Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>My base case NAV valuation of HD Hyundai is market cap of 30 trillion won or target price of 380,300 won per share which represents 27.4% higher than current price.</li>
<li>HD Hyundai reported sales of 19.6 trillion won (up 14.7% YoY and 4.5% higher than consensus) and OP of 2.8 trillion won (up 120.4% YoY and 57.2% higher than consensus). </li>
<li>Post the company's record breaking results, I expect the consensus to increase earnings estimates in 2026 and 2027 by 10%-20%+.</li>
</ul>


My base case NAV valuation of HD Hyundai is market cap of 30 trillion won or target price of 380,300 won per share which represents 27.4% higher than current price.
HD Hyundai reported sales of 19.6 trillion won (up 14.7% YoY and 4.5% higher than consensus) and OP of 2.8 trillion won (up 120.4% YoY and 57.2% higher than consensus). 
Post the company's record breaking results, I expect the consensus to increase earnings estimates in 2026 and 2027 by 10%-20%+.


HD Hyundai: Updated NAV Analysis and Record Results in 1Q 2026

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>There are some major surprises (both inclusions and exclusions) in the Korea Value Up index. </li>
<li>In particular, the telecom sector (SK Telecom and KT) and large cap holding companies (Samsung C&amp;T and LG Corp) are surprising exclusions in the index.</li>
<li>There are many surprising inclusions in the Korea Value Up Index. We provide 30 companies are surprising inclusions in the Korea Value Up Index (19 KOSDAQ and 11 KOSPI listed).</li>
</ul>


There are some major surprises (both inclusions and exclusions) in the Korea Value Up index. 
In particular, the telecom sector (SK Telecom and KT) and large cap holding companies (Samsung C&amp;T and LG Corp) are surprising exclusions in the index.
There are many surprising inclusions in the Korea Value Up Index. We provide 30 companies are surprising inclusions in the Korea Value Up Index (19 KOSDAQ and 11 KOSPI listed).


Korea Value Up Index - Surprising Inclusions and Exclusions

<ul>
<li>Korea Value-Up index is finally expected to be launched in September 2024 which is likely to include at least 100 companies in KOSPI and KOSDAQ.</li>
<li>There are expectations that Korea's Value Up index could resemble JPX Prime 150 index which is a Japanese version of the value up index launched last year.</li>
<li>We provide 70 stocks in Korea that could be included in the Korea Value Up index. These 70 stocks could outperform the market in the next several months.</li>
</ul>


Korea Value-Up index is finally expected to be launched in September 2024 which is likely to include at least 100 companies in KOSPI and KOSDAQ.
There are expectations that Korea's Value Up index could resemble JPX Prime 150 index which is a Japanese version of the value up index launched last year.
We provide 70 stocks in Korea that could be included in the Korea Value Up index. These 70 stocks could outperform the market in the next several months.


Launch of Korea Value Up Index in September

<ul>
<li>On 10 November, it was announced that Ki-Sun Chung was promoted to Vice Chairman which could signal more positive news flow on HD Hyundai in the coming months.</li>
<li>The consensus expects DPS of 4,200 won for HD Hyundai in 2023, which suggests a dividend yield of 7.1%. HD Hyundai has one of the highest dividend yields in KOSPI200.</li>
<li>According to our NAV analysis, it suggests a base case valuation of 71,970 won per share for HD Hyundai, representing a 22% upside from current levels.</li>
</ul>


On 10 November, it was announced that Ki-Sun Chung was promoted to Vice Chairman which could signal more positive news flow on HD Hyundai in the coming months.
The consensus expects DPS of 4,200 won for HD Hyundai in 2023, which suggests a dividend yield of 7.1%. HD Hyundai has one of the highest dividend yields in KOSPI200.
According to our NAV analysis, it suggests a base case valuation of 71,970 won per share for HD Hyundai, representing a 22% upside from current levels.


Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, DZT Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-South Korea in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on ECOPRO, HD HYUNDAI, SK, SKSQUARE, SK Innovation, SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-South Korea in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on ECOPRO, HD HYUNDAI, SK, SKSQUARE, SK Innovation, SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics.


MS-South Korea Index Earning Revision (May): ECOPRO, HD HYUNDAI, SK, SKSQUARE, SK Innovation

South Korea

HD Hyundai Co.,Ltd. operates as a oil refining company. The Company provides crude oil refining, petroleum refinery, and other related products. HD Hyundai markets its products worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

HD Hyundai (267250 KS)

HD Hyundai: Updated NAV Analysis and Record Results in 1Q 2026

My base case NAV valuation of HD Hyundai is market cap of 30 trillion won or target price of 380,300 won per share which represents 27.4% higher...

Douglas Kim

Korea Value Up Index - Surprising Inclusions and Exclusions

There are many surprising inclusions and exclusions in the Korea Value Up Index. We provide 30 companies that are surprising inclusions and 10...

Douglas Kim

Launch of Korea Value Up Index in September

Korea Value-Up index is finally expected to be launched in September 2024 which is likely to include at least 100 companies in KOSPI and KOSDAQ.

Douglas Kim

Asian Dividend Gems: HD Hyundai

FTC decided to conditionally approve the acquisition of STX Heavy Industries by HD Korea Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering. With this business...

Douglas Kim

MS-South Korea Index Earning Revision (May): ECOPRO, HD HYUNDAI, SK, SKSQUARE, SK Innovation

We analyzed MS-South Korea's consensus for May 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in ECOPRO, HD HYUNDAI, SK, SKSQUARE, SK Innovation, SK Hynix,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)