Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We can consider three types of dividend stocks, targeting the March 31 dividend base date: 1. 1Q fiscal year-ending dividends, 2. Interim (quarterly) dividends, 3. REITs regular dividends</li>
<li>The ex-dividend price corrections of fiscal year-ending dividend stocks have been pretty tight recently. In addition, the futures basis has not reached a desirable level either.</li>
<li>So, either outright dividend trading or dividend arb play does not have much trade opening. So, I'd consider setting up a long/short basket trading, by focusing on high DTV ones.</li>
</ul>


We can consider three types of dividend stocks, targeting the March 31 dividend base date: 1. 1Q fiscal year-ending dividends, 2. Interim (quarterly) dividends, 3. REITs regular dividends
The ex-dividend price corrections of fiscal year-ending dividend stocks have been pretty tight recently. In addition, the futures basis has not reached a desirable level either.
So, either outright dividend trading or dividend arb play does not have much trade opening. So, I'd consider setting up a long/short basket trading, by focusing on high DTV ones.


KOSPI/KOSDAQ End-March Dividends: 1Q Fiscal Year-Ending, Interim(Quarterly), & REITs

<ul>
<li>The local street hears KRX has bumped it up to 14.68%. With the 1% rounding applied, it becomes 15%.</li>
<li>It is extremely rare for a Fast Entry to come in with a float market cap of +₩10T. So, we will see significant weight adjustments for the other constituents.</li>
<li>As we move towards the implementation date, we can consider basket-shorting those high-impact names for LG Energy's long hedge.</li>
</ul>


The local street hears KRX has bumped it up to 14.68%. With the 1% rounding applied, it becomes 15%.
It is extremely rare for a Fast Entry to come in with a float market cap of +₩10T. So, we will see significant weight adjustments for the other constituents.
As we move towards the implementation date, we can consider basket-shorting those high-impact names for LG Energy's long hedge.


LG Energy's KOSPI 200 Float Is 15%: Weight Adjustment Trading for Other Constituents

<ul>
<li>There are 71 interim dividend stocks on KOSPI and KOSDAQ. Of these, 9 stocks pay quarterly dividends: 7 KOSPI and 2 KOSDAQ.</li>
<li>All except POSCO and Shinhan Financial employ an equal quarterly split. As expected, SKT offers the highest quarterly dividend yield. At the last closing price, it is 1.55%.</li>
<li>Since the absolute yield level is tight, it may not be appropriate to consider a dividend arb play, except for SKT. Nevertheless, it may act as short-term price momentum.</li>
</ul>


There are 71 interim dividend stocks on KOSPI and KOSDAQ. Of these, 9 stocks pay quarterly dividends: 7 KOSPI and 2 KOSDAQ.
All except POSCO and Shinhan Financial employ an equal quarterly split. As expected, SKT offers the highest quarterly dividend yield. At the last closing price, it is 1.55%.
Since the absolute yield level is tight, it may not be appropriate to consider a dividend arb play, except for SKT. Nevertheless, it may act as short-term price momentum.


KOSPI/KOSDAQ Quarterly Dividend Stocks: DPS & Yield Estimations

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>2021 has been a leapfrog year in terms of both major outbound and inbound M&amp;As in Korea.</li>
<li>Two of the biggest M&amp;A deals in 2021 include SK Hynix's acquisition of Intel's flash NAND and SSD business and Emart's purchase of Ebay Korea for $3 billion. </li>
<li>Some of the largest M&amp;A deals which could get completed in 2022 include Hanon Systems, Bodyfriend, Modern House, Hyundai LNG Shipping, and EMK.  </li>
</ul>


2021 has been a leapfrog year in terms of both major outbound and inbound M&amp;As in Korea.
Two of the biggest M&amp;A deals in 2021 include SK Hynix's acquisition of Intel's flash NAND and SSD business and Emart's purchase of Ebay Korea for $3 billion. 
Some of the largest M&amp;A deals which could get completed in 2022 include Hanon Systems, Bodyfriend, Modern House, Hyundai LNG Shipping, and EMK.  


