Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

AP Moeller - Maersk A/S / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Overall, June container throughput growth and average container rates strong</li>
<li>But spot rates have begun to wobble recently, and 2025 uncertainty grows</li>
<li>We have decided to close our suggested container shipping pair trade </li>
</ul>


Overall, June container throughput growth and average container rates strong
But spot rates have begun to wobble recently, and 2025 uncertainty grows
We have decided to close our suggested container shipping pair trade 


Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Pricing Still Firm | Spot Rates Fall | Closed Pair (July 2024)

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>TS Lines' comp Wan Hai has reported strong numbers so far in 2024</li>
<li>But TS Lines is unlikely to match Wan Hai's impressive H124 gains</li>
<li>Next for TS Lines: H124 financials and valuation vs Wan Hai, RCL</li>
</ul>


TS Lines' comp Wan Hai has reported strong numbers so far in 2024
But TS Lines is unlikely to match Wan Hai's impressive H124 gains
Next for TS Lines: H124 financials and valuation vs Wan Hai, RCL


TS Lines Pre-IPO: Should We Expect TS Lines to Match Wan Hai's Strength in YTD 2024?

ZIM Integrated Shipping Services / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Deep-Sea container rates surged in May, yielding best read since June 2022</li>
<li>But volume growth into North American WC ports slowed noticeably...</li>
<li>We believe Q224 results will impress, and still like our Long/Short pairs</li>
</ul>


Deep-Sea container rates surged in May, yielding best read since June 2022
But volume growth into North American WC ports slowed noticeably...
We believe Q224 results will impress, and still like our Long/Short pairs


Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Pricing Surged in May | Did Volume Growth Wobble? | (June 2024)

<ul>
<li>Its unclear whether Yemen-based Houthis would end attacks after ceasefire</li>
<li>We've entered peak Summer shipping season from Asia to US, Europe</li>
<li>Higher spot rates have already lifted contract rates in Q2 2024</li>
</ul>


Its unclear whether Yemen-based Houthis would end attacks after ceasefire
We've entered peak Summer shipping season from Asia to US, Europe
Higher spot rates have already lifted contract rates in Q2 2024


Why an Israel-Hamas Ceasefire Probably Wouldn't Lead to Lower Container Rates in Short-Term

<ul>
<li>Our index shows April pricing momentum remained positive in deep-sea trades</li>
<li>Evergreen Marine posted strong revenue and earnings growth in Q124</li>
<li>Container carriers have performed well YTD in 2024; we expect convergence</li>
</ul>


Our index shows April pricing momentum remained positive in deep-sea trades
Evergreen Marine posted strong revenue and earnings growth in Q124
Container carriers have performed well YTD in 2024; we expect convergence


Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Pricing Still Firm | Share Prices Converging | (May 2024)

Germany

Hapag-Lloyd AG operates as a container shipping line company. The Company offers transportation of goods by sea, road, rail, and inland waterway vessels. Hapag-Lloyd serves customers worldwide.

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Hapag-Lloyd AG (HLAG GR)

Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Pricing Still Firm | Spot Rates Fall | Closed Pair (July 2024)

In June, price momentum and volume growth remained firm, but in July we've seen some spot rates dip. Mainly due to share price movements, we have...

Tracking Traffic

TS Lines Pre-IPO: Should We Expect TS Lines to Match Wan Hai's Strength in YTD 2024?

Given changes in its market exposure over the past 12-18 months, investors shouldn't expect TS Lines to match Wan Hai's strong YTD performance in...

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Pricing Surged in May | Did Volume Growth Wobble? | (June 2024)

Deep-sea container shipping price momentum surged in May, even though volumes into the North American West Coast slowed. We think this is a head...

Tracking Traffic

Why an Israel-Hamas Ceasefire Probably Wouldn't Lead to Lower Container Rates in Short-Term

Shares of container shipping companies have dipped in recent weeks, apparently on the expectation that an Israel-Hamas ceasefire could un-do the re...

Tracking Traffic

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Pricing Still Firm | Spot Rates Fall | Closed Pair (July 2024)

In June, price momentum and volume growth remained firm, but in July we've seen some spot rates dip. Mainly due to share price movements, we have...

Tracking Traffic

TS Lines Pre-IPO: Should We Expect TS Lines to Match Wan Hai's Strength in YTD 2024?

Given changes in its market exposure over the past 12-18 months, investors shouldn't expect TS Lines to match Wan Hai's strong YTD performance in...

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Pricing Surged in May | Did Volume Growth Wobble? | (June 2024)

Deep-sea container shipping price momentum surged in May, even though volumes into the North American West Coast slowed. We think this is a head...

Tracking Traffic

Why an Israel-Hamas Ceasefire Probably Wouldn't Lead to Lower Container Rates in Short-Term

Shares of container shipping companies have dipped in recent weeks, apparently on the expectation that an Israel-Hamas ceasefire could un-do the re...

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Pricing Still Firm | Share Prices Converging | (May 2024)

Average deep-sea rates and traffic remained firm in April. The L/S pair trades we suggested back in mid-March? One of them has worked out quite well.

Tracking Traffic