Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 1st.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly Hongkong connect flows for Meituan and Tencent.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 1st.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight weekly Hongkong connect flows for Meituan and Tencent.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Dec 1st): Meituan, Tencent

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Taisho Pharmaceutical Holdin / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>For the month of November 2023, 16 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$13bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in November was 41%. The average YTD is 38% (97 deals).</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2022 (106 deals), 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of November 2023, 16 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$13bn.
The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in November was 41%. The average YTD is 38% (97 deals).
This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2022 (106 deals), 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, Nov 2023: Taisho Pharma, CIMC Vehicle, CMIC, Japan Best Rescue, Shidax

<ul>
<li>After <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimc-vehicles-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28012:1" rel="noopener">CIMC Vehicle Group Co Ltd (1839 HK)</a> was suspended yesterday pursuant to Hong Kong's Takeover Code, the expectation was an H-share Offer from its parent, SOE-backed CIMC Group.</li>
<li>CIMC subsequently <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2023/1128/2023112800426.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> an indicative Offer yesterday evening, from its parent, at a $7.00/share for each H-share, a pitiful 8.6% premium to last close. There is no concurrent A-share Offer.</li>
<li>CIMC traded around $7.00 late September, and comfortably traded through the indicative terms for most of July. </li>
</ul>


After CIMC Vehicle Group Co Ltd (1839 HK) was suspended yesterday pursuant to Hong Kong's Takeover Code, the expectation was an H-share Offer from its parent, SOE-backed CIMC Group.
CIMC subsequently announced an indicative Offer yesterday evening, from its parent, at a $7.00/share for each H-share, a pitiful 8.6% premium to last close. There is no concurrent A-share Offer.
CIMC traded around $7.00 late September, and comfortably traded through the indicative terms for most of July. 


CIMC Vehicles (1839 HK): $7.00/Share Indicative Offer From Parent - Really?!

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimc-vehicles-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28012:1" rel="noopener">CIMC Vehicles (1839 HK)</a> is currently <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2023/1128/2023112701144.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">suspended</a> pursuant to Hong Kong's Code on Takeovers and Mergers.</li>
<li>SOE-Backed CIMC Group controls ~74% of CMIC Vehicle's H-shares. Presumably, if any Offer was to unfold, it would be from the parent.</li>
<li>And what price for the H-shares? Around HK$9/share, a life-time high, would be in keeping with premiums seen in precedent PRC-incorporated privatisations. </li>
</ul>



CIMC Vehicles (1839 HK) is currently suspended pursuant to Hong Kong's Code on Takeovers and Mergers.
SOE-Backed CIMC Group controls ~74% of CMIC Vehicle's H-shares. Presumably, if any Offer was to unfold, it would be from the parent.
And what price for the H-shares? Around HK$9/share, a life-time high, would be in keeping with premiums seen in precedent PRC-incorporated privatisations. 


CIMC Vehicles (1839 HK): Parent Privatisation?

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">Eoflow (294090 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/111-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27412:1" rel="noopener">111 Inc (YI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taisho-pharmaceutical-holdin" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3774:1" rel="noopener">Taisho Pharmaceutical Holdin (4581 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/irc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20649:1" rel="noopener">Irc Ltd (1029 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/origin-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:797:1" rel="noopener">Origin Energy (ORG AU)</a>.</li>
<li>Lowest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/azure-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16538:1" rel="noopener">Azure Minerals (AZS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tietto-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28006:1" rel="noopener">Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pact-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:692:1" rel="noopener">Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ijtt-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19461:1" rel="noopener">IJTT Co., Ltd. (7315 JP)</a>. </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads  Eoflow (294090 KS), 111 Inc (YI US), Taisho Pharmaceutical Holdin (4581 JP), Healius (HLS AU), Irc Ltd (1029 HK), Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US), Origin Energy (ORG AU).
Lowest spreads - Azure Minerals (AZS AU), Toyo Construction (1890 JP), Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU), Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU), IJTT Co., Ltd. (7315 JP). 


Merger Arb Mondays (27 Nov) - Origin, OreCorp, Healius, Taisho, JSR, Eoflow, Hollysys, Haitong Intl

Hong Kong

Haitong International Securities is an international financial institution offering a full spectrum of financial services, including private wealth management, corporate finance, asset management, and global markets. The company provides brokerage, investment banking, and advisory services, aiming to connect Chinese and overseas capital markets. It was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Hong Kong.

Haitong International Securities (TFZ GR)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Haitong International Securities (TFZ GR)

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Dec 1st): Meituan, Tencent

We analyzed southbound weekly Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and we highlighted weekly flows for Meituan and Tencent.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

(Mostly) Asia M&A, Nov 2023: Taisho Pharma, CIMC Vehicle, CMIC, Japan Best Rescue, Shidax

For the month of November, 16 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of ~US$13bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

CIMC Vehicles (1839 HK): Parent Privatisation?

If any offer was to unfold, it would be from the CIMC Group holding 74% of the H-shares. ~HK$9/share Offer price would be in keeping with premiums...

David Blennerhassett

Merger Arb Mondays (27 Nov) - Origin, OreCorp, Healius, Taisho, JSR, Eoflow, Hollysys, Haitong Intl

This week, the highest gross spreads are Eoflow (218%), 111 (69.4%), Taisho Pharma (55.5%), Healius (48.0%), IRC (20.4%), Hollysys (12.8%), Origin...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Dec 1st): Meituan, Tencent

We analyzed southbound weekly Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and we highlighted weekly flows for Meituan and Tencent.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

(Mostly) Asia M&A, Nov 2023: Taisho Pharma, CIMC Vehicle, CMIC, Japan Best Rescue, Shidax

For the month of November, 16 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of ~US$13bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

CIMC Vehicles (1839 HK): $7.00/Share Indicative Offer From Parent - Really?!

You have a possible floor at $7.00/share. I wouldn't buy through terms. It may still get bumped. It should get bumped. It may not. Plus this...

David Blennerhassett

CIMC Vehicles (1839 HK): Parent Privatisation?

If any offer was to unfold, it would be from the CIMC Group holding 74% of the H-shares. ~HK$9/share Offer price would be in keeping with premiums...

David Blennerhassett

Merger Arb Mondays (27 Nov) - Origin, OreCorp, Healius, Taisho, JSR, Eoflow, Hollysys, Haitong Intl

This week, the highest gross spreads are Eoflow (218%), 111 (69.4%), Taisho Pharma (55.5%), Healius (48.0%), IRC (20.4%), Hollysys (12.8%), Origin...

Arun George