Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>I tally 42 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Two new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/larvotto-resources-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36437:1" rel="noopener">Larvotto Resources (LRV AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/minmetals-land-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1917:1" rel="noopener">Minmetals Land (230 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apiam-animal-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26109:1" rel="noopener">Apiam Animal Health (AHX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lynch-group-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36359:1" rel="noopener">Lynch Group Holdings (LGL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/joy-city-property-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10958:1" rel="noopener">Joy City Property (207 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shibaura-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12704:1" rel="noopener">Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mandarin-oriental-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4773:1" rel="noopener">Mandarin Oriental International (MAND SP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 42 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Two new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week: Larvotto Resources (LRV AU) and Minmetals Land (230 HK).
Key updates/news took place on: Apiam Animal Health (AHX AU), Lynch Group Holdings (LGL AU), Joy City Property (207 HK), Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP), and Mandarin Oriental International (MAND SP).


Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Shibaura Elect., Larvotto, Minmetals Land, Lynch Group, Mandarin Oriental

<ul>
<li>On the 31sr July, Chinese property play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/joy-city-property-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10958:1" rel="noopener">Joy City (207 HK)</a> announced a Scheme buyback, @ $0.62/share (declared final), a 67.57% premium; but arguably a 158% premium to undisturbed.</li>
<li>Yes, this was a ~70% discount to NAV. However, Joy City had traded at P/B of 0.14x, on average, the past five years. Earnings have trended south in that timeframe.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/1023/2025102300920.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">The Scheme Document's now out</a>, with a Court Meeting on the 17th November and expected payment around the 4th December. The IFA (Somerley) says "fair &amp; reasonable". It probably is.</li>
</ul>


On the 31sr July, Chinese property play Joy City (207 HK) announced a Scheme buyback, @ $0.62/share (declared final), a 67.57% premium; but arguably a 158% premium to undisturbed.
Yes, this was a ~70% discount to NAV. However, Joy City had traded at P/B of 0.14x, on average, the past five years. Earnings have trended south in that timeframe.

The Scheme Document's now out, with a Court Meeting on the 17th November and expected payment around the 4th December. The IFA (Somerley) says "fair &amp; reasonable". It probably is.


Joy City (207 HK): 17th November Vote On COFCO's Offer

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Oct 24th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Xiaomi (1810 HK), China Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK), Linklogis (9959 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK), Anta (2020 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Oct 24th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Xiaomi (1810 HK), China Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK), Linklogis (9959 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK), Anta (2020 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Oct 24th): Xiaomi, China Mengniu Dairy, Linklogis

<ul>
<li>After suspending shares on the 30th September, SOE-Backed, Chinese property play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/minmetals-land-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1917:1" rel="noopener">Minmetals Land (230 HK)</a>, has now <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/1023/2025102300765.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> an Offer, by way of a Scheme buyback, from parent China Minmetals. </li>
<li>The Offer Price of HK$1/share, declared final, is a punchy 185.71% premium to last close. And also a 179% premium over the 30th June 2025 NAV. Optically, looks solid also.</li>
<li>Disinterested shareholders hold 38.12%. They should be happy with terms. This should wrap up (perhaps) late February 2026. </li>
</ul>


After suspending shares on the 30th September, SOE-Backed, Chinese property play Minmetals Land (230 HK), has now announced an Offer, by way of a Scheme buyback, from parent China Minmetals. 
The Offer Price of HK$1/share, declared final, is a punchy 185.71% premium to last close. And also a 179% premium over the 30th June 2025 NAV. Optically, looks solid also.
Disinterested shareholders hold 38.12%. They should be happy with terms. This should wrap up (perhaps) late February 2026. 


Minmetals Land (230 HK): An Offer Premium Of 179% To NAV? Yes Please

<ul>
<li>Consumer electronics play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/idt-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5352:1" rel="noopener">IDT International (167 HK)</a> is currently <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/1022/2025102200722.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">suspended</a> pursuant to the Takeovers Code. But don't expect your usual Offer to unfold. </li>
<li>On the 2nd October, IDT announced that Tiger Energy Technology, which holds 72.1% of share out, has been placed into receivership. Tiger Energy is 50% owned by Tiger Chen (ED).</li>
<li>IDT was recently suspended for 581 days after failing to publish its annual results. Upon resumption of trading, predicated on a re-organisation, the major shareholder promptly exited. Without telling anyone. </li>
</ul>


Consumer electronics play IDT International (167 HK) is currently suspended pursuant to the Takeovers Code. But don't expect your usual Offer to unfold. 
On the 2nd October, IDT announced that Tiger Energy Technology, which holds 72.1% of share out, has been placed into receivership. Tiger Energy is 50% owned by Tiger Chen (ED).
IDT was recently suspended for 581 days after failing to publish its annual results. Upon resumption of trading, predicated on a re-organisation, the major shareholder promptly exited. Without telling anyone. 


IDT (167 HK): Expect Long-Dated MGO As Major Shareholder Placed In Receivership

Hong Kong

Hang Seng Bank Limited and its subsidiaries provide banking and related financial services.

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Hang Seng Bank (11 HK)

Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Shibaura Elect., Larvotto, Minmetals Land, Lynch Group, Mandarin Oriental

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Joy City (207 HK): 17th November Vote On COFCO's Offer

Trading wide at a 3.8%/111.4% gross/annualised spread. To be expected. If small-cap illiquid arbs are your bent, get involved here. Otherwise, this...

David Blennerhassett

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Oct 24th): Xiaomi, China Mengniu Dairy, Linklogis

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Xiaomi (1810 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Minmetals Land (230 HK): An Offer Premium Of 179% To NAV? Yes Please

Clean deal. If small-cap illiquid arbs are your bent get involved here. I'd pay up to HK$0.95/share, assuming end of February 2026 payment.

David Blennerhassett

IDT (167 HK): Expect Long-Dated MGO As Major Shareholder Placed In Receivership

Consumer electronics play IDT International (167 HK) is currently suspended pursuant to the Takeovers Code. But don't expect your usual Offer to...

David Blennerhassett

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