Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

HD Hyundai Marine Solution  / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-marine-solution-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41002:1" rel="noopener">HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS)</a> is looking to raise KRW 742bn (US$540m) in its IPO, valuing the company at KRW 3,707bn (US$2.69bn). Listing is expected to be in early-May.</li>
<li>Competition for the shares has been fierce with institutional investors indicating demand for 201x the number of shares on offer at prices higher than the top end of the range.</li>
<li>Barring a doubling of the stock price, the earliest that the stock will be added to major indices is December 2024. So, no passive buying in the short-term.</li>
</ul>



HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS) is looking to raise KRW 742bn (US$540m) in its IPO, valuing the company at KRW 3,707bn (US$2.69bn). Listing is expected to be in early-May.
Competition for the shares has been fierce with institutional investors indicating demand for 201x the number of shares on offer at prices higher than the top end of the range.
Barring a doubling of the stock price, the earliest that the stock will be added to major indices is December 2024. So, no passive buying in the short-term.


HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS) IPO: No Passive Buying Near-Term

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>On 10 November, it was announced that Ki-Sun Chung was promoted to Vice Chairman which could signal more positive news flow on HD Hyundai in the coming months.</li>
<li>The consensus expects DPS of 4,200 won for HD Hyundai in 2023, which suggests a dividend yield of 7.1%. HD Hyundai has one of the highest dividend yields in KOSPI200.</li>
<li>According to our NAV analysis, it suggests a base case valuation of 71,970 won per share for HD Hyundai, representing a 22% upside from current levels.</li>
</ul>


On 10 November, it was announced that Ki-Sun Chung was promoted to Vice Chairman which could signal more positive news flow on HD Hyundai in the coming months.
The consensus expects DPS of 4,200 won for HD Hyundai in 2023, which suggests a dividend yield of 7.1%. HD Hyundai has one of the highest dividend yields in KOSPI200.
According to our NAV analysis, it suggests a base case valuation of 71,970 won per share for HD Hyundai, representing a 22% upside from current levels.


Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>HD Hyundai Global Service is getting ready to complete its IPO in 2024.</li>
<li>The local media currently estimates the value of HD Hyundai Global Service to be about 2 trillion won to 3 trillion won.</li>
<li>According to our NAV analysis, it suggests a base case valuation of 75,260 won per share for HD Hyundai, representing a 22% upside from current levels.</li>
</ul>


HD Hyundai Global Service is getting ready to complete its IPO in 2024.
The local media currently estimates the value of HD Hyundai Global Service to be about 2 trillion won to 3 trillion won.
According to our NAV analysis, it suggests a base case valuation of 75,260 won per share for HD Hyundai, representing a 22% upside from current levels.


Initial Thoughts on the HD Hyundai Global Service IPO in 2024 - Impact on HD Hyundai

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Hollysys Automation Technologies / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/j-t-global-express-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36819:1" rel="noopener">J&amp;T Global Express (1519 HK)</a> lock-ups. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-marine-solution-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41002:1" rel="noopener">HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zeekr-intelligent-technology-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36785:1" rel="noopener">ZEEKR (ZK US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-baicha-baidao-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40029:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (2555 HK)</a> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinko-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15066:1" rel="noopener">Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/inageya-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13994:1" rel="noopener">Inageya Co Ltd (8182 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-lung-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:49:1" rel="noopener">Hang Lung Properties (101 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tietto-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28006:1" rel="noopener">Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments: Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) and J&amp;T Global Express (1519 HK) lock-ups. HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS), ZEEKR (ZK US) and Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (2555 HK) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments: Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US), Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP), Inageya Co Ltd (8182 JP), Hang Lung Properties (101 HK), Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU). 


