Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong market pullbacks with global markets due to war and oil price uncertainty.  HSI fell below 200 DMA but holds well above long-term support.</li>
<li>Value and dividend yield factors are outperforming in 2026.  The energy sector has overtaken the materials sector as the top performer year-to-date, with a 24% return.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/techtronic-industries-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4561:1" rel="noopener">Techtronic Industries (669 HK)</a> is rated BUY by UBS and OVERWEIGHT by JP Morgan.   It is pursuing Asia and Latin America, aiming to be the dominant brand in these regions.
</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong market pullbacks with global markets due to war and oil price uncertainty.  HSI fell below 200 DMA but holds well above long-term support.
Value and dividend yield factors are outperforming in 2026.  The energy sector has overtaken the materials sector as the top performer year-to-date, with a 24% return.

Techtronic Industries (669 HK) is rated BUY by UBS and OVERWEIGHT by JP Morgan.   It is pursuing Asia and Latin America, aiming to be the dominant brand in these regions.



BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Market Update (March 10)

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong had a strong January performance which saw a continuation of material sector outperformance.  China saw ETF outflows as the National Team sole and margin requirements were tightened.</li>
<li>Hong Kong's market continues to enjoy net inflows with the most active IPO market in the world.  </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aux-electric-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45549:1" rel="noopener">Aux Electric (2580 HK)</a> share price is under pressure ahead of its lockup expiration on March 1st.  The HVAC supplier's share price has declined by 30% since its IPO.
</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong had a strong January performance which saw a continuation of material sector outperformance.  China saw ETF outflows as the National Team sole and margin requirements were tightened.
Hong Kong's market continues to enjoy net inflows with the most active IPO market in the world.  

Aux Electric (2580 HK) share price is under pressure ahead of its lockup expiration on March 1st.  The HVAC supplier's share price has declined by 30% since its IPO.



The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (February 22)

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The appreciation of Rmb will bring benefits to some companies. With a lower USD rate and an inflow of funds to China, this trend is expected to continue into 2026.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/h-world-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33487:1" rel="noopener">H World Group (1179 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-everbright-environment-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15946:1" rel="noopener">China Everbright Environment (257 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-national-building-ma-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:184:1" rel="noopener">China National Building Material (3323 HK)</a> are the most likely ones to gain the most.</li>
<li>The newly listed companies in Hong Kong are exposed due to the translation of massive HKD proceeds to Rmb, with the impact on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sicc-co-ltd-e5b2bacc-ed46-4d8e-bfb1-ff952e730eae" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45752:1" rel="noopener">SICC (2631 HK)</a> being the heaviest. </li>
</ul>


The appreciation of Rmb will bring benefits to some companies. With a lower USD rate and an inflow of funds to China, this trend is expected to continue into 2026.

H World Group (1179 HK), China Everbright Environment (257 HK), and China National Building Material (3323 HK) are the most likely ones to gain the most.
The newly listed companies in Hong Kong are exposed due to the translation of massive HKD proceeds to Rmb, with the impact on SICC (2631 HK) being the heaviest. 


China Strategy: Revisiting the Rmb Appreciation Story

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Equity Capital Markets

Shenzhen Transsion Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Transsion, a mobile phone maker focused on Africa and other emerging markets, is seeking an A+H listing. CITIC is the sole sponsor.</li>
<li>While our previous note covers the fundamentals of the company, in this note we look at its 1H26 results, changes and valuation versus our previous note.</li>
<li>The recovery held up in 1H while maket position weakened. </li>
</ul>


Transsion, a mobile phone maker focused on Africa and other emerging markets, is seeking an A+H listing. CITIC is the sole sponsor.
While our previous note covers the fundamentals of the company, in this note we look at its 1H26 results, changes and valuation versus our previous note.
The recovery held up in 1H while maket position weakened. 


