Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Sree Capital

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Fundamental Research on Listed Indian Companies

Sree Capital

Sree Capital is a platform to share fundamental research on listed Indian companies. We do this research for our own investment

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>December is typically a seasonally weak month for two-wheeler companies in the domestic market due to the impact of the upcoming year change and the period following peak festive demand.</li>
<li>Domestic sales volume declined for Hero and Bajaj, while TVS recorded flat sales. Eicher was an exception, reporting strong growth.</li>
<li>All the companies witnessed a steady growth in export volumes.</li>
</ul>


December is typically a seasonally weak month for two-wheeler companies in the domestic market due to the impact of the upcoming year change and the period following peak festive demand.
Domestic sales volume declined for Hero and Bajaj, while TVS recorded flat sales. Eicher was an exception, reporting strong growth.
All the companies witnessed a steady growth in export volumes.


Monthly Sales Overview of Indian Listed Two-Wheeler Companies (December 2024)

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jio-financial-services-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40042:1" rel="noopener">Jio Financial Services (JIOFIN IN)</a> should replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-petroleum-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10222:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Petroleum Corp (BPCL IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/britannia-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16495:1" rel="noopener">Britannia Industries (BRIT IN)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> in March.</li>
<li>Passive <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> trackers will need to trade at least 4.5x ADV and 8.8x delivery volume on the stocks. There is some opposite flow from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index </a>trackers.</li>
<li>There does not appear to be a lot of positioning in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jio-financial-services-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40042:1" rel="noopener">Jio Financial Services (JIOFIN IN)</a> and the stock could outperform its peers over the next few months.</li>
</ul>



Zomato (ZOMATO IN) and Jio Financial Services (JIOFIN IN) should replace Bharat Petroleum Corp (BPCL IN) and Britannia Industries (BRIT IN) in the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) in March.
Passive NIFTY Index trackers will need to trade at least 4.5x ADV and 8.8x delivery volume on the stocks. There is some opposite flow from Nifty Next 50 Index trackers.
There does not appear to be a lot of positioning in Jio Financial Services (JIOFIN IN) and the stock could outperform its peers over the next few months.


NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Yuuge Flow & Impact; Positioning Mixed

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Dec’24 Wholesale Volumes: Domestic PV sales grew by 15-17% YoY (down 7% MoM), largely due to strong domestic volumes from Maruti, Toyota, M&amp;M, and MG.</li><li>The domestic CV industry sales grew by 4%/13% YoY/MoM. The 3W domestic wholesales for Bajaj and M&amp;M grew by 5% and 8% YoY, respectively, while TVS degrew by 18% YoY.</li><li>The domestic tractor industry (proxy) witnessed 16% volume growth on a YoY basis.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Dec’24 Wholesale Volumes: Domestic PV sales grew by 15-17% YoY (down 7% MoM), largely due to strong domestic volumes from Maruti, Toyota, M&amp;M, and MG.The domestic CV industry sales grew by 4%/13% YoY/MoM. The 3W domestic wholesales for Bajaj and M&amp;M grew by 5% and 8% YoY, respectively, while TVS degrew by 18% YoY.The domestic tractor industry (proxy) witnessed 16% volume growth on a YoY basis.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto Monthly Sales Volume - December 2024

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cochin-shipyard-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24261:1" rel="noopener">Cochin Shipyard Ltd (COCHIN IN)</a>  has secured a Rs. 450 crore order to build tugboats for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-ports-special-economic-zone-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:246:1" rel="noopener">Adani Ports &amp; Special Economic Zone (ADSEZ IN)</a> , signalling growth in India's shipbuilding industry.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dixon-technologies-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25486:1" rel="noopener">Dixon Technologies India Ltd (DIXON IN)</a>  is expanding beyond electronics manufacturing by entering the refrigerator market through a partnership with Cellecor Gadgets.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/va-tech-wabag-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9096:1" rel="noopener">VA Tech Wabag (VATW IN)</a>  is making waves with a Rs. 700 crore wastewater treatment project in Zambia, highlighting its commitment to sustainable solutions and expansion across the African market.</li>
</ul>



Cochin Shipyard Ltd (COCHIN IN)  has secured a Rs. 450 crore order to build tugboats for Adani Ports &amp; Special Economic Zone (ADSEZ IN) , signalling growth in India's shipbuilding industry.

