Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Foxconn Industrial Internet / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Not much has changed since our latest Int'l Compass from May 31, 2024 titled "Buy the Pullback." </li>
<li>We were buyers of the pullback in global equities (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, EM, Europe, Japan, Taiwan, etc.) with important supports holding, combined with ongoing healthy market dynamics.</li>
<li>Supports are holding, and our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. Continue to buy dips.</li>
</ul>


Not much has changed since our latest Int'l Compass from May 31, 2024 titled "Buy the Pullback." 
We were buyers of the pullback in global equities (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, EM, Europe, Japan, Taiwan, etc.) with important supports holding, combined with ongoing healthy market dynamics.
Supports are holding, and our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. Continue to buy dips.


Downgrading Europe to Market Weight; Europe Indexes Still Bullish (Price); Bullish Outlook Intact

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX Stocks as of Jun 14th which has an aggregated holding worth USD547.8bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,575mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Hanmi Semicon, Kia.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX Stocks as of Jun 14th which has an aggregated holding worth USD547.8bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,575mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Hanmi Semicon, Kia.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 14th): Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Hanmi Semicon, Kia

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There will be 6 additions and 6 deletions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> at the June rebalance that will be implemented on 13 June.</li>
<li>The index committee has used a boatload of discretion in the inclusion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosmoam-t-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10360:1" rel="noopener">CosmoAM&amp;T (005070 KS)</a> and the deletion of some of the stocks.</li>
<li>The adds and deletes from the Information Technology sector will also have passive flow from the sector ETF and will increase the impact of the changes.</li>
</ul>


There will be 6 additions and 6 deletions for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) at the June rebalance that will be implemented on 13 June.
The index committee has used a boatload of discretion in the inclusion of CosmoAM&amp;T (005070 KS) and the deletion of some of the stocks.
The adds and deletes from the Information Technology sector will also have passive flow from the sector ETF and will increase the impact of the changes.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: Index Committee Knows Best; Cosmo AM&T the Winner

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX Stocks as of Jun 7th which has an aggregated holding worth USD542.4bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD266mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Alteogen Inc (196170 KS), Naver Corp (035420 KS).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX Stocks as of Jun 7th which has an aggregated holding worth USD542.4bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD266mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Alteogen Inc (196170 KS), Naver Corp (035420 KS).


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 7th): Alteogen, Naver

<ul>
<li>Global MSCI indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM) are pulling back following recent breakouts to multi-year highs. Europe, Japan also pulling back to uptrend supports.</li>
<li>Short-Term supports to watch-discussed in our May 23, 2024 Int'l Compass-include $110.50 on ACWI-US, $53.50 on ACWX-US, $80 on EFA-US, and $41-42 on EEM-US; buy this pullback. </li>
<li>As long as these supports hold, we anticipate significantly higher prices ahead. Combination of supports holding and healthy market dynamics continues to validate our bullish outlook on global equities.</li>
</ul>


Global MSCI indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM) are pulling back following recent breakouts to multi-year highs. Europe, Japan also pulling back to uptrend supports.
Short-Term supports to watch-discussed in our May 23, 2024 Int'l Compass-include $110.50 on ACWI-US, $53.50 on ACWX-US, $80 on EFA-US, and $41-42 on EEM-US; buy this pullback. 
As long as these supports hold, we anticipate significantly higher prices ahead. Combination of supports holding and healthy market dynamics continues to validate our bullish outlook on global equities.


Buy the Pullback; Market Dynamics Remain Healthy; Buys in Tech, Discretionary, Healthcare, Utilities

South Korea

Hanmi Semiconductor Co., Ltd. manufactures and develops semiconductor equipment. The Company's products include auto molding system, sawing & placement system, campress trim/form/singulation system, and pick & place system.

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Hanmi Semiconductor (042700 KS)

Downgrading Europe to Market Weight; Europe Indexes Still Bullish (Price); Bullish Outlook Intact

Downgrading Europe to Market Weight $FEZ $STOXX; Europe Still Bullish From a Price Perspective; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI $EEM; Supports...

Vermilion Research

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 14th): Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Hanmi Semicon, Kia

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Hanmi Semicon, Kia.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: Index Committee Knows Best; Cosmo AM&T the Winner

The KOSPI200 rebalance takes place at the close tomorrow. Cosmo AM&T is up ~25% since the surprise inclusion and there could be a reversal in the...

Brian Freitas

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 7th): Alteogen, Naver

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Alteogen (196170 KS), Naver (035420 KS).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Buy the Pullback; Market Dynamics Remain Healthy; Buys in Tech, Discretionary, Healthcare, Utilities

Buy the Pullbacks in $EFA $ACWX as they hold above $80 and $53.50 supports; Europe and Japan also buyable pullbacks to uptrend supports; Market...

Vermilion Research

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