Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>MBK can cut their target volume to 12% and, with 2 trillion won, raise the tender price to ₩800,000, leaving them a 20% cushion.</li>
<li>MBK’s tight schedule aims to hit the 6.98% target while minimizing price volatility and market risk by shortening the offer window.</li>
<li>MBK plans to sweeten the deal by about 20%, similar to Hankook, aiming for a 6.98% target with a 20% price hike from the start.</li>
</ul>


MBK can cut their target volume to 12% and, with 2 trillion won, raise the tender price to ₩800,000, leaving them a 20% cushion.
MBK’s tight schedule aims to hit the 6.98% target while minimizing price volatility and market risk by shortening the offer window.
MBK plans to sweeten the deal by about 20%, similar to Hankook, aiming for a 6.98% target with a 20% price hike from the start.


Insights on the Odds of MBK Ramping up the Tender Price by 20%

<ul>
<li>Hankook &amp; Company is unexpectedly entering Autos, the only large-cap inclusion, likely getting a significant weight and facing a massive flow impact.</li>
<li>Like BBIG, this single-day flow event driven by one or two ETFs means smaller front-running impact, but names like Hankook &amp; Company could see early positioning due to massive flows.</li>
<li>I'll position in big impact names two days before the ETF rebalance trading. I’ll then go long on a basket of those with over 0.5x ADTV at Wednesday’s close.</li>
</ul>


Hankook &amp; Company is unexpectedly entering Autos, the only large-cap inclusion, likely getting a significant weight and facing a massive flow impact.
Like BBIG, this single-day flow event driven by one or two ETFs means smaller front-running impact, but names like Hankook &amp; Company could see early positioning due to massive flows.
I'll position in big impact names two days before the ETF rebalance trading. I’ll then go long on a basket of those with over 0.5x ADTV at Wednesday’s close.


KRX Sector Rebalance Shocker: Massive Flow Impact on Hankook & Company

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of May 10th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD6.7bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix, Doosan Enerbility.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of May 10th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD6.7bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix, Doosan Enerbility.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (May 10th): Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix, Doosan Enerbility

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Back in 2014, Hahn &amp; Co and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hankook-tire-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20031:1" rel="noopener">Hankook Tire (161390 KS)</a> acquired a 70% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanon-systems" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11506:1" rel="noopener">Hanon Systems (018880 KS)</a> from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/visteon-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5471:1" rel="noopener">Visteon (VC US)</a>, an automotive electronics supplier, for ₩3.8tn.</li>
<li>Three years ago, Hahn/Hankook explored the sale of this 70% stake, which was expected to fetch ~₩8tn (US$7bn). Reportedly, Carlyle, TPG, Bain and auto supplier Mahle submitted preliminary bids.</li>
<li>That 70% stake is now worth ₩2.3tn. And reportedly, Carlyle has returned to the trough. </li>
</ul>


Back in 2014, Hahn &amp; Co and Hankook Tire (161390 KS) acquired a 70% stake in Hanon Systems (018880 KS) from Visteon (VC US), an automotive electronics supplier, for ₩3.8tn.
Three years ago, Hahn/Hankook explored the sale of this 70% stake, which was expected to fetch ~₩8tn (US$7bn). Reportedly, Carlyle, TPG, Bain and auto supplier Mahle submitted preliminary bids.
That 70% stake is now worth ₩2.3tn. And reportedly, Carlyle has returned to the trough. 


On A Charge: Hanon Systems & Renewed Interest In Hahn/Hankook's Stake

<ul>
<li>Stay long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/benefit-one-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14502:1" rel="noopener">Benefit One (2412 JP)</a>. Dai-Ichi Life can pay more, if pushed on pricing. May not be huge, but it could be a few percent or even 10%. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hankook-company-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19369:1" rel="noopener">Hankook &amp; Company (000240 KS)</a>'s family feud goes public. The public tender looks set to fail. Coal in stockings all-round.</li>
<li>If you had any <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a> left over from the rally up to ¥1,300+, get out. There may be a better opportunity later, but not here.</li>
</ul>


Stay long Benefit One (2412 JP). Dai-Ichi Life can pay more, if pushed on pricing. May not be huge, but it could be a few percent or even 10%. 

Hankook &amp; Company (000240 KS)'s family feud goes public. The public tender looks set to fail. Coal in stockings all-round.
If you had any Toyo Construction (1890 JP) left over from the rally up to ¥1,300+, get out. There may be a better opportunity later, but not here.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Benefit One, Hankook, Toyo Construction, Hanwha, Tsuruha, Livent/Allkem

South Korea

Hankook & Company Co., Ltd. operates as a holding company. The Company operates batteries manufacturing, leasing, management consulting, tires production, and other businesses. Hankook provides services worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Hankook & Company (000240 KS)

Insights on the Odds of MBK Ramping up the Tender Price by 20%

This post offers insights into the likelihood of MBK Partners boosting the tender price by 20% for Korea Zinc shareholders.

Sanghyun Park

KRX Sector Rebalance Shocker: Massive Flow Impact on Hankook & Company

This post breaks down the surprises from the KRX Sector Indexes' September rebalance event, which is set to take place at the close on the 12th,...

Sanghyun Park

KRX Short Interest Weekly (May 10th): Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix, Doosan Enerbility

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix, Doosan Enerbility.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

On A Charge: Hanon Systems & Renewed Interest In Hahn/Hankook's Stake

There is currently no firm Offer. It's doubtful Hahn/Hankook will sell at these levels. Hanon appears inexpensive here, with a solid backlog and...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: Benefit One, Hankook, Toyo Construction, Hanwha, Tsuruha, Livent/Allkem

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)