External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>In our last report dated 17 October, we highlighted a list of 21 long ideas.</li><li>The basket (equal weighted) of these 21 stocks underperformed MSCI China index by 5.4ppt, delivering 0.2% return (vs MSCI China 5.6%).</li><li>China Meidong Auto and Innovent Biologics delivered over 20% of return, and 4 of our 21 long ideas outperformed the benchmark.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

In our last report dated 17 October, we highlighted a list of 21 long ideas.The basket (equal weighted) of these 21 stocks underperformed MSCI China index by 5.4ppt, delivering 0.2% return (vs MSCI China 5.6%).China Meidong Auto and Innovent Biologics delivered over 20% of return, and 4 of our 21 long ideas outperformed the benchmark.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CMBI Research Focus List (November Edition) – Our best high conviction stock ideas

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 100 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT, EOPTOLINK TECHNOLOGY, TONGWEI, Longi Green, SERES, ZIJIN MINING, PING AN INSURANCE, GIGADEVICE SEMICONDUCTOR.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 100 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT, EOPTOLINK TECHNOLOGY, TONGWEI, Longi Green, SERES, ZIJIN MINING, PING AN INSURANCE, GIGADEVICE SEMICONDUCTOR.


CSI 100 Index Earning Revision (Jul): ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT, EOPTOLINK TECHNOLOGY, TONGWEI, Longi Green

<div><div><div><ul><li>Hikvision and Dahua both reported worse than expected 3Q22 results as macro <span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">headwinds surge. </span></li><li><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">However, the diverging performance implies that Hikvision is </span><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">more resilient than Dahua amid macro fluctuations. In particular, Hikvision </span><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">revenue was up +3% YoY while that of Dahua was down -11% YoY in 3Q22. </span></li><li><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">We </span><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">are surprised to see Dahua’s QoQ decline in revenue, considering the lockdown </span><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">impact in 2Q22. </span></li></ul></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Hikvision and Dahua both reported worse than expected 3Q22 results as macro headwinds surge. However, the diverging performance implies that Hikvision is more resilient than Dahua amid macro fluctuations. In particular, Hikvision revenue was up +3% YoY while that of Dahua was down -11% YoY in 3Q22. We are surprised to see Dahua’s QoQ decline in revenue, considering the lockdown impact in 2Q22. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China AI – Margin under pressure amid weakening demand

<ul><li>Number of China public security projects bidding remained weak in 3Q22 at -7% YoY (vs. -4% YoY in 2Q22) as Sep number deteriorated (-9% YoY).</li><li><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">Meanwhile, </span><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">the US has broadened the restrictions from targeting specific companies (Entity List) to specific products (semiconductors/ equipment above certain computing threshold). </span></li><li><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">Our channel checks suggested that the new rules have limited impact to existing commercial </span><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">AI applications.</span></li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Number of China public security projects bidding remained weak in 3Q22 at -7% YoY (vs. -4% YoY in 2Q22) as Sep number deteriorated (-9% YoY).Meanwhile, the US has broadened the restrictions from targeting specific companies (Entity List) to specific products (semiconductors/ equipment above certain computing threshold). Our channel checks suggested that the new rules have limited impact to existing commercial AI applications.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China AI – Public Security Demand Remained Weak in 3Q22

<ul><li>Growing macro concerns related to stagflation, US rate hike, geopolitical tensions <span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">and RMB depreciation continue to weigh on growth stocks, especially to software </span><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">tech. </span></li><li><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">We use five criteria including 1) valuation, 2) profitability, 3) cash level, 4) </span><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">short ratio and 5) RMB/USD depreciation to determine companies that are less </span><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">vulnerable to market fluctuations. We find Hikvision (BUY), Glodon (BUY) and </span><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">AsiaInfo (NR) in the best positions under these five criteria.</span></li><li><div><div><div><p>Heightened macro uncertainties unfavorable to software tech stocks. </p></div></div></div></li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Growing macro concerns related to stagflation, US rate hike, geopolitical tensions and RMB depreciation continue to weigh on growth stocks, especially to software tech. We use five criteria including 1) valuation, 2) profitability, 3) cash level, 4) short ratio and 5) RMB/USD depreciation to determine companies that are less vulnerable to market fluctuations. We find Hikvision (BUY), Glodon (BUY) and AsiaInfo (NR) in the best positions under these five criteria.Heightened macro uncertainties unfavorable to software tech stocks. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Software & IT Services - Which Stocks Are Less Vulnerable to Market Volatility?

China

Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co., Ltd develops, manufactures and sells video surveillance products.  The Company manufactures video and audio compression card, network hard disk video recorders, video servers, cameras, network storage, and other digital products.

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Hangzhou Hikvision (002415 CH)

CMBI Research Focus List (November Edition) – Our best high conviction stock ideas

In our last report dated 17 October, we highlighted a list of 21 long ideas.The basket (equal weighted) of these 21 stocks underperformed MSCI...

CMB International

CSI 100 Index Earning Revision (Jul): ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT, EOPTOLINK TECHNOLOGY, TONGWEI, Longi Green

We analyzed CSI 100's consensus for Jul 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT (300308 CH), EOPTOLINK TECHNOLOGY (300502 CH),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China AI – Margin under pressure amid weakening demand

We are surprised to see Dahua’s QoQ decline in revenue, considering the lockdown impact in 2Q22. Innovative businesses growth (Hikvison +18% YoY/...

CMB International

China AI – Public Security Demand Remained Weak in 3Q22

Number of China public security projects bidding remained weak in 3Q22 at -7% YoY (vs. -4% YoY in 2Q22) as Sep number deteriorated (-9% YoY).

CMB International

China Software & IT Services - Which Stocks Are Less Vulnerable to Market Volatility?

Growing macro concerns related to stagflation, US rate hike, geopolitical tensions and RMB depreciation continue to weigh on growth stocks,...

CMB International

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