Founder Evidente. Top rated quantitative analyst, Evidente

Sam Ferraro

Founder Evidente. Top rated quantitative analyst

Evidente

Evidente is an independent financial education firm that delivers innovative financial advice to wholesale investors, including active long only funds, hedge funds, pension funds, and sovereign wealth funds, in Australia and globally.  Drawing on academic research in asset pricing, behavioural finance and portfolio construction, Evidente provides wholesale investors with commercial solutions to stock selection and asset allocation decisions across equities and other asset classes.

Macroeconomics

<p>The Government's release&nbsp;of Re:think,&nbsp;its tax discussion paper, is a welcome development, designed to kick-start the conversation with the community on a range of reform options designed to&nbsp;achieve a simpler&nbsp;and&nbsp;streamlined&nbsp;tax system&nbsp;capable of meeting the growing needs of an ageing population.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;I discuss some of the areas raised in Re:think which are of greatest interest to equity investors: how important income and consumption taxes are to Australia's tax take in a global context,&nbsp;the prospect of the growing drag from bracket creep on household disposable incomes (discretionary retailers), the outlook for the GST (supermarket&nbsp;retailers),&nbsp;the efficacy and viability of the dividend imputation system (high yielders with predominantly domestically oriented operations), the sustainability of the concessional tax treatment of superannuation (asset managers), and the risk associated with companies that have low effective tax rates.</p>

The Government's release&nbsp;of Re:think,&nbsp;its tax discussion paper, is a welcome development, designed to kick-start the conversation with the community on a range of reform options designed to&nbsp;achieve a simpler&nbsp;and&nbsp;streamlined&nbsp;tax system&nbsp;capable of meeting the growing needs of an ageing population.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;I discuss some of the areas raised in Re:think which are of greatest interest to equity investors: how important income and consumption taxes are to Australia's tax take in a global context,&nbsp;the prospect of the growing drag from bracket creep on household disposable incomes (discretionary retailers), the outlook for the GST (supermarket&nbsp;retailers),&nbsp;the efficacy and viability of the dividend imputation system (high yielders with predominantly domestically oriented operations), the sustainability of the concessional tax treatment of superannuation (asset managers), and the risk associated with companies that have low effective tax rates.

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Feb 20th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD35.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Zip, JB Hi-Fi, Goodman, CSL, Pro Medicus.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Feb 20th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD35.0bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Zip, JB Hi-Fi, Goodman, CSL, Pro Medicus.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 20th): Zip, JB Hi-Fi, Goodman, CSL, Pro Medicus

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Earlier this year, Genesis Capital secured ~89..27% in <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pacific-smiles-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2891:1" rel="noopener">Pacific Smiles (PSQ AU)</a></strong>, an operator of dental centers, via a A$1.90/share tendering Offer. Co-founder Alison Hughes resolutely maintained her 10.01% stake.</li>
<li>PSQ has now announced Genesis has returned to the well with a A$2.20/share unconditional Offer. </li>
<li>That's a solid 37.5% premium to last close. And within the IE's revised fair value range of A$2.13-A$2.56/share, who declared terms fair and reasonable. </li>
</ul>


Earlier this year, Genesis Capital secured ~89..27% in Pacific Smiles (PSQ AU), an operator of dental centers, via a A$1.90/share tendering Offer. Co-founder Alison Hughes resolutely maintained her 10.01% stake.
PSQ has now announced Genesis has returned to the well with a A$2.20/share unconditional Offer. 
That's a solid 37.5% premium to last close. And within the IE's revised fair value range of A$2.13-A$2.56/share, who declared terms fair and reasonable. 


Pacific Smiles (PSQ AU): Genesis Returns To Dislodge Co-Founder

Financial News, Analysis and Data, FNArena

FNArena

Financial News, Analysis and Data

Online financial media company focused on Australian equities, with a global perspective

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Extra Edition of the Broker Call Report</li></ul>

Australian Broker Call *Extra* Edition - Jul 07, 2025

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There is 1 change for the S&amp;P/ASX20 Index, 1 change for the S&amp;P/ASX50 Index, 2 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX100 Index and 2 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>.</li>
<li>There is between A$30m-A$135m to trade in the index changes and that is between 0.7-16 days of ADV in the stocks. Short interest has jumped in a few stocks.</li>
<li>We expect positioning to be lower than the passive trading in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nick-scali-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20803:1" rel="noopener">Nick Scali</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/viva-energy-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27220:1" rel="noopener">Viva Energy Group</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/perseus-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15306:1" rel="noopener">Perseus Mining</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/austal-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14420:1" rel="noopener">Austal Ltd</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius</a>.</li>
</ul>


There is 1 change for the S&amp;P/ASX20 Index, 1 change for the S&amp;P/ASX50 Index, 2 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX100 Index and 2 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX).
There is between A$30m-A$135m to trade in the index changes and that is between 0.7-16 days of ADV in the stocks. Short interest has jumped in a few stocks.
We expect positioning to be lower than the passive trading in Nick Scali, Viva Energy Group, Perseus Mining, Austal Ltd and Healius.


S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (June 2025): Changes, Flows, Shorts & Positioning

Australia

Healius Limited provides health care services. The Company offers diagnostic imaging, pathology, acute and chronic disease treatment, dental and eye care, and in vitro fertilisation services. Healius serves patients in Australia.

Price Gauge
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Healius (HLS AU)

Taxing Times For Australia

The Government's release of Re:think, its tax discussion paper, is a welcome development, designed to kick-start the conversation with the...

Sam Ferraro

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 20th): Zip, JB Hi-Fi, Goodman, CSL, Pro Medicus

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Zip, JB Hi-Fi, Goodman, CSL, Pro Medicus.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Pacific Smiles (PSQ AU): Genesis Returns To Dislodge Co-Founder

The Offer is unconditional. This will trade to terms. If not marginally through. For those shareholders who held on after the last offer, here is...

David Blennerhassett

Australian Broker Call Extra Edition - Jul 07, 2025

Extra Edition of the Broker Call Report

FNArena

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance (June 2025): Changes, Flows, Shorts & Positioning

There are 12 changes across the ASX family. Flows are big in some stocks and short interest has spiked in a few stocks. Adds have outperformed the...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Taxing Times For Australia

The Government's release of Re:think, its tax discussion paper, is a welcome development, designed to kick-start the conversation with the...

Sam Ferraro

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 20th): Zip, JB Hi-Fi, Goodman, CSL, Pro Medicus

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Zip, JB Hi-Fi, Goodman, CSL, Pro Medicus.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Pacific Smiles (PSQ AU): Genesis Returns To Dislodge Co-Founder

The Offer is unconditional. This will trade to terms. If not marginally through. For those shareholders who held on after the last offer, here is...

David Blennerhassett

Australian Broker Call *Extra* Edition - Jul 07, 2025

Extra Edition of the Broker Call Report

FNArena

S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (June 2025): Changes, Flows, Shorts & Positioning

There are 12 changes across the ASX family. Flows are big in some stocks and short interest has spiked in a few stocks. Adds have outperformed the...

Brian Freitas

Australian Broker Call Extra Edition - Jul 07, 2025

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance (June 2025): Changes, Flows, Shorts & Positioning