Weekly Deals Digest (21 Apr) - Hollysys, Shinko, Inageya, Hang Lung, Kokusai, HD Hyundai Marine

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/j-t-global-express-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36819:1" rel="noopener">J&amp;T Global Express (1519 HK)</a> lock-ups. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-marine-solution-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41002:1" rel="noopener">HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zeekr-intelligent-technology-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36785:1" rel="noopener">ZEEKR (ZK US)</a>and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-baicha-baidao-industrial" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40029:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (SCBCBDID CH)</a> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-occitane-international-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6772:1" rel="noopener">L'Occitane (973 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cgn-new-energy-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4295:1" rel="noopener">CGN New Energy Holdings (1811 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/azure-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16538:1" rel="noopener">Azure Minerals (AZS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genex-power-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29079:1" rel="noopener">Genex Power Ltd (GNX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/riso-kyoiku-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20848:1" rel="noopener">Riso Kyoiku (4714 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chilled-frozen-logistics-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40987:1" rel="noopener">Chilled &amp; Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments: Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) and J&amp;T Global Express (1519 HK) lock-ups. HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS), ZEEKR (ZK US)and Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (SCBCBDID CH) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments L'Occitane (973 HK), CGN New Energy Holdings (1811 HK), Azure Minerals (AZS AU), Genex Power Ltd (GNX AU), Riso Kyoiku (4714 JP), Chilled &amp; Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP). 


Weekly Deals Digest (14 Apr) - L'Occitane, CGN New Energy, Azure, Genex, C&F Logistics, Riso Kyoiku

South Korea

HD Hyundai Co.,Ltd. operates as a oil refining company. The Company provides crude oil refining, petroleum refinery, and other related products. HD Hyundai markets its products worldwide.

HD Hyundai (267250 KS)

HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS) IPO: No Passive Buying Near-Term

Huge indicative demand and underallocation could lead to a pop on listing. With no passive buying near-term, investors could pare back IPO...

Brian Freitas

Asian Dividend Gems: HD Hyundai

Ki-Sun Chung was promoted to Vice Chairman of HD Hyundai, potentially leading to positive news flow. Consensus expects high dividend yield (7.1%)...

Douglas Kim

Initial Thoughts on the HD Hyundai Global Service IPO in 2024 - Impact on HD Hyundai

HD Hyundai Global Service is getting ready to complete its IPO in 2024. The local media currently estimates the value of HD Hyundai Global Service...

Douglas Kim

Weekly Deals Digest (21 Apr) - Hollysys, Shinko, Inageya, Hang Lung, Kokusai, HD Hyundai Marine

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Hollysys, CF Logistics, Shinko, Inageya, Hang Lung Properties, Tietto ) and ECM (Kokusai,...

Arun George

Weekly Deals Digest (14 Apr) - L'Occitane, CGN New Energy, Azure, Genex, C&F Logistics, Riso Kyoiku

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (L'Occitane, CGN, Azure, Genex, C&F Logistics, Riso Kyoiku, Roland DG) and ECM (Kokusai,...

Arun George

HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS) IPO: No Passive Buying Near-Term

Huge indicative demand and underallocation could lead to a pop on listing. With no passive buying near-term, investors could pare back IPO...

Brian Freitas

Asian Dividend Gems: HD Hyundai

​Ki-Sun Chung was promoted to Vice Chairman of HD Hyundai, potentially leading to positive news flow. Consensus expects high dividend yield (7.1%)...

Douglas Kim

Initial Thoughts on the HD Hyundai Global Service IPO in 2024 - Impact on HD Hyundai

HD Hyundai Global Service is getting ready to complete its IPO in 2024. The local media currently estimates the value of HD Hyundai Global Service...

Douglas Kim

Weekly Deals Digest (21 Apr) - Hollysys, Shinko, Inageya, Hang Lung, Kokusai, HD Hyundai Marine

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Hollysys, CF Logistics, Shinko, Inageya, Hang Lung Properties, Tietto ) and ECM (Kokusai,...

Arun George

Weekly Deals Digest (14 Apr) - L'Occitane, CGN New Energy, Azure, Genex, C&F Logistics, Riso Kyoiku

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (L'Occitane, CGN, Azure, Genex, C&F Logistics, Riso Kyoiku, Roland DG) and ECM (Kokusai,...

Arun George

Ki-Sun Chung was promoted to Vice Chairman of HD Hyundai, potentially leading to positive news flow. Consensus expects high dividend yield (7.1%)...