External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The aggregate performance of the Q3FY25 earnings season was subdued, in line with expectations, but reflected marginal improvement on a QoQ basis, led by energy, auto, and cement sectors.</li><li>Aggregate revenue/PAT grew by 5%/8% YoY and 5%/6% QoQ across the HSIE coverage (~234 stocks).</li><li>Earnings of mid/small-cap stocks grew slower at 3.8% in this quarter as compared to 8.7% registered by the large cap segment</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The aggregate performance of the Q3FY25 earnings season was subdued, in line with expectations, but reflected marginal improvement on a QoQ basis, led by energy, auto, and cement sectors.Aggregate revenue/PAT grew by 5%/8% YoY and 5%/6% QoQ across the HSIE coverage (~234 stocks).Earnings of mid/small-cap stocks grew slower at 3.8% in this quarter as compared to 8.7% registered by the large cap segmentContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Quarterly Flipbook: Diminishing growth, downgrades intensify across sectors

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Index Maintenance Sub-Committee of NSE Indices will meet on 21 February to conduct a semi-annual and quarterly review of stocks in various Nifty equity indices.</li>
<li>The changes will be announced after market close tomorrow and will be implemented at the close of trading on 28 March.</li>
<li>Based on the forecast index changes and capping changes for a few indices, the round-trip trade will be over US$2.5bn and many stocks will have over 0.5x ADV to trade.</li>
</ul>


The Index Maintenance Sub-Committee of NSE Indices will meet on 21 February to conduct a semi-annual and quarterly review of stocks in various Nifty equity indices.
The changes will be announced after market close tomorrow and will be implemented at the close of trading on 28 March.
Based on the forecast index changes and capping changes for a few indices, the round-trip trade will be over US$2.5bn and many stocks will have over 0.5x ADV to trade.


India: March Rebalance Announcement Tomorrow; Round-Trip Trade Over US$2.5bn

Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Sree Capital

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Fundamental Research on Listed Indian Companies

Sree Capital

Sree Capital is a platform to share fundamental research on listed Indian companies. We do this research for our own investment

<ul>
<li>With the government’s push for consumption through tax relief, the Indian two industry is optimistic about a strong demand in coming months.</li>
<li>Domestic volumes for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3613:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hero-motocorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2391:1" rel="noopener">Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN) </a>declined 11% and 2%YoY,respectively,while for<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tvs-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16123:1" rel="noopener">TVS Motor (TVSL IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eicher-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18316:1" rel="noopener">Eicher Motors (EIM IN)increased 10% and 15% YoY,respectively</a>
</li>
<li>In the exports segment, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3613:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tvs-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16123:1" rel="noopener">TVS Motor (TVSL IN)</a> , and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eicher-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18316:1" rel="noopener">Eicher Motors (EIM IN)</a> recorded YoY volume growth of 37%, 52%, and 141%, respectively.</li>
</ul>


With the government’s push for consumption through tax relief, the Indian two industry is optimistic about a strong demand in coming months.
Domestic volumes for Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN) and Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN) declined 11% and 2%YoY,respectively,while forTVS Motor (TVSL IN) and Eicher Motors (EIM IN)increased 10% and 15% YoY,respectively

In the exports segment, Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN) , TVS Motor (TVSL IN) , and Eicher Motors (EIM IN) recorded YoY volume growth of 37%, 52%, and 141%, respectively.


Monthly Sales Overview of Indian Listed Two-Wheeler Companies (January 2025)

<ul><li>Mahindra &amp; Mahindra: Mahindra &amp; Mahindra’s Q3FY25 standalone EBITDA margin at 14.6% was in line with our estimate of 14.6% and Bloomberg consensus estimate of 14.7%</li><li>The auto division’s EBIT margin at 9.7% is impressive, though it might moderate going forward as the company ramps up contract manufacturing for its ePV subsidiary Mahindra Electric Automobile Ltd (MEAL)</li><li>The farm division’s EBIT margin at 18.1% was impacted by the growing farm machinery business, and adjusted for it, the core tractor EBIT margin would have been 19.5%</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Mahindra &amp; Mahindra: Mahindra &amp; Mahindra’s Q3FY25 standalone EBITDA margin at 14.6% was in line with our estimate of 14.6% and Bloomberg consensus estimate of 14.7%The auto division’s EBIT margin at 9.7% is impressive, though it might moderate going forward as the company ramps up contract manufacturing for its ePV subsidiary Mahindra Electric Automobile Ltd (MEAL)The farm division’s EBIT margin at 18.1% was impacted by the growing farm machinery business, and adjusted for it, the core tractor EBIT margin would have been 19.5%Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Mahindra & Mahindra, Hero Motocorp, Oil India, Thermax

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Following their inclusion in the F&amp;O segment in November, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jio-financial-services-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40042:1" rel="noopener">Jio Financial Services (JIOFIN IN)</a> appear to be sure-shot inclusions to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> in March.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-petroleum-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10222:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Petroleum Corp (BPCL IN)</a> is a certain deletion from the index. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/britannia-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16495:1" rel="noopener">Britannia Industries</a>' average free-float market cap is less than 0.004% below <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hero-motocorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2391:1" rel="noopener">Hero Motocorp</a>'s. It's very close.</li>
<li>Passive trackers need to trade between 3.7-11.8 days of ADV on the stocks. The impact increases significantly to between 8.4-21.8 days of delivery volume to trade on the stocks.</li>
</ul>


Following their inclusion in the F&amp;O segment in November, Zomato (ZOMATO IN) and Jio Financial Services (JIOFIN IN) appear to be sure-shot inclusions to the NIFTY Index in March.

Bharat Petroleum Corp (BPCL IN) is a certain deletion from the index. Britannia Industries' average free-float market cap is less than 0.004% below Hero Motocorp's. It's very close.
Passive trackers need to trade between 3.7-11.8 days of ADV on the stocks. The impact increases significantly to between 8.4-21.8 days of delivery volume to trade on the stocks.


NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Secure; Tight Among the Deletes

India

Hero MotoCorp Ltd. designs, manufactures and distributes motorcycles. The Company's products also include motorcycle parts and accessories.

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Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN)

Quarterly Flipbook: Diminishing growth, downgrades intensify across sectors

The aggregate performance of the Q3FY25 earnings season was subdued, in line with expectations, but reflected marginal improvement on a QoQ basis,...

HDFC Securities

India: March Rebalance Announcement Tomorrow; Round-Trip Trade Over US$2.5bn

The March changes for the Nifty indices will be announced tomorrow. There are changes forecast for most indices with large AUM. Round-trip trade...

Brian Freitas

Monthly Sales Overview of Indian Listed Two-Wheeler Companies (January 2025)

Retail Sales Update: Federation of Automobile Dealers Associations(FADA)’s Jan'25 update shows a 4.15% YoY and 27.39% MoM rise in two-wheeler...

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

HSIE Results Daily: Mahindra & Mahindra, Hero Motocorp, Oil India, Thermax

Mahindra & Mahindra: Mahindra & Mahindra’s Q3FY25 standalone EBITDA margin at 14.6% was in line with our estimate of 14.6% and Bloomberg...

HDFC Securities

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Secure; Tight Among the Deletes

Zomato and JioFin should replace BPCL and Britannia in March. Hero Motors just avoids deletion for now. Passives need to trade 3.7-11.8x ADV (8.4...

Brian Freitas

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