Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Midway through the 3Q25 result season, eighteen Asian market-sectors have reported consensus EPS estimate upgrades over past one, three and six months. A quarter ago, we identified 11 such sectors.</li>
<li>Eleven of these sectors are from HK/China, Korea and Taiwan. Seven are from ASEAN markets, dominated by Thailand. India and Singapore are conspicuous by their absence.</li>
<li>Among the notable sectors with EPS upgrades, Chinese base metals, HK/Chinese and Korean financials, Chinese pharmaceuticals, Korean and Taiwanese technology, Thai utilities and communication and Philippines transportation stand out.</li>
</ul>


Midway through the 3Q25 result season, eighteen Asian market-sectors have reported consensus EPS estimate upgrades over past one, three and six months. A quarter ago, we identified 11 such sectors.
Eleven of these sectors are from HK/China, Korea and Taiwan. Seven are from ASEAN markets, dominated by Thailand. India and Singapore are conspicuous by their absence.
Among the notable sectors with EPS upgrades, Chinese base metals, HK/Chinese and Korean financials, Chinese pharmaceuticals, Korean and Taiwanese technology, Thai utilities and communication and Philippines transportation stand out.


Asian Equities: Earnings Estimate Upgrades Climbing, but Slowly and Selectively

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Sep 25th. The aggregated holding was USD1,755.4bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,304mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, SamsungElecMech, SKSQUARE, LG Electronics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Sep 25th. The aggregated holding was USD1,755.4bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,304mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, SamsungElecMech, SKSQUARE, LG Electronics.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 25th): Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, SamsungElecMech, SKSQUARE

<ul>
<li>Asia's valuation rerating seems over. Future market performance would likely be driven by earnings growth. On current consensus forecasts, Taiwan, Korea, China and India lead the future earnings growth leaderboard.</li>
<li>Growth adjusted relative valuations are similar to early 2025, but markets are more closely aligned along the trendline. India is relatively less expensive and Korea relatively less cheap than previously.</li>
<li>Analysts are turning more bullish on 2026 than on 2025. For most large markets, especially Korea and Taiwan, 2026 consensus EPS estimates have moved up while 2025 estimates have declined.</li>
</ul>


Asia's valuation rerating seems over. Future market performance would likely be driven by earnings growth. On current consensus forecasts, Taiwan, Korea, China and India lead the future earnings growth leaderboard.
Growth adjusted relative valuations are similar to early 2025, but markets are more closely aligned along the trendline. India is relatively less expensive and Korea relatively less cheap than previously.
Analysts are turning more bullish on 2026 than on 2025. For most large markets, especially Korea and Taiwan, 2026 consensus EPS estimates have moved up while 2025 estimates have declined.


Asian Equities: Divergent EPS Trajectory, Narrowing Valuation Spread; KR-TW Leading EPS Upgrades

<ul>
<li>Most large Asian markets' forward PE multiples are significantly higher than their long-term averages. But their valuations relative to Asia-ex-Japan are mostly at the averages, only Korea's is significantly lower.</li>
<li>HK/China's relative PE is slightly lower than average, Taiwan's is slightly higher. ASEAN markets' relative PE are sharply lower than their averages, but we think most lack rerating catalysts.</li>
<li>We think Korea and Philippines deserve to get rerated. India's relative PE, though at its long-term average, could decline slightly further, to reach its recent bottoms.</li>
</ul>


Most large Asian markets' forward PE multiples are significantly higher than their long-term averages. But their valuations relative to Asia-ex-Japan are mostly at the averages, only Korea's is significantly lower.
HK/China's relative PE is slightly lower than average, Taiwan's is slightly higher. ASEAN markets' relative PE are sharply lower than their averages, but we think most lack rerating catalysts.
We think Korea and Philippines deserve to get rerated. India's relative PE, though at its long-term average, could decline slightly further, to reach its recent bottoms.


