Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss strategies for outperformance amid market convulsions and downturn. </li>
<li>In particular, we highlight six reasons why it may be a wise move to position one's portfolio more defensively (at least for the next several months).</li>
<li>Warren Buffett slashed nearly half of his holdings in Apple, which was probably one of the main triggers of the tremendous market sell off in Asian markets on Monday.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss strategies for outperformance amid market convulsions and downturn. 
In particular, we highlight six reasons why it may be a wise move to position one's portfolio more defensively (at least for the next several months).
Warren Buffett slashed nearly half of his holdings in Apple, which was probably one of the main triggers of the tremendous market sell off in Asian markets on Monday.


6 Major Signs of Market Downturn and Strategy for Outperformance Amid Market Convulsions

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Foxconn Industrial Internet / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Not much has changed since our latest Int'l Compass from May 31, 2024 titled "Buy the Pullback." </li>
<li>We were buyers of the pullback in global equities (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, EM, Europe, Japan, Taiwan, etc.) with important supports holding, combined with ongoing healthy market dynamics.</li>
<li>Supports are holding, and our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. Continue to buy dips.</li>
</ul>


Not much has changed since our latest Int'l Compass from May 31, 2024 titled "Buy the Pullback." 
We were buyers of the pullback in global equities (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, EM, Europe, Japan, Taiwan, etc.) with important supports holding, combined with ongoing healthy market dynamics.
Supports are holding, and our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. Continue to buy dips.


Downgrading Europe to Market Weight; Europe Indexes Still Bullish (Price); Bullish Outlook Intact

<ul>
<li>Global MSCI indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM) are pulling back following recent breakouts to multi-year highs. Europe, Japan also pulling back to uptrend supports.</li>
<li>Short-Term supports to watch-discussed in our May 23, 2024 Int'l Compass-include $110.50 on ACWI-US, $53.50 on ACWX-US, $80 on EFA-US, and $41-42 on EEM-US; buy this pullback. </li>
<li>As long as these supports hold, we anticipate significantly higher prices ahead. Combination of supports holding and healthy market dynamics continues to validate our bullish outlook on global equities.</li>
</ul>


Global MSCI indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM) are pulling back following recent breakouts to multi-year highs. Europe, Japan also pulling back to uptrend supports.
Short-Term supports to watch-discussed in our May 23, 2024 Int'l Compass-include $110.50 on ACWI-US, $53.50 on ACWX-US, $80 on EFA-US, and $41-42 on EEM-US; buy this pullback. 
As long as these supports hold, we anticipate significantly higher prices ahead. Combination of supports holding and healthy market dynamics continues to validate our bullish outlook on global equities.


Buy the Pullback; Market Dynamics Remain Healthy; Buys in Tech, Discretionary, Healthcare, Utilities

<ul>
<li>KRX announced changes to KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 indices. In KOSPI 200, 6 were added and 6 were removed. In KOSDAQ 150, 13 were added and 13 were removed. </li>
<li>The six additions to KOSPI 200 had an average share price increase of 17.7% YTD. The six deletions had an average share price decline of 2.5% YTD.</li>
<li>One trading idea post the announcement of the KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 rebalances is to highlight the potential underperformers (including 20 lowest market cap stocks in KOSPI200/KOSDAQ150 post rebalance). </li>
</ul>


KRX announced changes to KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 indices. In KOSPI 200, 6 were added and 6 were removed. In KOSDAQ 150, 13 were added and 13 were removed. 
The six additions to KOSPI 200 had an average share price increase of 17.7% YTD. The six deletions had an average share price decline of 2.5% YTD.
One trading idea post the announcement of the KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 rebalances is to highlight the potential underperformers (including 20 lowest market cap stocks in KOSPI200/KOSDAQ150 post rebalance). 


Trading Idea Post Changes to KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Aug 28th. The aggregated short interest was USD19.4bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in KEPCO E&amp;C, Silicon2, HyundaiEng&amp;Const, Hyundai Motor, Doosan Enerbility.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Aug 28th. The aggregated short interest was USD19.4bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in KEPCO E&amp;C, Silicon2, HyundaiEng&amp;Const, Hyundai Motor, Doosan Enerbility.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 28th): KEPCO E&C, Silicon2, HyundaiEng&Const, Hyundai Motor

South Korea

Hanmi Semiconductor Co., Ltd. manufactures and develops semiconductor equipment. The Company's products include auto molding system, sawing & placement system, campress trim/form/singulation system, and pick & place system.

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Hanmi Semiconductor (042700 KS)

6 Major Signs of Market Downturn and Strategy for Outperformance Amid Market Convulsions

In this insight, we discuss strategies for outperformance amid market convulsions and downturn. We highlight six reasons why it may be a wise move...

Douglas Kim

Downgrading Europe to Market Weight; Europe Indexes Still Bullish (Price); Bullish Outlook Intact

Downgrading Europe to Market Weight $FEZ $STOXX; Europe Still Bullish From a Price Perspective; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI $EEM; Supports...

Vermilion Research

Buy the Pullback; Market Dynamics Remain Healthy; Buys in Tech, Discretionary, Healthcare, Utilities

Buy the Pullbacks in $EFA $ACWX as they hold above $80 and $53.50 supports; Europe and Japan also buyable pullbacks to uptrend supports; Market...

Vermilion Research

Trading Idea Post Changes to KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150

One trading idea post announcement of KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 rebalances is to highlight the potential underperformers (including 20 lowest market...

Douglas Kim

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 28th): KEPCO E&C, Silicon2, HyundaiEng&Const, Hyundai Motor

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in KEPCO E&C, Silicon2, HyundaiEng&Const, Hyundai...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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