Korea M&A Recap in 2021 - A Leapfrog Year

Myoung Shin Industrial Co.,Ltd / Event-Driven

<p>Myungshin Industries is running again. Myungshin Industrial is considered a Tesla-related stock because Tesla is a major customer. As Tesla recently announced surprise earnings, the stock price of Myungshin Industrial is also moving up.</p><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/220/951/original/1.png?1627534508" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="220951"></figure></section><p>In the past five trading days alone, the share price has risen more than 8%. Its current market cap has exceeded 1.7 trillion won.</p><div class="content-highlight"><p><strong>So this stock appears to offer some opportunities from an index rebalancing trading perspective as well.</strong></p></div><p>The first thing to consider is the inclusion of the KOSPI 200. In the rebalancing of last June, the stock price did not meet the market cap threshold due to the share price being drifted sideways for several months. However, in this December's rebalancing, if the current share price uptrend continues, the possibility of inclusion seems quite high.</p><p><strong>However, we can find trading opportunities in the KRX Autos sector index rebalancing, which takes place ahead of the KOSPI 200 rebalancing in December.</strong></p><p>As for KRX Autos, KODEX currently manages an ETF that tracks it, and it has recently been showing good returns, resulting in a large inflow of funds. The AUM now amounts to ₩649.0B, which isn't bad for an index containing only 17 constituents.</p><p>This is a float-adjusted market cap-weighted index with a 20% cap. Rebalancing takes place annually in September. The implementation date is the first trading day of the week following the last trading day for KOSPI 200 futures contracts. So, September 10 will be the implementation date for this year, meaning that we will see rebalancing trading at the close on September 9.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="2" style="width: 746px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Index summary"}'>Index summary</td></tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 281px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Index name"}'>Index name</td>
<td style="width: 465px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"KRX Autos"}'>KRX Autos</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 281px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"ETF"}'>ETF</td>
<td style="width: 465px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Samsung Kodex Autos ETF"}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[1]C[0], "name")'><div><div>Samsung Kodex Autos ETF</div></div></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 281px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Ticker"}'>Ticker</td>
<td style="width: 465px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"091180"}' data-sheets-formula='="091180"'>091180</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 281px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"AUM"}'><strong>AUM</strong></td>
<td style="width: 465px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":649.04425}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[1]C[0]*R[2]C[0]/1000000000"><strong>₩649.0B</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 281px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Price"}'>Price</td>
<td style="width: 465px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":23305}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,4,"[$₩]#,##0",1]' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[-2]C[0], "price")'>₩23,305</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 281px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"SO"}'>SO</td>
<td style="width: 465px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":27850000}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0",1]'>27,850,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 281px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Number of constituents"}'>Number of constituents</td>
<td style="width: 465px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":17}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0",1]'>17</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 281px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Weight type"}'>Weight type</td>
<td style="width: 465px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Float-adjusted market cap"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]'><div><div>Float-adjusted market cap</div></div></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 281px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Cap"}'>Cap</td>
<td style="width: 465px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.2}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,3,"0.00%",1]'>20.00%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 281px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Rebalancing cycle"}'>Rebalancing cycle</td>
<td style="width: 465px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Annually"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]'>Annually</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 281px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Rebalancing month"}'><strong>Rebalancing month</strong></td>
<td style="width: 465px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"September"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]'><strong>September</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 281px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Announcement date"}'><strong>Announcement date</strong></td>
<td style="width: 465px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"One week ahead of implementation"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]'><div><div><strong>One week ahead of implementation</strong></div></div></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 281px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Implementation date"}'><strong>Implementation date</strong></td>
<td style="width: 465px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"The first trading day of the week following the last trading day for KOSPI 200 futures contracts"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]'><div><div><strong>The first trading day of the week following the last trading day for KOSPI 200 futures contracts</strong></div></div></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 281px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Next implementation date"}'><strong>Next implementation date</strong></td>
<td style="width: 465px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"September 10, 2021"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]'><div><div><strong>September 10, 2021</strong></div></div></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 281px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Rebalancing trading"}'><strong>Rebalancing trading</strong></td>
<td style="width: 465px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"At the close on September 9, 2021"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]'><div><div><strong>At the close on September 9, 2021</strong></div></div></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 281px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Screening base date"}'>Screening base date</td>
<td style="width: 465px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"The last trading day of the month preceding the date of regular rebalancing"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]'><div><div>The last trading day of the month preceding the date of regular rebalancing</div></div></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 281px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Screening period"}'>Screening period</td>
<td style="width: 465px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"The three months preceding the screening base date"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]'><div><div>The three months preceding the screening base date</div></div></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2" style="width: 746px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: KRX &amp; KODEX ETF"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B"]' data-sheets-formula="=PDF!R[-1]C[0]">Source: KRX &amp; KODEX ETF</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>