Asian Equity: Relative Valuations Have Mostly Converged; Korea the Only Large Rerating Candidate

<ul>
<li>Near the end of the earnings reporting season, our earnings estimate tracker identified 11 robust earnings estimate gainers - with consensus EPS estimates up across 3-month and 6-month time horizons.</li>
<li>Onshore China communications and financials, HK technology, Korean and Singapore financials are the prominent "winner" sectors. Five other ASEAN sectors also figure on the list. </li>
<li>Earlier, in June, we detected 16 "consistent winner" market-sectors. The earnings environment has deteriorated slightly. Of the prominent stocks, Tencent, Hana Financials and DBS Group figure in our Model Portfolio.</li>
</ul>


Near the end of the earnings reporting season, our earnings estimate tracker identified 11 robust earnings estimate gainers - with consensus EPS estimates up across 3-month and 6-month time horizons.
Onshore China communications and financials, HK technology, Korean and Singapore financials are the prominent "winner" sectors. Five other ASEAN sectors also figure on the list. 
Earlier, in June, we detected 16 "consistent winner" market-sectors. The earnings environment has deteriorated slightly. Of the prominent stocks, Tencent, Hana Financials and DBS Group figure in our Model Portfolio.


Asian Equities: Eleven Robust Earnings Gainers Post Reporting Season

South Korea

Hana Financial Group Inc., in accordance with Financial Holding Companies Act, was established on December 1, 2005, through stock transfer with the former shareholders of its subsidiaries in order to provide management services and financing to associated companies.

Price Gauge
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Hana Financial (086790 KS)

Asian Equities: Earnings Estimate Upgrades Climbing, but Slowly and Selectively

18 Asian market-sectors now show steady EPS est upgrades. A quarter ago we spotted 11. CN, KR & TW lead the pack. Notable sectors are base metals,...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 25th): Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, SamsungElecMech, SKSQUARE

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, SamsungElecMech,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asian Equities: Divergent EPS Trajectory, Narrowing Valuation Spread; KR-TW Leading EPS Upgrades

Asia's valn rerating seems over, with future performance driven by EPS grwth. TW, KR, CN, IN to lead future EPS growth. Analysts turning more...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Asian Equity: Relative Valuations Have Mostly Converged; Korea the Only Large Rerating Candidate

Most large Asian markets' fwd PE multiples are above long-term means. Their PEs relative to AxJ are at long-term means. We think KR & Phils...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Asian Equities: Eleven Robust Earnings Gainers Post Reporting Season

Eleven sectors show robust earnings estimate gains, with CN communications, HK technology, Korean & SGP financials leading the way. Tencent, Hana...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Asian Equities: Earnings Estimate Upgrades Climbing, but Slowly and Selectively

​18 Asian market-sectors now show steady EPS est upgrades. A quarter ago we spotted 11. CN, KR & TW lead the pack. Notable sectors are base metals,...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 25th): Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, SamsungElecMech, SKSQUARE

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, SamsungElecMech,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asian Equities: Divergent EPS Trajectory, Narrowing Valuation Spread; KR-TW Leading EPS Upgrades

​Asia's valn rerating seems over, with future performance driven by EPS grwth. TW, KR, CN, IN to lead future EPS growth. Analysts turning more...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Asian Equity: Relative Valuations Have Mostly Converged; Korea the Only Large Rerating Candidate

​Most large Asian markets' fwd PE multiples are above long-term means. Their PEs relative to AxJ are at long-term means. We think KR & Phils...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Asian Equities: Eleven Robust Earnings Gainers Post Reporting Season

​Eleven sectors show robust earnings estimate gains, with CN communications, HK technology, Korean & SGP financials leading the way. Tencent, Hana...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

18 Asian market-sectors now show steady EPS est upgrades. A quarter ago we spotted 11. CN, KR & TW lead the pack. Notable sectors are base metals,...

Asia's valn rerating seems over, with future performance driven by EPS grwth. TW, KR, CN, IN to lead future EPS growth. Analysts turning more...

Most large Asian markets' fwd PE multiples are above long-term means. Their PEs relative to AxJ are at long-term means. We think KR & Phils...

Eleven sectors show robust earnings estimate gains, with CN communications, HK technology, Korean & SGP financials leading the way. Tencent, Hana...