Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 3 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> that will be implemented at the close on 15 December. One name is a relative surprise.</li>
<li>There will be 8-15 days of ADV to buy on the inclusions and there will be 12-18 days of ADV to sell on the deletions.</li>
<li>Cumulative excess volume and changes in short interest indicate there will be positioning in most stocks. But it may not yet be enough to cover the passive trade.</li>
</ul>


There are 3 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) that will be implemented at the close on 15 December. One name is a relative surprise.
There will be 8-15 days of ADV to buy on the inclusions and there will be 12-18 days of ADV to sell on the deletions.
Cumulative excess volume and changes in short interest indicate there will be positioning in most stocks. But it may not yet be enough to cover the passive trade.


S&P/​​​​ASX 200 Index Rebalance (Dec 2023): There Is Positioning but Probably Not Enough

<ul>
<li>There could be 3 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> in December. There are unlikely to be any changes for indices higher up the hierarchy.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy between 7-11 days of ADV in the inclusions while the impact on the deletions will be larger at between 11-23 days of ADV.</li>
<li>Short interest has decreased on the potential inclusions and increased on the potential deletions. There is significant pre-positioning on some of the stocks.</li>
</ul>


There could be 3 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) in December. There are unlikely to be any changes for indices higher up the hierarchy.
Passive trackers will need to buy between 7-11 days of ADV in the inclusions while the impact on the deletions will be larger at between 11-23 days of ADV.
Short interest has decreased on the potential inclusions and increased on the potential deletions. There is significant pre-positioning on some of the stocks.


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Big Impact; A Week From Announcement

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jan 5th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Aristocrat Leisu, Whitehaven Coal.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jan 5th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.5bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Aristocrat Leisu, Whitehaven Coal.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 5th): Aristocrat Leisu, Whitehaven Coal

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Dec 15th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD20.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in BHP, Rio Tinto, Macquarie, Wisetech Global, Fortescue, Westpac, ANZ, Qantas Airways.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Dec 15th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD20.1bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in BHP, Rio Tinto, Macquarie, Wisetech Global, Fortescue, Westpac, ANZ, Qantas Airways.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 15th): BHP, Rio Tinto, Macquarie, Wisetech Global, Fortescue, Westpac

<ul>
<li>There were a lot of rebalance implementations in China on Friday, plus a few upcoming index changes that were announced during the week.</li>
<li>There are a lot of implementations this week, with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150</a> on Thursday and then others across a bunch of countries on Friday.</li>
<li>There were big inflows to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK)</a> during the week taking units outstanding to a new high. ETF inflows continue even as the market drops.</li>
</ul>


There were a lot of rebalance implementations in China on Friday, plus a few upcoming index changes that were announced during the week.
There are a lot of implementations this week, with KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 on Thursday and then others across a bunch of countries on Friday.
There were big inflows to Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK) during the week taking units outstanding to a new high. ETF inflows continue even as the market drops.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, TW Div+, ASX200, NZX50, Mom30, Top10EW, MVW, Rakuten Bank

Australia

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Helia Group (HLI AU)

S&P/ASX 200 Index Rebalance (Dec 2023): There Is Positioning but Probably Not Enough

As expected, 3 changes for the ASX200 in Dec. But one add is a relative 'surprise'. There is a lot to trade from passives. But there is positioning...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Big Impact; A Week From Announcement

There could be 3 changes for the ASX200 in December. Impact on the adds/deletes varies from 7-23x ADV. Shorts have increased on the potential...

Brian Freitas

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 5th): Aristocrat Leisu, Whitehaven Coal

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Aristocrat Leisu, Whitehaven Coal.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 15th): BHP, Rio Tinto, Macquarie, Wisetech Global, Fortescue, Westpac

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in BHP, Rio Tinto, Macquarie, Wisetech Global,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, TW Div+, ASX200, NZX50, Mom30, Top10EW, MVW, Rakuten Bank

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

S&P/​​​​ASX 200 Index Rebalance (Dec 2023): There Is Positioning but Probably Not Enough

As expected, 3 changes for the ASX200 in Dec. But one add is a relative 'surprise'. There is a lot to trade from passives. But there is positioning...

Brian Freitas

S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Big Impact; A Week From Announcement

There could be 3 changes for the ASX200 in December. Impact on the adds/deletes varies from 7-23x ADV. Shorts have increased on the potential...

Brian Freitas

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 5th): Aristocrat Leisu, Whitehaven Coal

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Aristocrat Leisu, Whitehaven Coal.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 15th): BHP, Rio Tinto, Macquarie, Wisetech Global, Fortescue, Westpac

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in BHP, Rio Tinto, Macquarie, Wisetech Global,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, TW Div+, ASX200, NZX50, Mom30, Top10EW, MVW, Rakuten Bank

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX 200 Index Rebalance (Dec 2023): There Is Positioning but Probably Not Enough

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Big Impact; A Week From Announcement