Myungshin Industries is running again. Myungshin Industrial is considered a Tesla-related stock because Tesla is a major customer. As Tesla recently announced surprise earnings, the stock price of Myungshin Industrial is also moving up.In the past five trading days alone, the share price has risen more than 8%. Its current market cap has exceeded 1.7 trillion won.So this stock appears to offer some opportunities from an index rebalancing trading perspective as well.The first thing to consider is the inclusion of the KOSPI 200. In the rebalancing of last June, the stock price did not meet the market cap threshold due to the share price being drifted sideways for several months. However, in this December's rebalancing, if the current share price uptrend continues, the possibility of inclusion seems quite high.However, we can find trading opportunities in the KRX Autos sector index rebalancing, which takes place ahead of the KOSPI 200 rebalancing in December.As for KRX Autos, KODEX currently manages an ETF that tracks it, and it has recently been showing good returns, resulting in a large inflow of funds. The AUM now amounts to ₩649.0B, which isn't bad for an index containing only 17 constituents.This is a float-adjusted market cap-weighted index with a 20% cap. Rebalancing takes place annually in September. The implementation date is the first trading day of the week following the last trading day for KOSPI 200 futures contracts. So, September 10 will be the implementation date for this year, meaning that we will see rebalancing trading at the close on September 9.





Index summary

Index name
KRX Autos


ETF
Samsung Kodex Autos ETF


Ticker
091180


AUM
₩649.0B


Price
₩23,305


SO
27,850,000


Number of constituents
17


Weight type
Float-adjusted market cap


Cap
20.00%


Rebalancing cycle
Annually


Rebalancing month
September


Announcement date
One week ahead of implementation


Implementation date
The first trading day of the week following the last trading day for KOSPI 200 futures contracts


Next implementation date
September 10, 2021


Rebalancing trading
At the close on September 9, 2021


Screening base date
The last trading day of the month preceding the date of regular rebalancing


Screening period
The three months preceding the screening base date

Source: KRX &amp; KODEX ETF



KRX Autos Rebalancing on September 9: Watch Myoungshin Industrial as a New Add

South Korea

Hanon Systems manufactures a variety of automotive air control equipment.  The Company's products include air conditioners, heaters, cooling modules, compressors, radiators, fans, evaporators, and condensers. Hanon Systems distributes its products on an original equipment manufacturing (OEM) basis.

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Hanon Systems (018880 KS)

KOSPI/KOSDAQ End-March Dividends: 1Q Fiscal Year-Ending, Interim(Quarterly), & REITs

This post offers the latest update on the expected dividends and dividend yields of the three types of end-1Q dividend stocks.

Sanghyun Park

LG Energy's KOSPI 200 Float Is 15%: Weight Adjustment Trading for Other Constituents

KRX has bumped up LG Energy's float to 15%. As a result, we will see a more substantial passive impact on LG Energy. Also, we should see...

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI/KOSDAQ Quarterly Dividend Stocks: DPS & Yield Estimations

This post lists all 71 interim dividend stocks, of which 9 are quarterly dividend stocks. It then estimates DPS and dividend yield of these 9...

Sanghyun Park

Korea M&A Recap in 2021 - A Leapfrog Year

2021 has been a leapfrog year in terms of major M&As in Korea. Some of the largest M&A deals in 2022 could include Hanon Systems, Bodyfriend,...

Douglas Kim

KRX Autos Rebalancing on September 9: Watch Myoungshin Industrial as a New Add

Myungshin Industrial, which is almost certain to be included in the KRX Autos Sector Index rebalancing, will receive an index weight of 2.09%, and...

Sanghyun Park

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