Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://archive.is/b5mG6" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Reportedly</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/australian-clinical-labs-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36020:1" rel="noopener">Australian Clinical Labs (ACL AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a> may reload a merger. </li>
<li>The 2023 merger of the second and third-largest pathology plays was blocked by the ACCC. Any follow-up merger will similarly be blocked unless the combined entity jettisons certain ops.  </li>
<li>Since the collapse of the merger, Healius has sold its diagnostic business; Crescent Capital has exited ACL; and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capitol-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14504:1" rel="noopener">Capitol Health (CAJ AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/integral-diagnostics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24306:1" rel="noopener">Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU)</a> merged.</li>
</ul>



Reportedly, Australian Clinical Labs (ACL AU) and Healius (HLS AU) may reload a merger. 
The 2023 merger of the second and third-largest pathology plays was blocked by the ACCC. Any follow-up merger will similarly be blocked unless the combined entity jettisons certain ops.  
Since the collapse of the merger, Healius has sold its diagnostic business; Crescent Capital has exited ACL; and Capitol Health (CAJ AU) and Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU) merged.


Australian Clinical Labs (ACL AU) / Healius (HLS AU): Round 2?

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of May 9th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD25.7bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Santos, Origin Energy, Jb Hi-Fi, Northern Star Resources, Transurban, Asx.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of May 9th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD25.7bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Santos, Origin Energy, Jb Hi-Fi, Northern Star Resources, Transurban, Asx.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (May 9th): Santos, Origin Energy, Jb Hi-Fi, Northern Star Resources

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Hansoh Pharmaceutical announced that a new indication of Xinyue has been included in the Priority Review. Astellas Pharma announced positive update from the Phase 3 EV-302 clinical trial.</li>
<li>CSL has received EU approval for HAE drug, Andemry. Imugene announce more positive results from its Phase 1b trial of azer-cel, an allogenic therapy in relapsed/refractory diffuse large B-cell lymphoma.</li>
<li>LigaChem Bio signed technology transfer agreement for a new anticancer target antibody for the development of ADC candidates with Daan Biotherapeutics. Lupin received FDA approval for generic Atrovent Nasal Spray.</li>
</ul>


Hansoh Pharmaceutical announced that a new indication of Xinyue has been included in the Priority Review. Astellas Pharma announced positive update from the Phase 3 EV-302 clinical trial.
CSL has received EU approval for HAE drug, Andemry. Imugene announce more positive results from its Phase 1b trial of azer-cel, an allogenic therapy in relapsed/refractory diffuse large B-cell lymphoma.
LigaChem Bio signed technology transfer agreement for a new anticancer target antibody for the development of ADC candidates with Daan Biotherapeutics. Lupin received FDA approval for generic Atrovent Nasal Spray.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (Feb 16)- Hansoh Pharma, Astellas Pharma, CSL, Imugene, LigaChem Bio, Lupin

<ul>
<li>Reportedly buyout firms are "vying for" <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trend-micro-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13172:1" rel="noopener">Trend Micro Inc (4704 JP)</a>. The stock went limit up today. Again. The stock is now getting to the expensive side.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/furukawa-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19521:1" rel="noopener">Furukawa (5715 JP)</a> has changed their capital allocation policy for the third time. The company is a cyclical, and will likely always suffer the indignity of a cyclical multiple.</li>
<li>While it often pays to follows where the family invests when assessing holdco structures, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/melco-international-development-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:809:1" rel="noopener">Melco International (200 HK)</a>'s NAV discount is simply too narrow for a simple holding company structure.</li>
</ul>


Reportedly buyout firms are "vying for" Trend Micro Inc (4704 JP). The stock went limit up today. Again. The stock is now getting to the expensive side.

Furukawa (5715 JP) has changed their capital allocation policy for the third time. The company is a cyclical, and will likely always suffer the indignity of a cyclical multiple.
While it often pays to follows where the family invests when assessing holdco structures, Melco International (200 HK)'s NAV discount is simply too narrow for a simple holding company structure.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Trend Micro, Furukawa, Melco, Ingenia/Lifestyle

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capitol-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14504:1" rel="noopener">Capitol Health (CAJ AU)</a> IE considers <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/integral-diagnostics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24306:1" rel="noopener">Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU)</a>’s merger proposal (0.12849 Integral shares per Capitol share) fair and reasonable. </li>
<li>While ACCC informal clearance is an overhang, the evidence suggests that clearance should be secured. The shareholder vote risk is low.</li>
<li>The offer terms are attractive. At the last close and for the 14 November payment, the gross/annualised spread is 4.7%/37.3%.  </li>
</ul>


The Capitol Health (CAJ AU) IE considers Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU)’s merger proposal (0.12849 Integral shares per Capitol share) fair and reasonable. 
While ACCC informal clearance is an overhang, the evidence suggests that clearance should be secured. The shareholder vote risk is low.
The offer terms are attractive. At the last close and for the 14 November payment, the gross/annualised spread is 4.7%/37.3%.  


Capitol Health (CAJ AU): ACCC Overhang as Scheme Meeting Set for 31 October

Australia

Healius Limited provides health care services. The Company offers diagnostic imaging, pathology, acute and chronic disease treatment, dental and eye care, and in vitro fertilisation services. Healius serves patients in Australia.

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Healius (HLS AU)

Australian Clinical Labs (ACL AU) / Healius (HLS AU): Round 2?

After heady days during Covid, demand has tapered, but higher operating costs remain. Consolidation makes sense. Healius is trading below it pre...

David Blennerhassett

ASX Short Interest Weekly (May 9th): Santos, Origin Energy, Jb Hi-Fi, Northern Star Resources

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Santos, Origin Energy, Jb Hi-Fi, Northern Star...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Feb 16)- Hansoh Pharma, Astellas Pharma, CSL, Imugene, LigaChem Bio, Lupin

APAC healthcare companies continued to get approvals for new products and initiates clinical trials. The companies continued with acquisitions and...

Tina Banerjee

Last Week in Event SPACE: Trend Micro, Furukawa, Melco, Ingenia/Lifestyle

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Capitol Health (CAJ AU): ACCC Overhang as Scheme Meeting Set for 31 October

The merger update notes that Integral has proposed to divest a Capitol clinic in Melton, Victoria, to secure ACCC approval. The ACCC provisional...

Arun George

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