IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

WuXi XDC Cayman  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-xdc-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39917:1" rel="noopener">WuXi XDC Cayman (1877628D HK)</a>, a leading contract research, development and manufacturing organization (CRDMO), is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise US$500 million, according to press reports.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/wuxi-xdc-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:116331" rel="noopener">WuXi XDC IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/wuxi-xdc-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:116507" rel="noopener">WuXi XDC IPO: The Bear Case</a>.</li>
<li>In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at WuXi XDC's potential valuation range.</li>
</ul>



WuXi XDC Cayman (1877628D HK), a leading contract research, development and manufacturing organization (CRDMO), is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise US$500 million, according to press reports.
We previously discussed the IPO in WuXi XDC IPO: The Bull Case and WuXi XDC IPO: The Bear Case.
In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at WuXi XDC's potential valuation range.


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Midea Group Co Ltd A / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Two of the biggest deals in the Hong Kong pipeline are A/H listings for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maanshan-dingtai-rare-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4128:1" rel="noopener">S.F. Holding (002352 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16185:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group (000333 CH)</a>, both looking to raise around US$3bn.</li>
<li>Prior to the deals going live, we had a quick look at the A/H premium, subscription and past performance of some of the earlier A/H listings.</li>
<li>Overall, most of the recent A/H listings haven’t done much in the near term.</li>
</ul>


Two of the biggest deals in the Hong Kong pipeline are A/H listings for S.F. Holding (002352 CH) and Midea Group (000333 CH), both looking to raise around US$3bn.
Prior to the deals going live, we had a quick look at the A/H premium, subscription and past performance of some of the earlier A/H listings.
Overall, most of the recent A/H listings haven’t done much in the near term.


Past A/H Listings Performance - Have Been a Mixed Bag

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-xdc-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39917:1" rel="noopener">WuXi XDC Cayman Inc (1877628D HK)</a>, a leading contract research, development and manufacturing organization (CRDMO), is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise US$500 million, according to press reports.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/wuxi-xdc-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:116331" rel="noopener">WuXi XDC IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rests on margins on a downward trend, large customer concentration, high related party transactions and volatile FCF generation.</li>
</ul>



WuXi XDC Cayman Inc (1877628D HK), a leading contract research, development and manufacturing organization (CRDMO), is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise US$500 million, according to press reports.
In WuXi XDC IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on margins on a downward trend, large customer concentration, high related party transactions and volatile FCF generation.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16185:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH)</a>, one of the world’s largest home appliance producers, aims to raise up to US$3bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>Midea Group is one of the world’s largest home appliance manufacturing companies with a presence in over 200 countries. Its A-shares have been listed since 2013.</li>
<li>We have covered the company and deal background in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the updates from the recent filing.</li>
</ul>



Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH), one of the world’s largest home appliance producers, aims to raise up to US$3bn in its H-share listing.
Midea Group is one of the world’s largest home appliance manufacturing companies with a presence in over 200 countries. Its A-shares have been listed since 2013.
We have covered the company and deal background in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the updates from the recent filing.


Midea A/H Listing - Filing Updates - Growth and Margins Pick Up

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

Hangzhou Tigermed Consulting (A) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Tigermed reported 3Q23 revenue of RMB1,940mn, up 7.1% YoY (vs +3.3% YoY in 1H23), and attributable recurring net income of RMB405mn, down 3.8% YoY (vs +2.9% YoY in 1H23).</li><li>3Q23 revenue accounted for 24.9% of our 2023 full-year estimate, in line with its historical average, while attributable recurring net income represented 22.7% of our forecast, which fell short of its historical average of ~27%.</li><li>If excluding COVID vaccine revenue, 3Q23 revenue would grow by ~18% YoY (vs ~27% YoY in 1H23). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tigermed reported 3Q23 revenue of RMB1,940mn, up 7.1% YoY (vs +3.3% YoY in 1H23), and attributable recurring net income of RMB405mn, down 3.8% YoY (vs +2.9% YoY in 1H23).3Q23 revenue accounted for 24.9% of our 2023 full-year estimate, in line with its historical average, while attributable recurring net income represented 22.7% of our forecast, which fell short of its historical average of ~27%.If excluding COVID vaccine revenue, 3Q23 revenue would grow by ~18% YoY (vs ~27% YoY in 1H23). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tigermed (300347 CH) – Business Stabilizing from Late September

China

Hangzhou Tigermed Consulting Company Limited provides professional clinical research services for domestic and foreign pharmaceutical and health-related research and development. The Company's main services include clinical trial technology services, data management, and statistical analysis.

Hangzhou Tigermed Consulting (A) (300347 CH)

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Hangzhou Tigermed Consulting (A) (300347 CH)

WuXi XDC IPO: Valuation First-Look

WuXi XDC is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise US$500m. In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at the potential valuation...

Arun George

Past A/H Listings Performance - Have Been a Mixed Bag

Two of the biggest deals in the Hong Kong pipeline are A/H listings for S.F. Holding (002352 CH) and Midea Group (000333 CH). In this note, we have...

Sumeet Singh

WuXi XDC IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case rests on margins on a downward trend, large customer concentration, high related party transactions and volatile FCF generation.

Arun George

Midea A/H Listing - Filing Updates - Growth and Margins Pick Up

Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH), one of the world’s largest home appliance producers, aims to raise up to US$3bn in its H-share listing.

Sumeet Singh

Tigermed (300347 CH) – Business Stabilizing from Late September

Tigermed reported 3Q23 revenue of RMB1,940mn, up 7.1% YoY (vs +3.3% YoY in 1H23), and attributable recurring net income of RMB405mn, down 3.8% YoY...

CMB International

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