansion and international strategy.</li>
</ul><p><em>This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.</em></p>


  
H World Group is a dominant force in the Chinese hospitality market, leveraging a multi-brand strategy and a vast loyalty program to capture significant market share, particularly in the economy and mid-scale segments.
  The company is aggressively pursuing an asset-light expansion strategy, focusing on its 'manachised' and franchised models to fuel rapid network growth, especially in lower-tier cities and the upper-midscale segment, with a long-term goal of reaching 20,000 hotels.
  While demonstrating impressive historical growth in revenue and profitability, the company faces key risks from intense competition, macroeconomic headwinds in China that could dampen travel demand, and the execution risks associated with its rapid expansion and international strategy.
This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.

Primer: H World Group (1179 HK) - Aug 2026

<ul>
<li>Various statistics suggested that China's tourism and hospitality industry has staged a significant recovery during the 2024 CNY holidays, with traffic surging high double-digit.</li>
<li>While consumers are more cautious about retail product spending, they are willing to spend more on traveling. Such a trend will continue to bode well for the sector.</li>
<li>We like OTAs including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tongcheng-travel-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27363:1" rel="noopener">Tongcheng Travel (780 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trip-com-group-ltd-23a341d0-4f63-4175-a8c5-ee990906cacd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36424:1" rel="noopener">Trip.com (9961 HK)</a> despite their YTD surge in share prices. Meanwhile, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/air-china-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8239:1" rel="noopener">Air China Ltd (H) (753 HK)</a> stays as the top pick.</li>
</ul>


Various statistics suggested that China's tourism and hospitality industry has staged a significant recovery during the 2024 CNY holidays, with traffic surging high double-digit.
While consumers are more cautious about retail product spending, they are willing to spend more on traveling. Such a trend will continue to bode well for the sector.
We like OTAs including Tongcheng Travel (780 HK) and Trip.com (9961 HK) despite their YTD surge in share prices. Meanwhile, Air China Ltd (H) (753 HK) stays as the top pick.


China Tourism and Hospitality Industry: Roundup of a Solid CNY

<ul>
<li>It is difficult for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fosun-tourism-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27439:1" rel="noopener">Fosun Tourism (1992 HK)</a> to return to its peak and IPO share prices over the next two years. The buyback proposal represents a good exit opportunity.</li>
<li>Net profit is unlikely to go back to FY19 level even in FY26F. The derating of the Chinese equities and Fosun Group, as well as its high gearing, are barriers.</li>
<li>Its PER multiples have already aligned back to the sector average from the extremely depressed level previously. Relative to global names, it is now only at slight discounts.</li>
</ul>


It is difficult for Fosun Tourism (1992 HK) to return to its peak and IPO share prices over the next two years. The buyback proposal represents a good exit opportunity.
Net profit is unlikely to go back to FY19 level even in FY26F. The derating of the Chinese equities and Fosun Group, as well as its high gearing, are barriers.
Its PER multiples have already aligned back to the sector average from the extremely depressed level previously. Relative to global names, it is now only at slight discounts.


Asia Real Estate News Tracker, Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate News Tracker

Tracking developments across Asia's regional real estate markets

<ul>
<li>PDG's acquisition of 210MW data center capacity in India marks a significant milestone in APAC real estate.</li>
<li>Lendlease REIT in Singapore struggled to raise $153 million for a mall purchase, achieving only 62% of its goal.</li>
<li>Kerry Properties in Hong Kong saw a 16% profit increase to $120 million, aided by lower valuation losses.</li>
</ul>


PDG's acquisition of 210MW data center capacity in India marks a significant milestone in APAC real estate.
Lendlease REIT in Singapore struggled to raise $153 million for a mall purchase, achieving only 62% of its goal.
Kerry Properties in Hong Kong saw a 16% profit increase to $120 million, aided by lower valuation losses.


Asia Real Estate Tracker (24-Mar-2026): PDG buys 210MW India data center capacity and more.

China

H World Group is a leading global hospitality company that manages a diverse portfolio of hotel brands, ranging from economy to luxury segments. It provides quality accommodation and hospitality experiences through its leased and owned, manachised, and franchised hotel models. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Jiading District, Shanghai, China.

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H World Group (1179 HK)

HK Strategy: Exposure to Europe - Who Are at Risk?

A recent surge in Eurozone sovereign yields will put pressure on some companies. The 100 largest HK companies have only 6% of their revenue from...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Primer: H World Group (1179 HK) - Aug 2026

H World Group is a dominant force in the Chinese hospitality market, leveraging a multi-brand strategy and a vast loyalty program to capture...

αSK Primers

China Tourism and Hospitality Industry: Roundup of a Solid CNY

China's tourism industry sees a strong recovery during the 2024 CNY holidays, with a high double-digit traffic surge. OTAs like Tongcheng and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Fosun Tourism (1992 HK): Giving In

Fosun Tourism faces challenges in returning to peak and IPO share prices, making the buyback proposal a good exit opportunity due to barriers like...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Asia Real Estate Tracker (24-Mar-2026): PDG buys 210MW India data center capacity and more.

PDG acquired 210MW of data center capacity in India, while Lendlease REIT's mall funding fell short, Kerry Properties saw profits rise, and Hulic...

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Strategy: Exposure to Europe - Who Are at Risk?

A recent surge in Eurozone sovereign yields will put pressure on some companies. The 100 largest HK companies have only 6% of their revenue from...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Primer: H World Group (1179 HK) - Aug 2026

H World Group is a dominant force in the Chinese hospitality market, leveraging a multi-brand strategy and a vast loyalty program to capture...

αSK Primers

China Tourism and Hospitality Industry: Roundup of a Solid CNY

​China's tourism industry sees a strong recovery during the 2024 CNY holidays, with a high double-digit traffic surge. OTAs like Tongcheng and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Fosun Tourism (1992 HK): Giving In

​Fosun Tourism faces challenges in returning to peak and IPO share prices, making the buyback proposal a good exit opportunity due to barriers like...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Asia Real Estate Tracker (24-Mar-2026): PDG buys 210MW India data center capacity and more.

PDG acquired 210MW of data center capacity in India, while Lendlease REIT's mall funding fell short, Kerry Properties saw profits rise, and Hulic...

Asia Real Estate Tracker

China's tourism industry sees a strong recovery during the 2024 CNY holidays, with a high double-digit traffic surge. OTAs like Tongcheng and...

Fosun Tourism faces challenges in returning to peak and IPO share prices, making the buyback proposal a good exit opportunity due to barriers like...