Transsion (传音控股) A+H Pre-IPO: PHIP Updates

<ul>
<li>Excluding an outlier, our coverage universe is expected to witness a 56.6% YoY earnings growth in 4Q25, rapidly accelerating from the previous quarter.</li>
<li>Stocks with the best growth are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xinjiang-goldwind-science-technology-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10112:1" rel="noopener">Xinjiang Goldwind (2208 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sany-heavy-equipment-intl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11104:1" rel="noopener">Sany Heavy Equip. (631 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongfang-electric-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1251:1" rel="noopener">Dongfang Electric (1072 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-tourism-group-duty-free" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36229:1" rel="noopener">CTG Duty Free (1880 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosco-shipping-energy-tran-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:646:1" rel="noopener">Cosco Shipping Energy (1138 HK)</a>.. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-international-capital-corporation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1071:1" rel="noopener">CICC (3908 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-national-building-ma-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:184:1" rel="noopener">CNBM (3323 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-electric-group-company-limited-d542164d-4d5a-4ce0-b33e-5fe6bc34722c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8777:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Electric (2727 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinotrans-limited-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1321:1" rel="noopener">Sinotrans (598 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anjoy-foods-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44280:1" rel="noopener">Anjoy Foods (2648 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosco-shipping-ports-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:360:1" rel="noopener">Cosco Shipping Ports (1199 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)</a> may upgrade. </li>
</ul>


Excluding an outlier, our coverage universe is expected to witness a 56.6% YoY earnings growth in 4Q25, rapidly accelerating from the previous quarter.
Stocks with the best growth are Xinjiang Goldwind (2208 HK), Sany Heavy Equip. (631 HK), Dongfang Electric (1072 HK), CTG Duty Free (1880 HK), and Cosco Shipping Energy (1138 HK).. 

CICC (3908 HK), CNBM (3323 HK), Shanghai Electric (2727 HK), Sinotrans (598 HK), Anjoy Foods (2648 HK), Cosco Shipping Ports (1199 HK), and Haier Smart Home (6690 HK) may upgrade. 


China & HK Strategy: Stock Implications for 4Q25

China

Haier Smart Home is a global leader in the research, development, manufacturing, and sales of smart home appliances, including refrigerators, washing machines, air conditioners, and kitchen appliances. The company also provides smart home scene solutions and related services. It was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Qingdao, China.

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Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Market Update (March 10)

Hong Kong market pullbacks with global markets due to war and oil price uncertainty. HSI fell below 200 DMA but holds well above long-term support.

David Mudd

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (February 22)

Hong Kong had a strong January performance which saw a continuation of material sector outperformance. China saw ETF outflows as the National Team...

David Mudd

China Strategy: Revisiting the Rmb Appreciation Story

The Rmb has accelerated its appreciation this year, with a gain of 1.1% against the USD in just under 1.5 months. In 2025, it appreciated 4.3%,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Transsion (传音控股) A+H Pre-IPO: PHIP Updates

Transsion is seeking an A+H listing. 1H26 net profit rose 46.2% YoY as smartphone price increases ran ahead of memory costs. The test for 2H26 is...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China & HK Strategy: Stock Implications for 4Q25

Expect a 56.6% YoY profit growth in 4Q25 for our coverage universe, with top growth stocks being Xinjiang Goldwind, Sany Heavy Equipment, Dongfang...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Market Update (March 10)

Hong Kong market pullbacks with global markets due to war and oil price uncertainty. HSI fell below 200 DMA but holds well above long-term support.

David Mudd

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (February 22)

Hong Kong had a strong January performance which saw a continuation of material sector outperformance. China saw ETF outflows as the National Team...

David Mudd

China Strategy: Revisiting the Rmb Appreciation Story

The Rmb has accelerated its appreciation this year, with a gain of 1.1% against the USD in just under 1.5 months. In 2025, it appreciated 4.3%,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Transsion (传音控股) A+H Pre-IPO: PHIP Updates

Transsion is seeking an A+H listing. 1H26 net profit rose 46.2% YoY as smartphone price increases ran ahead of memory costs. The test for 2H26 is...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China & HK Strategy: Stock Implications for 4Q25

​Expect a 56.6% YoY profit growth in 4Q25 for our coverage universe, with top growth stocks being Xinjiang Goldwind, Sany Heavy Equipment, Dongfang...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Expect a 56.6% YoY profit growth in 4Q25 for our coverage universe, with top growth stocks being Xinjiang Goldwind, Sany Heavy Equipment, Dongfang...