Dixon Technologies India Ltd (DIXON IN)  is expanding beyond electronics manufacturing by entering the refrigerator market through a partnership with Cellecor Gadgets.

VA Tech Wabag (VATW IN)  is making waves with a Rs. 700 crore wastewater treatment project in Zambia, highlighting its commitment to sustainable solutions and expansion across the African market.


#76 India Insight: Cochin’s ₹450 Cr Tug Order, Dixon's Refrigerator Play, Wabag's African Expansion

<ul>
<li>There are 19 changes a side for the Nifty200 Momentum30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December. All names are exactly in line with our forecast.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 64.9% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 72.7bn (US$857m). There are 18 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The adds have continued to outperform the deletes even after the end of the review period. There could be further upside heading into year-end and implementation of the changes.</li>
</ul>


There are 19 changes a side for the Nifty200 Momentum30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December. All names are exactly in line with our forecast.
Estimated one-way turnover is 64.9% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 72.7bn (US$857m). There are 18 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.
The adds have continued to outperform the deletes even after the end of the review period. There could be further upside heading into year-end and implementation of the changes.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 38 Changes; 65% Turnover; US$1.7bn Trade

India

Hero MotoCorp Ltd. designs, manufactures and distributes motorcycles. The Company's products also include motorcycle parts and accessories.

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Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN)

Monthly Sales Overview of Indian Listed Two-Wheeler Companies (December 2024)

December saw mixed results for two-wheeler companies in the domestic market, with Eicher being the exception with strong growth. Export volumes...

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Yuuge Flow & Impact; Positioning Mixed

There are 2 high probability changes for the NIFTY50 in March. Watch out for a change in the potential deletions. Impact is high at a minimum of...

Brian Freitas

Auto Monthly Sales Volume - December 2024

Dec’24 Wholesale Volumes: Domestic PV sales grew by 15-17% YoY (down 7% MoM), largely due to strong domestic volumes from Maruti, Toyota, M&M, and MG.

Axis Direct

#76 India Insight: Cochin’s ₹450 Cr Tug Order, Dixon's Refrigerator Play, Wabag's African Expansion

Cochin secures Rs. 450 cr order to build tugboats for Adani Ports. Dixon Technologies expands into refrigerator market. VA Tech Wabag undertakes...

Sudarshan Bhandari

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 38 Changes; 65% Turnover; US$1.7bn Trade

There are 19 changes a side and all names are in line with our forecast. Estimated one-way turnover is 64.9% resulting in a one-way trade of INR...

Brian Freitas

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52-week Range

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Monthly Sales Overview of Indian Listed Two-Wheeler Companies (December 2024)

​December saw mixed results for two-wheeler companies in the domestic market, with Eicher being the exception with strong growth. Export volumes...

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Yuuge Flow & Impact; Positioning Mixed

There are 2 high probability changes for the NIFTY50 in March. Watch out for a change in the potential deletions. Impact is high at a minimum of...

Brian Freitas

Auto Monthly Sales Volume - December 2024

Dec’24 Wholesale Volumes: Domestic PV sales grew by 15-17% YoY (down 7% MoM), largely due to strong domestic volumes from Maruti, Toyota, M&M, and MG.

Axis Direct

#76 India Insight: Cochin’s ₹450 Cr Tug Order, Dixon's Refrigerator Play, Wabag's African Expansion

​Cochin secures Rs. 450 cr order to build tugboats for Adani Ports. Dixon Technologies expands into refrigerator market. VA Tech Wabag undertakes...

Sudarshan Bhandari

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 38 Changes; 65% Turnover; US$1.7bn Trade

There are 19 changes a side and all names are in line with our forecast. Estimated one-way turnover is 64.9% resulting in a one-way trade of INR...

Brian Freitas

December saw mixed results for two-wheeler companies in the domestic market, with Eicher being the exception with strong growth. Export volumes...

Cochin secures Rs. 450 cr order to build tugboats for Adani Ports. Dixon Technologies expands into refrigerator market. VA Tech Wabag undertakes...