Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>There were 128k visitors to South Korea in April, up 32% MoM which was the biggest jump in MoM change in visitors to South Korea in the past year.</li>
<li>There were 215k outbound people from South Korea in April 2022, up 48% MoM and up 202% YoY.</li>
<li>Among the 21 major reopening plays in Korea, we prefer certain sectors including casino related plays (GKL, Paradise, and Kangwon Land) as well as F&amp;B related (Hitejinro and CJ Cheiljedang).</li>
</ul>


There were 128k visitors to South Korea in April, up 32% MoM which was the biggest jump in MoM change in visitors to South Korea in the past year.
There were 215k outbound people from South Korea in April 2022, up 48% MoM and up 202% YoY.
Among the 21 major reopening plays in Korea, we prefer certain sectors including casino related plays (GKL, Paradise, and Kangwon Land) as well as F&amp;B related (Hitejinro and CJ Cheiljedang).


Significant MoM Increase in Inbound & Outbound Visitors in Korea in April 2022

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We should pay attention to the following three stocks: F&amp;F, Iljin Hysolus, and K Car. They all have recently seen a drastic increase in the loan balance.</li>
<li>Their passive flow sizes relative to ADTVs are the lowest among the additions. It seems that those with relatively little passive impact are targeted.</li>
<li>Also, their projected earnings are highly volatile, and they all face overvaluation issues, whereas the other four names have more clear projections for earnings.</li>
</ul>


We should pay attention to the following three stocks: F&amp;F, Iljin Hysolus, and K Car. They all have recently seen a drastic increase in the loan balance.
Their passive flow sizes relative to ADTVs are the lowest among the additions. It seems that those with relatively little passive impact are targeted.
Also, their projected earnings are highly volatile, and they all face overvaluation issues, whereas the other four names have more clear projections for earnings.


Post KOSPI 200 Rebalancing Shorting Event: Watch Iljin Hysolus, F&F, & K Car

<ul>
<li>
SD Biosensor leads the addition group with an estimated inflow of 4.59x ADTV. SK Discovery and Yungjin Pharmaceutical have the most substantial outflow at 7.23x and 6.07x ADTVs, respectively.</li>
<li>For short-covering, CJ CGV stands out the most at this point. Its short interest is 4.57% of SO, and the short interest has increased the most of late.</li>
<li>For short resumption, two names stand out: Meritz Fire and Hana Tour.</li>
</ul>



SD Biosensor leads the addition group with an estimated inflow of 4.59x ADTV. SK Discovery and Yungjin Pharmaceutical have the most substantial outflow at 7.23x and 6.07x ADTVs, respectively.
For short-covering, CJ CGV stands out the most at this point. Its short interest is 4.57% of SO, and the short interest has increased the most of late.
For short resumption, two names stand out: Meritz Fire and Hana Tour.


KOSPI 200 Rebalancing: Noteworthy Names for Passive, Shorting, & Short Covering Flows

<ul>
<li>Korea Exchange announced the additions and deletions to KOSPI200 today.</li>
<li>There were no major surprises with regards to the additions and deletions.</li>
<li>SK Discovery is a potential buy candidate and Hana Tour Service is a potential sell candidate post the announcement of KOSPI200 additions and deletions.</li>
</ul>


Korea Exchange announced the additions and deletions to KOSPI200 today.
There were no major surprises with regards to the additions and deletions.
SK Discovery is a potential buy candidate and Hana Tour Service is a potential sell candidate post the announcement of KOSPI200 additions and deletions.


Additions & Deletions to KOSPI 200 and Trading Strategies Post Announcement

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There will be 7 additions and 7 deletions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> at the June rebalance that will be implemented on 9 June.</li>
<li>We got all 7 inclusions right and 5 of the 7 deletions right. The adds have 3-6 days ADV to buy, while the deletes have 4-12 days ADV to sell.</li>
<li>Short interest on the deletions is a significant portion of the estimated passive selling and there could be short covering in the week leading up to implementation of the changes.</li>
</ul>


There will be 7 additions and 7 deletions for the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX) at the June rebalance that will be implemented on 9 June.
We got all 7 inclusions right and 5 of the 7 deletions right. The adds have 3-6 days ADV to buy, while the deletes have 4-12 days ADV to sell.
Short interest on the deletions is a significant portion of the estimated passive selling and there could be short covering in the week leading up to implementation of the changes.


South Korea

Hana Tour Service Inc. wholesales a variety of travel related services.  The Company provides outbound, inbound and domestic travel packages and cooperates with credit card companies and Internet shopping malls to market its services. Hana Tour Service also works as general sales agency (GSA) of overseas cruise and rail passes.

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Hana Tour Service (039130 KS)

Significant MoM Increase in Inbound & Outbound Visitors in Korea in April 2022

There were 128k visitors to South Korea in April, up 32% MoM. There were 215k outbound people from South Korea in April 2022, up 48% MoM.

Douglas Kim

Post KOSPI 200 Rebalancing Shorting Event: Watch Iljin Hysolus, F&F, & K Car

This post investigates the latest loaned share balance trend of the KOSPI 200 new members to figure out which are being targeted for post...

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI 200 Rebalancing: Noteworthy Names for Passive, Shorting, & Short Covering Flows

This post supplies the estimated flow data of passive, shorting, and short-covering trades for the additions and deletions at June's upcoming KOSPI...

Sanghyun Park

Additions & Deletions to KOSPI 200 and Trading Strategies Post Announcement

SK Discovery is a potential buy candidate and Hana Tour Service is a potential sell candidate post the announcement of KOSPI200 additions and...

Douglas Kim

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: Se7en Changes

There are 7 changes for the KOSPI 200 at the June rebalance. The impact on the deletions is higher than that on the inclusions, but there are a lot...

Brian Freitas

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